Dr. Marios Theristis, Postdoctoral Researcher

Transcription

14/10/2018Current status and future perspectives of photovoltaicsDr. Marios Theristis, Postdoctoral Researcher1

14/10/2018Outline Current status of RES and Solar Energy Challenges Where is research heading to? New technologies Conclusion2

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14/10/2018Top 10 countries in 2016 based ontotal PV installed capacitySource: Report IEA PVPS T1-31:2017Top 10 countries based onadded PV capacity in 20164

14/10/2018Challenges for PV CostEfficiency/Energy yieldReliabilityGrid/Market integration5

14/10/2018Cost Reduction: Is this possible?

14/10/2018The accelerating pace of changeLevelized cost of energy at a couple of the preeminent utility-scale solar sitesaround the world is going below 3 /kWh the SunShot 2030 cost goal October 2017: Saudi Arabia’s 300 MW PV plant was bid at 1.79 /kWh September 2016: Abu Dhabi Electricity and Water Authority’s 350 MWPV plant accepted a bid from JinkoSolar–Marubeni at 2.42 /kWhenergy.gov/solar-office7

14/10/2018Innovative packaging material for improvedenergy yield Up to 10 C temperature difference Reduced thermal losses ( 1%) Improved reliability expected8

14/10/2018PV intermittency and the power gridGrid ControlsSchedulingPower Systems Planning & DesignMilliseconds to MinutesHours to DaysYears PV solarintermittency raisesgrid stability andreliability concerns PV variabilityincreasesoperationalcomplexity Higher PVpenetrationrequires increasedgrid flexibilitySource: First Solarenergy.gov/solar-office9

14/10/2018Inflexible solar saturation already evident inCaliforniaTYPICAL SPRING DAYActual 3-hour rampof 13GW on December18, 2016SteeperRamps2012(actual)20182019over generation 2014201520162017ramp need 13GWin three hours2020*Net Load of 8.5GWon May 14, 201710

14/10/2018Dispatchable solar is on the way11

14/10/2018Machine Learning can be used to automatically manage electricity distribution andlearn to forecast energy use, among others!12

14/10/2018Failure detection routines and algorithmsDevices to detect faults and failures13

Existing and future grid analysis for high PVpenetration Optimum Forecasting Solutions Active Plant Control through grid managementsoftwarePV Plant ControlPV PlantInverter DataSky MapsNumerical Weather Predictions(NWP)Data LoggerPV Power Production Model(Machine Learning Model)SCADARemote OperationDay ahead and hour ahead PVpower forecasting.M.G. Lightning Ltd

Effective use of storage with PV for achieving high PV penetration levelsPVStorageSelf-consumptionEnergy management by active prosumers Demonstration Sites with existing PV systems (3-5 kWp) & Smart Meters 5 Pilot Regions: 8 – 15 kWh ESS installed at households Cyprus: 30 – 50 kWh social ESS at 5 households located in the same neighbourhood Features Local weather forecasts for solar power generation prediction Control for all compatible household devices Maintain on-grid connectivity during system frequency disturbance incidents Time of Use tariffs

14/10/2018Added value PV deploymentsPV modules that produce energy AND provide another value, such as Protect building from elements (Roof, windows, façades) Reduce evaporation on reservoirs (Floating PV) Allow more varied crops to be grown Reduce fuel needs (remote grids, solar cars, ships)Value is more than energy Appearance, weight, physical properties are all important.Source: J. Stein, 10th PVPMC, Albuquerque, NM, 2018.16

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ConclusionThe future of PV isBRIGHTHas to be part of ourEnergy Mix

14/10/2018Contact information:Marios Theristis, PhDPostdoctoral c.cywww.pvtechnology.ucy.ac.cy19

Dr. Marios Theristis, Postdoctoral Researcher 14/10/2018 1. Outline Current status of RES and Solar Energy Challenges Where is research heading to? New technologies Conclusion 14/10/2018 2. 14/10/2018 3. 14/10/2018 4 Top 10 countries in 2016 based on total PV installed capacity