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Mathematics/Probability & Statistics/Generalg Easier!Making Everythin 2nd EditionThe easy way toget down with statistics The world of statistics — get a handle on the quantity andquality of statistics you encounter in everyday life Get the big picture — explore data using graphs and chartsand describe data using means, medians, standard scores,percentiles, and more Plain-English explanationsof statistical jargon Information on organizing,graphing, and critiquing data The 411 on random variables;the binomial, normal, t-, andsampling distributions; and theCentral Limit Theorem Pointers for conducting,interpreting, and critiquingpolls and experiments Results may vary — understand common statistical distributionsand find out how to work with random variables, standard error,the Central Limit Theorem, and more Data analysis tools for regression,confidence intervals, hypothesistests, and two-way tables Guesstimate with confidence — use standard error, confidenceintervals, and hypothesis tests to make conclusions about apopulation Plenty of examples and figuresto illustrate important conceptsand methodsStatisticsStymied by statistics? Fear not! In easy-to-understand terms,this friendly guide shows you how to collect, graph, andcritique data; decipher distributions; calculate confidenceintervals and hypothesis tests; analyze data with correlation,regression, and two-way tables; and much more.Open the book and find: Dig into statistical studies and their analyses — get the scoopon polls, experiments, correlation, linear regression, two-waytables, and independencescitsitaStLearn to: Grasp statistical ideas, techniques, formulas,and calculationsGo to Dummies.com for videos, step-by-step examples,how-to articles, or to shop! Interpret and critique graphs and charts,determine probability, and work withconfidence intervals Critique and analyze data from pollsand experiments 19.99 US / 23.99 CN / 14.99 UKISBN 978-0-470-91108-2Deborah J. Rumsey, PhD, is a professor of statistics and the director of theMathematics and Statistics Learning Center at The Ohio State University. Sheis the author of Statistics Workbook For Dummies, Statistics II For Dummies, andProbability For Dummies.Deborah J. Rumsey, PhDRumseyProfessor of Statistics, The Ohio State University2nd Edition

Get More and Do More at Dummies.com Start with FREE Cheat SheetsCheat Sheets include Checklists Charts Common Instructions And Other Good Stuff!To access the Cheat Sheet created specifically for this book, go et Smart at Dummies.comDummies.com makes your life easier with 1,000sof answers on everything from removing wallpaperto using the latest version of Windows.Check out our Videos Illustrated Articles Step-by-Step InstructionsPlus, each month you can win valuable prizes by enteringour Dummies.com sweepstakes. *Want a weekly dose of Dummies? Sign up for Newsletters on Digital Photography Microsoft Windows & Office Personal Finance & Investing Health & Wellness Computing, iPods & Cell Phones eBay Internet Food, Home & GardenFind out “HOW” at Dummies.com*Sweepstakes not currently available in all countries; visit Dummies.com for official rules.There’s a Dummies App for This and ThatWith more than 200 million books in print and over 1,600 uniquetitles, Dummies is a global leader in how-to information. Nowyou can get the same great Dummies information in an App. Withtopics such as Wine, Spanish, Digital Photography, Certification,and more, you’ll have instant access to the topics you need toknow in a format you can trust.To get information on all our Dummies apps, visit the following:www.Dummies.com/go/mobile from your computer.www.Dummies.com/go/iphone/apps from your phone.

StatisticsFORDUMmIES‰2NDEDITIONby Deborah J. Rumsey, PhD

Statistics For Dummies , 2nd EditionPublished byWiley Publishing, Inc.111 River St.Hoboken, NJ 07030-5774www.wiley.comCopyright 2011 by Wiley Publishing, Inc., Indianapolis, IndianaPublished simultaneously in CanadaNo part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form orby any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, scanning or otherwise, except as permitted under Sections 107 or 108 of the 1976 United States Copyright Act, without either the prior writtenpermission of the Publisher, or authorization through payment of the appropriate per-copy fee to theCopyright Clearance Center, 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, (978) 750-8400, fax (978) 646-8600.Requests to the Publisher for permission should be addressed to the Permissions Department, John Wiley& Sons, Inc., 111 River Street, Hoboken, NJ 07030, (201) 748-6011, fax (201) 748-6008, or online at http://www.wiley.com/go/permissions.Trademarks: Wiley, the Wiley Publishing logo, For Dummies, the Dummies Man logo, A Reference for theRest of Us!, The Dummies Way, Dummies Daily, The Fun and Easy Way, Dummies.com, Making EverythingEasier, and related trade dress are trademarks or registered trademarks of John Wiley & Sons, Inc. and/or its affiliates in the United States and other countries, and may not be used without written permission.All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners. Wiley Publishing, Inc., is not associatedwith any product or vendor mentioned in this book.LIMIT OF LIABILITY/DISCLAIMER OF WARRANTY: THE PUBLISHER AND THE AUTHOR MAKE NOREPRESENTATIONS OR WARRANTIES WITH RESPECT TO THE ACCURACY OR COMPLETENESS OFTHE CONTENTS OF THIS WORK AND SPECIFICALLY DISCLAIM ALL WARRANTIES, INCLUDING WITHOUT LIMITATION WARRANTIES OF FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. NO WARRANTY MAY BECREATED OR EXTENDED BY SALES OR PROMOTIONAL MATERIALS. THE ADVICE AND STRATEGIESCONTAINED HEREIN MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR EVERY SITUATION. THIS WORK IS SOLD WITH THEUNDERSTANDING THAT THE PUBLISHER IS NOT ENGAGED IN RENDERING LEGAL, ACCOUNTING, OROTHER PROFESSIONAL SERVICES. IF PROFESSIONAL ASSISTANCE IS REQUIRED, THE SERVICES OFA COMPETENT PROFESSIONAL PERSON SHOULD BE SOUGHT. NEITHER THE PUBLISHER NOR THEAUTHOR SHALL BE LIABLE FOR DAMAGES ARISING HEREFROM. THE FACT THAT AN ORGANIZATIONOR WEBSITE IS REFERRED TO IN THIS WORK AS A CITATION AND/OR A POTENTIAL SOURCE OF FURTHER INFORMATION DOES NOT MEAN THAT THE AUTHOR OR THE PUBLISHER ENDORSES THE INFORMATION THE ORGANIZATION OR WEBSITE MAY PROVIDE OR RECOMMENDATIONS IT MAY MAKE.FURTHER, READERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT INTERNET WEBSITES LISTED IN THIS WORK MAY HAVECHANGED OR DISAPPEARED BETWEEN WHEN THIS WORK WAS WRITTEN AND WHEN IT IS READ.For general information on our other products and services, please contact our Customer CareDepartment within the U.S. at 877-762-2974, outside the U.S. at 317-572-3993, or fax 317-572-4002.For technical support, please visit www.wiley.com/techsupport.Wiley also publishes its books in a variety of electronic formats. Some content that appears in print maynot be available in electronic books.Library of Congress Control Number: 2011921775ISBN: 978-0-470-91108-2Manufactured in the United States of America10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1

About the AuthorDeborah J. Rumsey, PhD, is a Statistics Education Specialist and AuxiliaryProfessor in the Department of Statistics at The Ohio State University.Dr. Rumsey is a Fellow of the American Statistical Association. She haswon the Presidential Teaching Award from Kansas State University and hasbeen inducted into the Wall of Inspiration at her high school alma mater,Burlington High School, in Burlington, Wisconsin. She is also the author ofStatistics II For Dummies, Statistics Workbook For Dummies, Probability ForDummies, and Statistics Essentials For Dummies. She has published numerouspapers and given many professional presentations and workshops on thesubject of statistics education. She is the original conference designer of thebiennial United States Conference on Teaching Statistics (USCOTS). Her passions include being with her family, camping and bird watching, getting seattime on her Kubota tractor, and cheering the Ohio State Buckeyes on to theirnext national championship.DedicationTo my husband Eric: My sun rises and sets with you. To my son Clint: I loveyou up to the moon and back.Author’s AcknowledgmentsMy heartfelt thanks to Lindsay Lefevere and Kathy Cox for the opportunity towrite For Dummies books for Wiley; to my project editors Georgette Beatty,Corbin Collins, and Tere Drenth for their unwavering support and vision; toMarjorie Bond, Monmouth College, for agreeing to be my technical editor(again!); to Paul Stephenson, who also provided technical editing; and toCaitie Copple and Janet Dunn for great copy editing.Special thanks to Elizabeth Stasny, Joan Garfield, Kythrie Silva, Kit Kilen,Peg Steigerwald, Mike O’Leary, Tony Barkauskas, Ken Berk, and Jim Higginsfor inspiration and support along the way; and to my entire family for theirsteadfast love and encouragement.

Publisher’s AcknowledgmentsWe’re proud of this book; please send us your comments at http://dummies.custhelp.com. Forother comments, please contact our Customer Care Department within the U.S. at 877-762-2974, outside the U.S. at 317-572-3993, or fax 317-572-4002.Some of the people who helped bring this book to market include the following:Acquisitions, Editorial, andMedia DevelopmentProject Editor: Corbin Collins(Previous Edition: Tere Drenth)Senior Project Editor: Georgette BeattyComposition ServicesProject Coordinator: Sheree MontgomeryLayout and Graphics: Carrie A. Cesavice,Corrie SocolovitchExecutive Editor: Lindsay Sandman LefevereProofreaders: Dwight Ramsey,Shannon RamseyCopy Editor: Caitlin CoppleIndexer: Christine Karpeles(Previous Edition: Janet S. Dunn, PhD)Assistant Editor: David LuttonTechnical Editors: Marjorie E. Bond,Paul L. Stephenson IIIEditorial Manager: Michelle HackerEditorial Supervisor and Reprint Editor:Carmen KrikorianEditorial Assistant: Jennette ElNaggarCover Photo: iStockphoto.com/NorebboCartoons: Rich Tennant(www.the5thwave.com)Publishing and Editorial for Consumer DummiesDiane Graves Steele, Vice President and Publisher, Consumer DummiesKristin Ferguson-Wagstaffe, Product Development Director, Consumer DummiesEnsley Eikenburg, Associate Publisher, TravelKelly Regan, Editorial Director, TravelPublishing for Technology DummiesAndy Cummings, Vice President and Publisher, Dummies Technology/General UserComposition ServicesDebbie Stailey, Director of Composition Services

Contents at a GlanceIntroduction . 1Part I: Vital Statistics about Statistics . 7Chapter 1: Statistics in a Nutshell. 9Chapter 2: The Statistics of Everyday Life . 23Chapter 3: Taking Control: So Many Numbers, So Little Time . 33Chapter 4: Tools of the Trade . 43Part II: Number-Crunching Basics. 65Chapter 5: Means, Medians, and More . 67Chapter 6: Getting the Picture: Graphing Categorical Data . 91Chapter 7: Going by the Numbers: Graphing Numerical Data . 103Part III: Distributions and theCentral Limit Theorem . 129Chapter 8: Random Variables and the Binomial Distribution . 131Chapter 9: The Normal Distribution. 143Chapter 10: The t-Distribution . 157Chapter 11: Sampling Distributions and the Central Limit Theorem . 163Part IV: Guesstimating and Hypothesizingwith Confidence. 179Chapter 12: Leaving Room for a Margin of Error . 181Chapter 13: Confidence Intervals: Making Your Best Guesstimate . 193Chapter 14: Claims, Tests, and Conclusions . 215Chapter 15: Commonly Used Hypothesis Tests: Formulas and Examples . 227Part V: Statistical Studies and the Huntfor a Meaningful Relationship . 243Chapter 16: Polls, Polls, and More Polls . 245Chapter 17: Experiments: Medical Breakthroughs or Misleading Results? . 261Chapter 18: Looking for Links: Correlation and Regression . 279Chapter 19: Two-Way Tables and Independence . 295

Part VI: The Part of Tens . 317Chapter 20: Ten Tips for the Statistically Savvy Sleuth . 319Chapter 21: Ten Surefire Exam Score Boosters . 331Appendix: Tables for Reference . 347Index . 357

Table of ContentsIntroduction . 1About This Book . 1Conventions Used in This Book . 2What You’re Not to Read . 2Foolish Assumptions . 3How This Book Is Organized . 3Part I: Vital Statistics about Statistics . 3Part II: Number-Crunching Basics . 4Part III: Distributions and the Central Limit Theorem . 4Part IV: Guesstimating and Hypothesizing with Confidence . 4Part V: Statistical Studies and the Huntfor a Meaningful Relationship . 5Part VI: The Part of Tens . 5Icons Used in This Book . 6Where to Go from Here . 6Part I: Vital Statistics about Statistics . 7Chapter 1: Statistics in a Nutshell. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9Thriving in a Statistical World . 9Designing Appropriate Studies . 11Surveys . 11Experiments . 12Collecting Quality Data . 12Selecting a good sample. 13Avoiding bias in your data . 13Creating Effective Summaries . 14Descriptive statistics . 14Charts and graphs . 15Determining Distributions . 16Performing Proper Analyses . 17Margin of error and confidence intervals . 17Hypothesis tests . 18Correlation, regression, and two-way tables. 20Drawing Credible Conclusions. 21Reeling in overstated results . 21Questioning claims of cause and effect. 21Becoming a Sleuth, Not a Skeptic . 22

viiiStatistics For Dummies, 2nd EditionChapter 2: The Statistics of Everyday Life . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .23Statistics and the Media: More Questions than Answers? . 23Probing popcorn problems . 24Venturing into viruses . 24Comprehending crashes . 25Mulling malpractice . 25Belaboring the loss of land . 26Scrutinizing schools . 26Studying sports . 27Banking on business news . 28Touring the travel news . 28Surveying sexual stats . 29Breaking down weather reports . 29Musing about movies . 30Highlighting horoscopes . 30Using Statistics at Work . 31Delivering babies — and information . 31Posing for pictures. 31Poking through pizza data . 32Statistics in the office . 32Chapter 3: Taking Control: So Many Numbers, So Little Time. . . . . . .33Detecting Errors, Exaggerations, and Just Plain Lies. 34Checking the math . 34Uncovering misleading statistics . 35Looking for lies in all the right places . 41Feeling the Impact of Misleading Statistics . 42Chapter 4: Tools of the Trade . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .43Statistics: More than Just Numbers . 43Grabbing Some Basic Statistical Jargon . 45Data . 45Data set . 47Variable . 47Population. 47Sample, random, or otherwise . 48Statistic. 50Parameter . 50Bias . 51Mean (Average) . 51Median . 52Standard deviation . 52Percentile . 53Standard score . 54

Table of ContentsDistribution and normal distribution . 54Central Limit Theorem . 55z-values . 56Experiments . 56Surveys (Polls) . 58Margin of error . 58Confidence interval. 59Hypothesis testing . 60p-values . 61Statistical significance . 61Correlation versus causation . 63Part II: Number-Crunching Basics . 65Chapter 5: Means, Medians, and More . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .67Summing Up Data with Descriptive Statistics. 67Crunching Categorical Data: Tables and Percents . 68Measuring the Center with Mean and Median . 71Averaging out to the mean . 71Splitting your data down the median . 73Comparing means and medians: Histograms . 74Accounting for Variation . 76Reporting the standard deviation. 77Being out of range . 80Examining the Empirical Rule (68-95-99.7) . 81Measuring Relative Standing with Percentiles. 84Calculating percentiles. 84Interpreting percentiles . 85Gathering a five-number summary . 89Exploring interquartile range . 90Chapter 6: Getting the Picture: Graphing Categorical Data . . . . . . . . .91Take Another Little Piece of My Pie Chart . 92Tallying personal expenses . 92Bringing in a lotto revenue . 92Ordering takeout . 94Projecting age trends . 95Raising the Bar on Bar Graphs . 97Tracking transportation expenses. 97Making a lotto profit . 99Tipping the scales on a bar graph . 100Pondering pet peeves . 101ix

xStatistics For Dummies, 2nd EditionChapter 7: Going by the Numbers: Graphing Numerical Data . . . . . .103Handling Histograms . 103Making a histogram . 104Interpreting a histogram . 106Putting numbers with pictures . 110Detecting misleading histograms . 112Examining Boxplots . 115Making a boxplot. 115Interpreting a boxplot . 117Tackling Time Charts . 123Interpreting time charts . 123Understanding variability: Time charts versus histograms . 124Spotting misleading time charts . 124Part III: Distributions and the Central Limit Theorem. 129Chapter 8: Random Variables and the Binomial Distribution . . . . . .131Defining a Random Variable . 131Discrete versus continuous . 132Probability distributions. 133The mean and variance of a discrete random variable . 134Identifying a Binomial . 135Checking binomial conditions step by step . 135No fixed number of trials . 136More than success or failure . 136Trials are not independent . 137Probability of success (p) changes . 137Finding Binomial Probabilities Using a Formula . 137Finding Probabilities Using the Binomial Table . 140Finding probabilities for specific values of X . 140Finding probabilities for X greater-than,less-than, or between two values . 141Checking Out the Mean and Standard Deviation of the Binomial . 142Chapter 9: The Normal Distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .143Exploring the Basics of the Normal Distribution. 143Meeting the Standard Normal (Z-) Distribution. 146Checking out Z. 146Standardizing from X to Z . 147Finding probabilities for Z with the Z-table . 148Finding Probabilities for a Normal Distribution . 149Finding X When You Know the Percent . 152Figuring out a percentile for a normal distribution . 152Translating tricky wording in percentile problems. 154Normal Approximation to the Binomial . 155

Table of ContentsChapter 10: The t-Distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .157Basics of the t-Distribution . 157Comparing the t- and Z-distributions . 157Discovering the effect of variability on t-distributions . 159Using the t-Table . 159Finding probabilities with the t-table . 160Figuring percentiles for the t-distribution . 160Picking out t*-values for confidence intervals . 161Studying Behavior Using the t-Table . 162Chapter 11: Sampling Distributionsand the Central Limit Theorem. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .163Defining a Sampling Distribution . 163The Mean of a Sampling Distribution. 164Measuring Standard Error . 166Sample size and standard error . 166Population standard deviation and standard error . 168Look

Statistics II For Dummies, Statistics Workbook For Dummies, Probability For Dummies, and Statistics Essentials For Dummies. She has published numerous papers and given many professional presentations and workshops on the subject of statistics education. She is the original conference designer of the