26th Annual Eastern Conference - Rutgers University

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Revised May 17, 2011Advanced Workshop in Regulation and Competition30th Annual Eastern ConferenceSkytop Lodge, Skytop, Pennsylvania, May 18-20, 2011The Conference features some of the latest developmentsin the telecommunications and energy sectors, including: Policy and Regulatory IssuesPostal and TelecommunicationsMarket Structure & RTOsPerformance & ReliabilityDemand ResponseWho should attend: Industry Economists, Attorneys and Consultants Marketing and Regulatory Managers Regulatory Commission StaffDinner Speakers:William Levis, President & Chief Operating Officer, PSEG PowerDave Lobach, Chairman & Chief Executive Officer, Embassy BankCENTER FOR RESEARCH IN REGULATED INDUSTRIESThe Center for Research in Regulated Industries, located at Rutgers University, aims to further study of regulation in economics,finance, and institutions. Its publications, seminars, workshops, and courses make available the latest advances to academics,managers, and regulatory commission staff. The Center has over thirty years of experience providing research, instruction,conferences, courses, seminars, and workshops in economics of network industries. The Center‘s Journal of Regulatory Economics isan international scholarly bi-monthly publication intended to provide a forum for the highest quality research in regulatory economics.Other research from the Center‘s programs has been published in the book series Topics in Regulatory Economics and duRutgers Business School 1 Washington Park Newark, NJ 07102-1897973-353-5761 973-353-1348 (fax)

WEDNESDAY, MAY 18, 20113:00 - 4:00RegistrationPine Room4:00 - 6:00Welcome to Conference: Michael A. CrewMichael A. Crew & Paul R. Kleindorfer: The Contribution of the Journal of Regulatory EconomicsEast Laurel RoomJames Cooper & William Kovacic: Behavioral Economics: Implications for Regulatory Agency BehaviorJeffrey T. Macher & John W. Mayo: The World of Regulatory Influence6:00 - 7:007:00 – 9:00Cocktail HourInn LoungeDinner & Keynote Speech: Dave Lobach, Chairman & CEO, Embassy BankLakeview Dining RoomTHURSDAY, MAY 19, 20118:00 - 9:40Concurrent SessionsMODERNIZING POSTAL SERVICEWest Laurel RoomChair: Robert CurryDiscussants: Antoinette Crowder & Robert N. SidmanEmil J. Dzuray Jr., Han Dinh, J. Otis Smith & JenniferBradley: Evaluating Electric Vehicles for the U.S. PostalServiceMohammad Adra & Renee Sheehy: A Framework forOptimizing and Modernizing the U.S. Postal Service RetailNetworkWilliam C. Miller: Linking Service Quality with Price Caps:the Postal Service Case9:40 - 10:00Coffee Break10:00 - 11:55Concurrent SessionsPOSTAL REFORMWest Laurel RoomChair: John G. CallanDiscussants: Stephen DeMatteo, J.P. Klingenberg & Marc SmithClaudio Lucarelli & Rick Geddes: The Effects of the PostalAccountability & Enhancement Act of 2006Jessica Dauer Lowrance & Gregory Dawson: RationalizingPostal Costing for the 21st CenturyRobert A. F. Reisner & Lawrence G. Buc: Anticipating theReform Debate: How Will the Trajectory of Postal Reform II BeGuided by the Consequences of the First Round11:55 - 1:00REGULATIONEast Laurel RoomChair: William DeehanDiscussants: Alan E. Finder & Tom FrantzEric Ackerman: Alternative Regulation: What it is, and whyit is Vital for Investor-Owned Electric Utilities and TheirCustomersCollin Cain & Glenn George: Beyond Nuclear LoanGuaranteesJeff D. Makholm, Agustin J. Ros & Meredith A. Case:Total Factor Productivity & Performance-Based Ratemakingfor Electricity & Gas DistributionLunchADMINISTERED MARKETSEast Laurel RoomChair: David LamontDiscussants: Joseph Cavicchi & Mario DePillisWilliam Hogan: Transmission Benefits and Cost AllocationRichard D. Tabors & Robert Stoddard: When AssumptionsTurn Out to be Wrong: Peak Energy Rent Regulation in ISONEJeffrey W. Mayes, Joseph Bowring & Howard Haas:Strengthening Market Monitoring & Market Power Mitigationin the Organized Wholesale Electric MarketsWest Windsor1:00 - 2:30Concurrent SessionsNATIONAL CONNECTIVITYWest Laurel RoomChair: Peter JacobsonDiscussants: Gene Del Polito & Timothy J. TardiffDavid Asher, John Callan & Bruce Marsh: Bridging theDigital Divide: Expanding the Postal PlatformVictor Glass & Stela Stefanova: Economies of Scale forBroadband in Rural United StatesMichael Ravnitzky & J.P. Klingenberg: Government Use of thePostal System: A Valuable USO ComponentPRICINGEast Laurel RoomChair: Dale G. SchoenbergerDiscussants: Peter Cappers & Glenn MeyersRichard E. Schuler, Jr.: Back to the Future, Time of UsePricing Pilots in New YorkAndrew Kleit, Alina Mackenthun & AnastasiaShcherbakova: Bidding for Electricity Contracts inPennsylvaniaPeter M. Schwarz, James Cochell & Thomas N. Taylor: TheEffects of Industrial Real-Time Pricing on Electric UtilityEmissions

THURSDAY, MAY 19, 2011 (CONTINUED)2:30 - 4:00Concurrent SessionsEFFICIENCYWest Laurel RoomChair: Ann DaleyDiscussants: A. Thomas BozzoEdward S. Pearsall: On Equilibrium in a Liberalized MarketCasie D’Souza, Paul Hamilton, William Miller & MargaretCigno: Measuring Cost Efficiency of Universal ServiceProvidersKevin M. Currier: Optimal Pricing of Postal Services underEndogenously Determined EntryCHANGING SUPPLYEast Laurel RoomChair: Howard SpinnerDiscussants: Parviz Alivand & Menahem SpiegelR.J. Briggs & Anastasia Shcherbakova: Linking Warnings,Monitoring, and EnforcementSeth Blumsack, Alisah Fernandez & Patrick Reed:Evaluating Wind-Following and Ecosystem Services forHydroelectric Dams in PJMTimothy D. Mount, Alberto J. Lamadrid & Woo-YoungJeon: How Will Customers Pay for the Smart Grid?4:00Exercise Break6:00 - 7:00Cocktail Hour7:00 – 9:00Dinner & Keynote Speech: William Levis, President & Chief Operating Officer, PSEG PowerSouth PorchWest WindsorFRIDAY, MAY 20, 20118:45 - 10:30Concurrent SessionsENERGY EFFICIENCY/DSMEast Laurel RoomChair: Colin J. LoxleyDiscussants: Beverly A. Brereton, Jim Cater & Richard StevieSheldon Switzer & Mary M. Straub: Using AvailableInformation for Efficient Evaluation of DSM ProgramsTimothy J. Brennan: Energy Efficiency Policy: Surveying thePuzzlesLarry Blank & Doug Gegax: An Opportunity Cost Model forElectric Utility Efficiency Programs & the Development ofShared Savings Incentives10:30 - 11:00Coffee Break11:00-12:45Concurrent SessionsTELECOMMUNICATIONS REGULATIONChair: Saikat SenEast Laurel RoomDiscussants: Kiwan Lee & Michael RavnitzkyKarl A. McDermott, Carl Peterson & Agustin Ros: ATale of Two Policies: A Reexamination of StateTelecommunication Policy on the Protection of UniversalService & the Advancement of Competition in the PostDivestiture PeriodDavid E. M. Sappington & Dennis L. Weisman: TheUneasy Marriage of Regulation & Competition RevisitedDavid L. Waring: An Empirical Analysis of the Impact ofTelecommunications Policies on Broadband Diffusion12:45 – LunchWest WindsorSUPPLY CAPACITY FUNDINGWest Laurel RoomChair: Robert StoddardDiscussants: Pradip Chattopadhyay & Kurt StrunkJohn Caldwell: Abundant Natural Gas Supply & the Futureof Electricity Generation: Can There be Too Much of aGood Thing?Richard Michelfelder, Panayiotis Theodossiou &Pauline M. Ahern: Public Utility Beta Adjustment & theCost of CapitalRichard E. Schuler: Pricing the Use of Capital-IntensiveInfrastructure over Time & Efficient Capacity Expansion:Illustrations for Electric Transmission InvestmentEVOLVING MECHANISMSWest Laurel RoomChair: Pauline AhernDiscussants: Colin J. LoxleyPaul R. Kleindorfer & Lide Li: On Calendar EnergyOptionsShmuel S. Oren, Tanachai Limpaitoon & Yihsu Chen:The Impact of Carbon Cap & Trade Regulation onCongested Electricity Market EquilibriumHung-po Chao: Linking Wholesale & Retail ElectricityMarkets via Consumer Subscription

SPEAKERS DISCUSSANTS & CHAIRSEric Ackerman, Director, Alternative Regulation, Edison Electric InstituteMohammad Adra, Economist, United States Postal Service – Office of InspectorGeneralPauline M. Ahern, Principal, AUS ConsultantsParviz Alivand, Senior Analyst, ISO-New EnglandDavid Asher, Economist, US Postal Service Office of Inspector GeneralLarry Blank, Associate Professor of Economics, New Mexico State UniversitySeth Blumsack, Assistant Professor, Pennsylvania State UniversityJoseph Bowring, President, Monitoring Analytics, LLCA. Thomas Bozzo, Vice President, Christensen AssociatesTimothy J. Brennan, Professor of Policy & Economics, University of MarylandBaltimore County & Senior Fellow, Resources for the FutureBeverly A. Brereton, Economist, ISO New EnglandR.J. Briggs, Assistant Professor, The Pennsylvania State UniversityLawrence G. Buc, President, SLS ConsultingCollin Cain, Manager, Bates White, LLCJohn Caldwell, Director of Economics, Edison Electric InstituteJohn G. Callan, Managing Director, Ursa Major Associates, LLCPeter Cappers, Economist, Lawrence Berkeley National LaboratoryJames Cater, Director – Power Supply, Central Vermont Public ServiceJoseph Cavicchi, Senior Vice President, Compass LexeconHung-po Chao, Director, Market Strategy and Analysis, ISO New England, Inc.Pradip Chattopadhyay, Regional Energy Analyst, New Hampshire Public UtilitiesCommissionJames Cooper, Attorney Advisor to Commissioner William Kovacic, US Federal TradeCommissionMichael A. Crew, Director and CRRI Professor of Regulatory Economics, RutgersUniversityAntoinette Crowder, Principal, Eagle Analytics LLCKevin M. Currier, Department of Economics, Oklahoma State UniversityRobert Curry, Vice President USPS Business Development, USPS Global AccountManager, Siemens Industry - MobilityRobert Czerwinski, Senior Management Consultant, NGI Solutions, LLCAnn Daley, VP Pricing & Policy, Pitney Bowes, Inc.Jessica Dauer Lowrance, Association for Postal Commerce, Executive Vice PresidentWilliam Deehan, Vice President - Power Planning & Regulatory Affairs, CentralVermont Public Service CorporationStephen DeMatteo, Research Analyst, National Association of Letter CarriersGene Del Polito, President, Association for Postal CommerceMario DePillis, Supervisor, Market Assessment, ISO New England, Inc.Casie D’Souza, US Postal Regulatory CommissionEmil J. Dzuray Jr., Manager of Sustainability Initiatives & Acting Chief SustainabilityOfficerAlan E. Finder, Director, KPMG LLPTom Frantz, Director - Electric Division, New Hampshire Public Utilities CommissionRick Geddes, Associate Professor, Cornell University, Department of Policy Analysis &ManagementGlenn George, Partner, Bates & WhiteVictor Glass, Director of Demand Forecasting and Rate Development, NationalExchange Carrier Association, Inc.Shoshana Grove, U.S. Postal Regulatory CommissionHoward Haas, Chief Economist, Monitoring Analytics, LLCWilliam Hogan, Professor, Harvard Kennedy SchoolLee Huffman, Hearing Examiner, New Mexico Public Regulation CommissionPeter Jacobson, CEO, NGI - SolutionsKirk Kaneer, Office of Inspector General, US Postal ServicePaul R. Kleindorfer, Professor Emeritus, University of Pennsylvania and DistinguishedResearch Professor, INSEADAndrew Kleit, Professor of Energy & Environmental Economics, Pennsylvania StateUniversityJ.P. Klingenberg, Economist, U.S. Postal Regulatory CommissionAlberto J. Lamadrid, Graduate Student, Cornell UniversityDavid Lamont, Director of Planning and Energy Resources, Vermont Departmentof Public ServiceKiwan Lee, Manager, National Exchange Carrier Association, Inc.Lide Li, Technical Fellow, Exelon CorporationColin Loxley, Director – Resource Planning, PSE&GBruce Marsh, Economist Manager, US Postal Service Office of Inspector GeneralJeffrey W. Mayes, General Counsel, Monitoring Analytics, LLCJohn W. Mayo, Professor of Economics, Business and Public Policy, GeorgetownUniversityKarl A. McDermott, Ameren Professor of Government and Business, Universityof Illinois-Springfield & Special Consultant, NERA Economic ConsultingRichard A. Michelfelder, Clinical Associate Professor of Finance, RutgersUniversity, School of Business - CamdenWilliam C. Miller, Senior Economist, U.S. Postal Regulatory CommissionTimothy D. Mount, Professor, Cornell UniversityGlenn Meyers, Managing Director, FTIShmuel S. Oren, Professor, University of California at BerkeleyEdward Pearsall, ConsultantJames D. Reitzes, Principal, Brattle GroupMichael Ravnitzky, Chief Counsel to the Chairman, Postal RegulatoryCommissionAgustin J. Ros, Vice President, NERA Economic ConsultingAleksandr Rudkevich, Charles River AssociatesDavid E. M. Sappington, Professor, University of FloridaTodd Schatzki Analysis Group, Inc.Dale G. Schoenberger, Research Staff Member, Institute for Defense AnalysesRichard E. Schuler, Graduate School Professor, Cornell UniversityRichard E. Schuler, Jr., Chief, Utility Programs, New York State Department ofPublic ServicePeter M. Schwarz, Sr. Faculty Fellow, UNC CharlotteSaikat Sen, Executive Director - Public Policy, AT&TSanem Sergici, Associate, The Brattle GroupAnastasia Shcherbakova, Assistant Professor, The Pennsylvania State UniversityRenee Sheehy, Evaluator, Office of Inspector General, US Postal ServiceRobert N. Sidman, Attorney, Postal Regulatory CommissionKelly Sigmon, VP Engineering, United States Postal ServiceMarc Smith, Financial Economist, United States Postal ServicePeter A. Soyka, Soyka & Company, LLCMenahem Spiegel, Associate Director – CRRI, and Associate Professor ofEconomics, Rutgers UniversityHoward Spinner, Director, Division of Economics and Finance, Virginia StateCorporation CommissionRichard Stevie, Chief Economist, Duke EnergyRobert Stoddard, Vice President & Practice Leader Energy & Environment,Charles River AssociatesKurt Strunk, Senior Consultant, NERA Economic ConsultingSheldon Switzer, Manager, DSM Evaluation, Measurement and Verification,Baltimore Gas & Electric CompanyRichard D. Tabors, Vice President, Charles River AssociatesTimothy J. Tardiff, Principal, Advanced Analytical Consulting GroupDavid L. Waring, Graduate Student, TelecordiaJames Wilson, Principal, Wilson Energy EconomicsGuidong Zhu, Exelon Corporation

30th ANNUAL EASTERN CONFERENCEORGANIZING COMMITTEEEric Ackerman (Edison Electric Institute)Sandra Bennett (Southwestern Electric Power Company)John Caldwell ( Edison Electric Institute)Hung-po Chao (ISO New England, Inc.)Michael A. Crew (Rutgers University)William Deehan (Central Vermont Public Service Corporation)Alan E. Finder (KPMG LLP)Tom Frantz (New Hampshire Public Utilities Commission)Victor Glass (National Exchange Carrier Association, Inc.)Julie Kelly (Institute for Defense Analysis)Susan Kelly (American Public Power Association)Colin Loxley (PSE&G)Mark Reeder (New York State Depart. of Public Service)James D. Reitzes (Brattle Group)Richard E. Schuler Jr. (New York State Depart. of Public Service)Robert N. Sidman (U.S. Postal Regulatory Commission)Marc Smith (United States Postal Service)Menahem Spiegel (Rutgers University)Howard Spinner (Virginia State Corporation Commission)Kurt Strunk (NERA Economic Consulting)Sheldon Switzer (Baltimore Gas & Electric)HOTEL RESERVATIONSSufficient Rooms are reserved at the Skytop Lodge for all of the Conferenceparticipants.Participants should register for the conference by returningregistration forms to Skytop Lodge must be received by April 4, 2011. Hotelreservation can be made through:Skytop LodgeOne SkytopSkytop, PA 18357-1099Phone:Fax:http:CONFERENCE STAFFMichael A. Crew, Director—CRRIConference ChairFrancelis Montes de Oca, Assistant Director—CRRI,Conference AdministratorAddress: Center for Research in Regulated IndustriesRutgers Business School1 Washington Park, Room 1104Newark, NJ mcrew@business.rutgers.edu (Michael A. Crew)crri@business.rutgers.edu (Francelis Montes de Oca)Website:www.crri.rutgers.eduREGISTRATION INFORMATIONTo Register: Please complete and return the form below. Registrations areaccepted by mail, email, fax, and telephone. Please confirm telephoneregistrations by sending in a completed and signed registration form. Thedeadline for registrations is April 4, 2011. Registrations received after April4, 2011, will be admitted on a space available basis.Volume discount: Second and subsequent applications received in the sameenvelope, fax, email, or made at the same time by phone will receive a 5%volume discount.Payment Information: Make checks payable to “Rutgers University” andmail to the attention of Francelis Montes de Oca at the above address. Feesinclude prescribed learning materials, receptions and coffee breaks, but do notinclude lodging and meals. All persons that do not stay at the Skytop Lodgewill be required to pay for meals separately. The government registration feeis available for government employees.1-800-617-2389 or 1-570-595-74011-570-595-9618www.skytop.comThe Hotel rate is 228.00 for single occupancy and 318 per double occupancy pernight in addition to State and Local Tax of 7.5% and 30.00 per person per nightservice charge. This rate includes 3 meals per person per night‘s stay. REGISTRATION FORM: 30th Annual Eastern ConferenceName:Title:Company:Complete Address:Telephone:Fax:Email:Billing InformationPayment enclosed 950.00 U.S. Dollars(Applies to registrations paid by February 18, 2011)Payment enclosed 1015.00 U.S. Dollars(Applies to registrations paid after February 18, 2011)Send invoice to participant at above address.Send invoice toCredit Card: VISA MC Exp. /CANCELLATION POLICY: Until April 4, 2011 cancellationis allowed without penalty and refunds will be allowed in full.After this date, the indicated fee is due in full whether or not theparticipant actually attends. Substitutions may be made at anytime.Signature of ParticipantGOVERNMENT RATE: Government employees may apply forreduced enrollment fees.I would like to apply for the government rate of 485.00(Applies to registrations paid by February 18, 2011)I would like to apply for the government rate of 515.00(Applies to registrations paid after February 18, 2011)

Abstract for the 2011 CRRI Western ConferenceNovember 30, 2010Paper : ―Behavioral Economics: Implications for Regulatory Agency Behavior‖AuthorsJames Cooper, Attorney Advisor to Commissioner William Kovacic, US Federal Trade CommissionWilliam Kovacic, Commissioner, US Federal Trade CommissionAbstractAn important focus of modern scholarship in law and economics is the extent to which the actual behavior of individuals confounds expectations of models that assume animportant degree of rationality in decision making. One central theme of this literature is that individuals, owing to a variety of phenomena (e.g., emotion, psychologicalconditioning, incapacity to analyze large bodies of information) often fail to make choices that serve their best interests.The modern behavioral economics literature has important implications for many forms of economic regulation. It suggests that the range of appropriate governmentintervention is considerably greater than the status quo. In particular, it calls into doubt the capacity of individual choice and market processes to provide consumers with anoptimal range of goods and services. It suggests, instead, that regulatory bodies ought to play a more powerful role in determining what products ought to be available forconsumers, in setting the terms on which these products are supplied, and in guiding the choices that consumers make among an array of product offerings.Those who see the behavioral economics literature as justifying a more expansive form of regulatory state often make the explicit or implicit assumption that public regulatorybodies will make sensible choices among a range of policy options. This paper considers how the same forces that are said to shape the behavior of individual consumersmight also affect the performance of public regulatory agencies. It examines how the apparent ―irrationalities‘ observed in the conduct of individuals as consumers might alsoappear in the choices of individuals acting as regulators. In doing so, it raises cautions about accepting an assumption that public regulatory authorities are ordinarily likely tobe proficient in setting default

Skytop Lodge, Skytop, Pennsylvania, May 18-20, 2011 . Andrew Kleit, Alina Mackenthun & Anastasia Shcherbakova: Bidding for Electricity Contracts in Pennsylvania . An Opportunity Cost Model for Electric Utility Efficiency Pr