ADOPTED December 15, 2021 LINCOL N MPO 2050 LONG RANGE TRANSPOR TATION .

Transcription

ADOPTED December 15, 2021LINCOLNMPO 2050LONG RANGETRANSPORTATIONPL AN UPDATE

Required Credit / Disclaimer Statement“The preparation of the document was financed in part withfunding from the United States Department of Transportation(USDOT) and administered by the Nebraska Department ofTransportation (NDOT). The opinions, findings, and conclusionsexpressed in this publication are those of the authors and do notnecessarily represent USDOT, or NDOT.”

ADOPTED December 15, 2021AcknowledgementsThe Lincoln Metropolitan Planning Organization would like to acknowledge the following whoprovided input in the development of the 2050 Long Range Transportation Plan.M P O O f f i c i a l s Co m m i tt e eLeirion Gaylor Baird, Mayor, City of LincolnJames Michael Bowers, Chair, City CouncilTammy Ward, Vice-Chair, City CouncilRick Vest, Chair, County BoardDeb Schorr, Vice-Chair, County BoardRichard Meginnis, City CouncilSean Flowerday, County BoardJohn Selmer, Director, NebraskaDepartment of Transportation(representative Ryan Huff)M P O T e c hni c a lC o m mi t te eDavid Cary, Tri-Chair, Director, LincolnLancaster County Planning DepartmentPam Dingman, Tri-Chair, Lancaster CountyEngineerElizabeth Elliott, Tri-Chair, Director, LincolnTransportation and Utilities DepartmentRonald Caldi, Assistant Director ofTransportation (City Engineer), LincolnTransportation and Utilities Department(representative Thomas Shafer and previousmember Lonnie Burkland)Roger Figard, Executive Director, RailroadTransportation Safety DistrictDan Marvin, Director, Lincoln UrbanDevelopment Department (representativeWynn Hjermstad or Richard Bishop)Gary Bergstrom, Air Quality Supervisor,Lincoln-Lancaster County HealthDepartmentLynn Johnson, Director, Lincoln Parks &Recreation Department (representative SaraHartzell or Robert Bartja)Michael Davis, Transit Manager, StarTran(representative Brian Prauner)David Haring, Executive Director, LincolnAirport Authority (representative Chad Lay)Tom Goodbarn, District 1 Engineer, NebraskaDepartment of TransportationCraig Wacker, Planning and ProjectDevelopment Manager, NebraskaDepartment of TransportationKelly Oelke, City Administrator, City ofHickmanStephanie Fisher, City Administrator, City ofWaverlyNon Voting MembersJustin Luther, Federal HighwayAdministrationGerri Doyle, Federal Transit AdministrationSusan Larson Rodenburg, Pedestrian &Bicycle Advisory CommitteePaul Zillig, Lower Platte South NRDPaul Barnes, Long Range Principal Planner,Lincoln-Lancaster County PlanningDepartmentC o m mu ni t y Co mmi t t e eLarry Legg, Assistant County Engineer,Lancaster County EngineeringTom Beckius, Planning CommissionErin Sokolik, Assistant City Engineer, LincolnTransportation and Utilities DepartmentKellee Van Bruggen, Multi-ModalTransportation Planner, Lincoln-LancasterCounty Planning DepartmentTracy Corr, Planning CommissionAlonzo Ball, Planning CommissionDick Campbell, Planning CommissionTracy Edgerton, Planning CommissionDeane Finnegan, Planning CommissionCristy Joy, Planning CommissionPage i

ADOPTED December 15, 2021Cindy Ryman Yost, Planning CommissionDennis Scheer, Planning CommissionBurdette Piening, AgricultureSilas Clarke, Small CommunitiesSam Manzitto, DeveloperNader Sepahpur, Business OwnerBryan Seck, Economic DevelopmentAllan Zafft, Lincoln-Lancaster CountyPlanning DepartmentThomas Shafer, Lincoln Transportation andUtilities DepartmentDan Carpenter, Lincoln Transportation andUtilities Department (previous member MarkLutjeharms)Marilyn McNabb, Sustainability/ResiliencyErin Sokolik, Lincoln Transportation andUtilities DepartmentMeghan Sittler, Natural Resources/SpringCreek PrairieRoberto Partida, Lincoln Transportation andUtilities DepartmentPeter Hind, Design/ArchitectBrian Praeuner, StarTranDaNay Kalkowski, Development AttorneyKaralyn Hoefer, RealtyAnna Eickholt, Country Club NeighborhoodAssociationVishnu Reddi, Near South NeighborhoodAssociationMegan Ourada, UPCO (NeighborhoodAssociation)Wynn Hjermstad, Lincoln UrbanDevelopment DepartmentSara Hartzell, Lincoln Parks & RecreationDepartmentBobby Bartja, Lincoln Parks & RecreationDepartmentGrant Daily, South Salt Creek NALarry Legg, Lancaster County EngineeringSusan Larson Rodenburg, Multi-Modal/Pedestrian and Bicyclist Advisory CommitteeChris Schroeder, Lincoln-Lancaster CountyHealth DepartmentJose Lemus/Kieran Kissler,Underrepresented Demographic Groups/Civic NebraskaGary Bergstrom, Lincoln-Lancaster CountyHealth DepartmentMarco Barker, Education/UNLSteve Ingracia, Technology/EngineeringFirmTodd Ogden, Downtown Lincoln AssociationCraig Wacker, Nebraska Department ofTransportationJustin Luther, Federal HighwayAdministrationGerri Doyle, Federal Transit AdministrationSheila Dorsey Vinton, Health/HumanServices/Asian Community and CulturalCenterC o ns u l t a n t Te a mKelly Oelke, City of HickmanFelsburg Holt & UllevigDave Johnson, ArchitectStephanie Fischer, City of WaverlyP r o je c t O v e r s i g h tP l a n ni ng C o m m i tt e ePaul Barnes, Lincoln-Lancaster CountyPlanning DepartmentAndrew Thierolf, Lincoln-Lancaster CountyPlanning DepartmentKellee Van Bruggen, Lincoln-LancasterCounty Planning DepartmentJenny Young, Project ManagerJesse Poore, Deputy Project ManagerJessica JurzenskiMegan OrnelasAjdin HamzagicDale TischmakCambridge SystematicsSean McAteeMathew TrostlePage ii

ADOPTED December 15, 2021Table of ContentsPage1. Introduction . 1-1Metropolitan Planning Organization . 1-3Reason for Planning . 1-3Compliance with Federal Regulations . 1-4Plan Update Process . 1-7Completed Projects . 1-82. Vision, Goals, and Performance Measures. 2-1Transportation Vision and Goals. 2-2Performance Measures . 2-63. Outreach and Public Participation . 3-1Public Engagement Process . 3-1Public Engagement Stakeholders . 3-7Key Themes of Public Input . 3-94.Current and Future Needs Assessment . 4-1Land Use and Demographics. 4-1Travel Patterns and Trends . 4-16Roads and Bridges . 4-22Active Transportation . 4-41Transit . 4-51Intermodal Connections . 4-53Rail. 4-54Existing Freight System . 4-56Existing Airports and Airfields . 4-59Safety . 4-625. Needs Based Plan . 5-1Roadway .5-2Goods and Freight Movement . 5-22Airports and Airfields. 5-23Bicycle . 5-23Pedestrian .5-26Trails .5-26Transit . 5-31Page iii

ADOPTED December 15, 20216. Funding Outlook . 6-1Revenue Forecasts . 6-1Resource Allocation .6-15Funding Strategy .6-22Future Funding Considerations .6-257. Fiscally Constrained Plan . 7-1Project Prioritization Process . 7-2Fiscally Constrained Plan Elements . 7-6Future Congestion Levels . 7-23Air Quality .7-26Environmental Justice and Equity . 7-30Illustrative Plan . 7-348. Implementation Plan . 8-1Policies and Action Steps . 8-1Mitigating Impacts to Environmental, Social, and Cultural Resources . 8-30Relationship to Transportation Improvement Program .8-35Amendment Process .8-35AppendicesAppendix A – LRTP MeetingsAppendix B – Public Engagement SummariesAppendix C – Land Use ForecastsAppendix D – Travel Demand Model Documentation and User GuideAppendix E – Congestion Management ProcessAppendix F – Project Prioritization ProcessAppendix G – Roadway and Trail Project Scoring ResultsAppendix H – Environmental OverviewL i s t o f F i g u re sFigure 1.1Lincoln Metropolitan Planning Area . 1-2Figure 1.2Major Projects Completed Since 2017 LRTP . 1-9Figure 2.1PlanForward Themes and LRTP Goals . 2-2Figure 2.2Equity Measure of Transit Service Frequency . 2-15Figure 2.3Equity Measure Access to On-Street and Trail Network .2-16Figure 2.4Equity Measure of Travel Time to Work . 2-17Figure 2.5Equity Measure of Road Conditions .2-18Figure 3.1Phases of LRTP Public Engagement Strategy. 3-1Page iv

ADOPTED December 15, 2021Figure 3.2Distribution of Comments by Transportation Topic .3-2Figure 3.3Perception of Ease of Travel by Mode 2016 and 2020 .3-3Figure 3.4Public Input about the Most Pressing Transportation Challenges . 3-4Figure 3.5Public Survey and Focus Group Distribution of Transportation Funding .3-5Figure 3.6Goals Ranked by Focus Groups and the Public . 3-8Figure 3.7Four Future Workshop Scenarios for 2050 . 3-8Figure 4.1Lincoln Metropolitan Planning Areas . 4-2Figure 4.2Household Growth . 4-3Figure 4.3Commercial Growth . 4-5Figure 4.4Industrial Growth . 4-6Figure 4.5Equity Index . 4-9Figure 4.6Older Adults . 4-10Figure 4.7People with Disabilities . 4-11Figure 4.8People with Limited English Proficiency . 4-12Figure 4.9Single Parent Households . 4-13Figure 4.10People with Low Income . 4-14Figure 4.11BIPOC Communities . 4-15Figure 4.12Workflows . 4-16Figure 4.13Travel Time to Work . 4-16Figure 4.14Distance from Home to Work . 4-17Figure 4.15Distance and Direction from Home to Work. 4-17Figure 4.16Housing Transportation Index . 4-18Figure 4.17Zero Vehicle Households . 4-21Figure 4.18Roadway Surface Conditions (2017) . 4-23Figure 4.19Roadway Surface Conditions by Percent (2018) . 4-24Figure 4.20City of Lincoln Surface Maintenance Activity . 4-25Figure 4.21Bridge Ratings . 4-26Figure 4.22National Highway System . 4-27Figure 4.23Existing Functional Classification. 4-30Figure 4.24Existing Through Lanes . 4-31Figure 4.25Current (2019) Daily Traffic Volumes. 4-32Figure 4.26Current Congestion Levels V/C . 4-34Figure 4.27Congestion Levels Over Time . 4-35Figure 4.282035 Daily Traffic Forecasts E C . 4-36Figure 4.292050 Daily Traffic Forecasts E C. 4-37Figure 4.302035 Congestion Levels E C . 4-38Figure 4.312050 Congestion Levels E C. 4-39Figure 4.32Annual Electric Vehicle Sales in Nebraska .4-40Figure 4.33BikeLNK Ridership . 4-42Page v

ADOPTED December 15, 2021Figure 4.34Bike Demand and Bikeshare Locations . 4-43Figure 4.35Trail and On-Street Bicycle Activity .4-44Figure 4.36Citywide Network Bicycle Level of Stress. 4-45Figure 4.37Existing On-street Bike Network . 4-47Figure 4.38Future County Bike Trail Connections .4-48Figure 4.39Existing Sidewalks and Trails. 4-50Figure 4.40StarTran Ridership . 4-51Figure 4.41StarTran Fixed Bus Routes . 4-52Figure 4.42Autonomous Microtransit: Downtown Concept . 4-53Figure 4.43Railroad At-grade Crossings . 4-55Figure 4.44Major Truck Corridors . 4-56Figure 4.45Freight Movement by Tons and Value (2015) . 4-58Figure 4.46Freight Movement by Tons and Value (2045) . 4-58Figure 4.47Truck Routes and Destinations. 4-59Figure 4.48Lincoln Airport Environs Noise District . 4-60Figure 4.49Lancaster County Airports and Airfields . 4-61Figure 4.50Injury and Fatality Crashes per 100K Population . 4-62Figure 4.51Crash Severity . 4-62Figure 4.52National Proportion of Fatalities Inside/Outside Vehicle, 1997–2018 . 4-64Figure 5.1Urban Area Roadway Capital Projects . 5-4Figure 5.2Rural Road Capital Projects.5-16Figure 5.3NDOT Highway Projects . 5-21Figure 5.4Recommended Bike Network. 5-25Figure 5.5Trail Projects .5-28Figure 6.1Committed and Restricted Funds by Category. 6-18Figure 6.2Community Input on Funding Priorities . 6-20Figure 6.3Project Oversight Planning Committee and Community Committee Inputon Resource Allocation Scenarios .6-22Figure 6.4Comparison of Resource Allocation Scenarios . 6-23Figure 6.5Recommended Resource Allocation ( M) . 6-24Figure 7.1Fiscally Constrained Rural Road & Bridge Capital Projects . 7-10Figure 7.2Fiscally Constrained Urban Roadway Capital Projects .7-16Figure 7.3Priority Trail Projects . 7-21Figure 7.4Congestion Levels. 7-23Figure 7.52035 Congestion Levels (Fiscally Constrained Plan) . 7-24Figure 7.62050 Congestion Levels (Fiscally Constrained Plan) . 7-25Figure 7.7Example Pollutant Emission Rates for Lincoln Arterial Streets (May weekdayduring 11AM hour) .7-29Page vi

ADOPTED December 15, 2021Figure 7.8Typical Weekday Pollutant Emission Totals for Fiscally ConstrainedRoad Network . 7-30Figure 7.9Illustrative Plan (Unfunded) NDOT Highway Projects . 7-35Figure 7.10Illustrative Plan (Unfunded) Rural Road & Bridge Capital Projects . 7-38Figure 7.11Illustrative Plan (Unfunded) Urban Roadway Capital Projects . 7-42Figure 7.12Illustrative Plan (Unfunded) Trail Projects . 7-45List of TablesTable 1.1Major Projects Completed Since 2017 LRTP . 1-8Table 2.1Relationship of LRTP Goals to FAST Act Requirements .2-5Table 4.1Household and Employment Growth .4-4Table 4.2Socioeconomic Indicators . 4-8Table 4.3Commuter Mode Split . 4-17Table 4.4Bridge Conditions . 4-25Table 4.5Planning Level Daily Capacities (Per Through Lane) . 4-33Table 4.6Vehicle Miles Traveled . 4-35Table 4.7City Intersections Above Critical Crash Rates. 4-63Table 5.1Urban Area Roadway Capital Projects .5-5Table 5.2Two Plus Center Turn Lane Projects . 5-11Table 5.3Candidate Railroad Grade Separated Crossing Projects . 5-13Table 5.4Rural Road Capital Projects. 5-17Table 5.5NDOT Highway Projects .

adopted december 15, 2021 lincol n mpo 2050 long range transpor tation pl an update