Singapore Company Update - Gem-comm

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Singapore Company Update3 June 2022Energy & Petrochemicals Oil & Gas ServicesMarco Polo Marine (MPM SP)Buy (Maintained)Target Price (Return): Positive outlook will likely cause a stronger turnaround. The WTI crudeprice has been recovering strongly. As such, MPM has also seen an uptickin ship charter utilisation rates and its shipyard operations. In addition, withthe COVID-19 situation in Taiwan improving, this will likely speed up theprogress of it winning new renewable energy projects. We also believe thatthe continued recovery will be positive for MPM’s profitability. This, togetherwith the catalyst of more new renewable energy contracts, leads us tomaintain our BUY recommendation. ESG. Using our in-house proprietary methodology, we derive an ESG scoreof 3.0, which is on par with the country median. As a result, we apply a 0%discount or premium to our TP.Sep-20Sep-21Total turnover (SGDm)31465564Recurring net profit (SGDm)(9)3479-70.760.435.411.39Recurring net profit growth (%)138.4Sep-22FSep-23FSep-24F74Recurring P/E (x)na42.2624.7515.43P/B (x)1.10.90.90.80.8P/CF (x)na49.8024.7515.4311.39Dividend Yield (%)nananaEV/EBITDA (170.92)net18.60cashnet cashnet cashnet cashReturn on average equity (%)Net debtcoverto equityInterest(x) (%)naSource: Company data, RHBSee important disclosures at the end of this reportMarket Dateline / PP 19489/05/2019 (035080)1na0.27m/0.20mAnalystJarick Seet 65 6320 0810jarick.seet@rhbgroup.comShare Performance .26.812.22.434.60.02 – 0.0352-wk Price low/high (SGD)Marco Polo Marine (MPM SP)Price CloseRelative to Straits Times Index ug-21160Jul-210.033Aug-21 Green energy will be the future. Management has been activelydiversifying and expanding MPM’s activities beyond the O&G industry. Asof 1H22, 40% of its utilised vessels are working on offshore windfarmprojects in Taiwan. We believe that MPM will expand its operations inTaiwan, and will likely look to increase its chartering fleet in this space andhave at least 50% of its fleet servicing the renewable energy sector by2Q23. The acquisition of Taiwan-based PKR Offshore will add two OSVs tothe group’s fleet – taking its total size to 13 OSVs, of which five are servicingthe windfarm sector in Taiwan.3.00 (out of 4)Avg Daily Turnover (SGD/USD)Jun-21 Turnaround on track – better performance to come. As of 1HFY22, itsutilisation rate has recovered to pre-pandemic levels and risen YoY, drivenby strong demand from both the O&G and offshore windfarm sectors. Weexpect utilisation rates to pick up to 70-80% (from 60% currently) by the endof this year. In addition, charter rates have also picked up by 15-20% YoYin the same period, due to stronger demand as well as the reflagging of onevessel to service the Taiwan offshore windfarm market. We expect charterrates to rise by a further 10-20% over the new few months, due to limitedsupply and strong demand. The company’s GPM widened from 23.8% in1HFY21 to 29.6% in 1HFY22, and its net cash position improved fromSGD16.1m to SGD27.9m in the corresponding periods.SGD0.03 (USD77.4m)ESG score:Jun-21 Maintain BUY and a DCF-backed TP of SGD0.04, 33% upside. MarcoPolo Marine’s 1HFY22 (Sep) revenue surged 30.9% YoY. Its adjustedNPAT (excluding one-offs) pointed to a turnaround from 1H21’s loss ofSGD0.3m – and it booked a SGD1.2m profit. Its GPM and EBITDA marginalso improved. As the outlook on the O&G industry improves in tandem withthe increase in oil prices, we expect charter rates to continue growing byanother 10-20% this year. Also, MPM’s utilisation rate should pick up toaround 80% in FY22, which would further boost its profitability.Forecasts and ValuationSGD0.04 ( 33%)Price (Market Cap):Feb-22Turnaround On Track; Keep BUYSource: BloombergOverall ESG Score: 3.00 (out of 4)E: GOODScrap from all non-renewable materials such as steel iscollected, weighed and sold for recycling purposeswherever possible. In 2020, MPM recycled 50% (2019:36% and 2018: 24%) of its total steel used. It seeks tocontinue reducing the strain on the environment byregularly reviewing and strengthening recycling practices.S: GOODMPM adopts fair employment practices and treats allemployees equally. It complies with local labour regulationsacross geographic operations, including minimum wagelaws where such laws exist. In 2020, both male and femaleentry-level employees at its Batam shipyard operation arepaid the local minimum wage amounting to IDR4.28m.G: GOODMPM has aligned its governance policies and practices withthe principles and guidelines set out in the Code ofCorporate Governance issued by the Monetary Authority ofSingapore on 6 Aug 2018. It has also formalised itsEnterprise Risk Management process since FY19 (Sep).Note:Small cap stocks are defined as companies with a marketcapitalization of less than USD0.5bn.

Marco Polo MarineSingapore Company Update3 June 2022Energy & Petrochemicals Oil & Gas ServicesFinancial ExhibitsAsiaSingaporeEnergy & PetrochemicalsMarco Polo MarineMPM SPBuyValuation basisDCF, assuming a WACC of 7% and terminal growthrate of 0%.Key driversi. Oil & gas activities picking up after a hiatus;ii. Moving into renewable energy, eg windfarmprojects.Key risksi. Oil prices declining;ii. Negative effect of any change in governmentregulations.Company ProfileMarco Polo Marine is a growing integrated marinelogistics group facilitating the growth of investment inSouth-East Asia. Its amalgamation of ship chartering,ship building, conversion, repair and maintenanceservices under one roof has empowered the companyto exercise greater flexibility and achieve cost efficiencyfor its customers.Financial summary 30.030.040.04Return on average equity (%)(8.8)13.83.65.67.1Recurring EPSValuation metricsSep-21na42.2624.7515.4311.39P/B ITDA (x)na2.411.07(0.21)(1.08)EV/EBIT )2.54.47.09.5Operating profit(6.2)2.54.47.09.5Net interest(0.0)(0.1)0.00.00.0Pre-tax 2)(0.2)Reported net profit(9.2)14.84.36.89.3Recurring net profit(9.2)2.54.36.89.3Cash flow (SGDm)Income statement (SGDm)Total turnoverGross profitSep-22FSep-20Sep-21Cash flow from 0)(4.0)Cash flow from investing activities(4.4)(2.2)(4.0)(4.0)(4.0)Cash flow from financing .6)(0.4)0.32.85.314.012.220.624.634.2Cash at beginning of periodEnding balance cashBalance sheet (SGDm)Sep-22FSep-2114202228Total investments8883838383113140143152163Short-term debt01111Total long-term debt033331425242628Total equity100115119126135Total liabilities & g EBITDA margin (%)(19.9)5.58.010.912.9Net profit margin (%)(29.9)32.07.810.712.6Capex/sales (%)22.64.87.36.25.4Interest cover (x)(171)19Key metricsRevenue growth (%)Recurrent EPS growth (%)Gross margin (%)Source: Company data, RHB2Sep-22FSep-23FSep-24FSep-20Total liabilitiesSep-22FSep-23FTotal cash and equivalentsTotal assetsMarket Dateline / PP 19489/05/2019 (035080)Sep-23FSep-24FSep-20FCF Yield (%)Sep-22FSep-23FRecurring P/E (x)Net change in cashSee important disclosures at the end of this reportSep-22FSep-23FSep-24F37Sep-24F

Marco Polo MarineSingapore Company Update3 June 2022Energy & Petrochemicals Oil & Gas ServicesRecommendation ChartPrice Close0.040.00Recommendations & Target 1-29Not RatedSource: RHB, tralSellSep-18Trading BuyTake ProfitDec-19Not RatedMar-21Source: RHB, BloombergESG Rating History4.03.03.03.03.03.02.01.00.0Source: RHBSee important disclosures at the end of this reportMarket Dateline / PP 19489/05/2019 (035080)3Target PricePrice0.040.03na0.02

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Source: RHB, Bloomberg Source: RHB, Bloomberg ESG Rating History Source: RHB 0.006 0.016 0.026 0.036 0.046 0.056 0.066 Jun-17 Sep-18 Dec-19 Mar-21 Price Close na Recommendations & Target Price Buy Neutral Sell Trading Buy Take Profit Not Rated Date Recommendation Target Price Price 2021-06-15 Buy 0.04 0.03 2020-01-29 Not Rated na 0.02 3.0 3.0 3 .