Completion And Attrition Trends: Baseline Data Analysis

Transcription

Completion andAttrition Trends:Baseline Data AnalysisCGS Summer WorkshopJuly 11, 2007San Juan, PR1

The baseline data describes completion and attritionrates by broad field and disciplines of study, cohort size,and institutional type.This presentation includes: Snap shots of previous presentations Temporal completion trends by disciplinesin each broad field Completion rates by institution types Completion rates by cohort sizes Attrition rates (Details omitted)Council of Graduate Schoolswww.cgsnet.org2

Cumulative Overall 10-Year Completion Rate for CohortsBeginning in 1992-1993, 1993-1994, and 1994--1995, by Yearsince Entering Doctoral Study60Overall54.656.7C u m m u la tiv e C o m p le tio n R a te40205145.636.1022.5By Broad FieldsC u m u la tiv e C o m p le tio n R a te10 20 30 40 50 60 70%310.504.5345Source: Council of Graduate SchoolsCompletion and Attrition Program Data67YearCouncil of Graduate Schools89104657Year89EngineeringLife SciencesMathematics & Physical SciencesSocial Sciences10HumanitiesSource: Council of Graduate SchoolsCompletion and Attrition Program Datawww.cgsnet.org3

0Cumulative Completion Rate10 20 30 40 50 60 70Cumulative 10-Year Completion Rates for Cohorts Beginning in1992-1993, 1993-1994, and 1994-1995, for Engineering Disciplines withFive or More Programs, by Year since Entering Doctoral Study3456Year78910Chemical EngineeringCivil EngineeringElectric & Electronics EngineeringMechanical EngineeringSource: Council of Graduate SchoolsCompletion and Attrition Program DataCouncil of Graduate Schoolswww.cgsnet.org4

Cumulative Completion Rate0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70Cumulative Completion Rates for Cohorts Beginning in 1992-1993, 19931994, and 1994-1995, for Life Science Disciplines at Five or MorePrograms, by Year since Entering Doctoral Study3456Year789BiologyGenetics, Molecular GeneticsMicrobiology and ImmunologyMolecular and Cellular Biology10NeuroscienceSource: Council of Graduate SchoolsSource:ProgramCouncil of DataGraduate Schools, Ph.D. Completion Project, Exit Survey Database.Completion and AttritionCouncil of Graduate Schoolswww.cgsnet.org5

0Cumulative Completion Rate10 20 30 40 50 6070Cumulative Completion Rates for Cohorts Beginning in 1992-1993,1993-1994, and 1994-1995, for Mathematics & Physical ScienceDisciplines at Five or More Programs, by Year since EnteringDoctoral Study3456Year78109ChemistryComputer and Information SciencesMathematicsPhysics and AstronomySource: Council of Graduate SchoolsCompletion and Attrition Program DataCouncil of Graduate Schoolswww.cgsnet.org6

Cumulative Completion Rate0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70Cumulative Completion Rates for Cohorts Beginning in 1992-1993, 19931994, and 1994-1995, for Social Science Disciplines at Five or MorePrograms, by Year since Entering Doctoral Study3456Year789Anthropology and ArchaeologyCommunicationsEconomicsPolitical SciencePsychologySociology10Source: Council of Graduate SchoolsCompletion and Attrition Program DataSource: Council of Graduate Schools, Ph.D. Completion Project, Exit Survey Database.Council of Graduate Schoolswww.cgsnet.org7

0Cumulative Completion Rate10 20 30 40 50 6070Cumulative Completion Rates for Cohorts Beginning in 1992-1993, 19931994, and 1994-1995, for Humanities Disciplines at Five or More Programs,by Year since Entering Doctoral Study3456Year78910English Language and LiteratureForeign Languages and LiteratureHistoryPhilosophySource: Council of Graduate SchoolsCompletion and Attrition Program DataCouncil of Graduate Schoolswww.cgsnet.org8

0Cumulative Completion Rate102030405060Cumulative Completion Rates by Institution Type for CohortsBeginning in 1992-1993, 1993-1994, and 1994-1995, by Year sinceEntering Doctoral Study34567YearPublic8910PrivateSource: Council of Graduate SchoolsCompletionand CouncilAttritionProgramData Ph.D. Completion Project, Exit Survey Database.Sources:of GraduateSchools,Council of Graduate Schoolswww.cgsnet.org9

Cumulative Completion Rates by Institution Type for CohortsBeginning in 1992-1993, 1993-1994, and 1994-1995, by Broad Fieldsand by Year since Entering Doctoral Study6000204020 40 Social Sciences0Cumulative Completion RatesMathematics & Physical SciencesLife aphs by BFSource: Council of Graduate SchoolsCompletion and Attrition Program DataCouncil of Graduate Schoolswww.cgsnet.org10

Cumulative Completion Rate10 20 3040 5060Cumulative Completion Rates by Cohort Size for Cohorts Beginningin 1992-1993, 1993-1994, and 1994-1995, by Year since EnteringDoctoral Study0Small: 1-7Medium: 8-14Large: 15 3456Small7Year8910MediumLargeSource: Council of Graduate SchoolsCompletion and Attrition Program DataCouncil of Graduate Schoolswww.cgsnet.org11

Cumulative Completion Rates by Cohort Size for Cohorts Beginningin 1992-1993, 1993-1994, and 1994-1995, by Broad Fields and by Yearsince Entering Doctoral Study20 40 60Mathematics & Physical Sciences2468100020 40 600 20 40 60 80Life Sciences24Social Sciences681024681020 40 6020 40 60Humanities00Cumulative Completion aphs by BFSource: Council of Graduate SchoolsCompletion and Attrition Program DataCouncil of Graduate Schoolswww.cgsnet.org12

0Cumulative Completion Rates80604020100Cumulative Attrition, Completion, and Continuing Rates for CohortsBeginning in 1992-1993, 1993-1994, and 1994-1995, by Board Fields, forYear 3 through Year 10 since Entering Doctoral Study3 4 5 6 7 8 9 103 4 5 6 7 8 9 103 4 5 6 7 8 9 103 4 5 6 7 8 9 103 4 5 6 7 8 9 10EngineeringLife SciencesMath & Physical Sci.Social e: 10-Year Cohorts include all cohorts entering 1992-93 through 1994-95Source: Council of Graduate SchoolsCompletion and Attrition Program DataCouncil of Graduate Schoolswww.cgsnet.org13

Components of Overall Early Attrition for Year 1 through Year 4 sinceEntering Doctoral Study0Percent Attrition6428Other attrition data in our upcoming book:Attrition rates by broad fields, disciplines, institution type, and cohort sizes.Components of early attrition at the aggregate level and by broad fields.ABCAYear 1BCY ea r 2N o M a ste r'sM a s te r 's , W it h C a n d id a c yABCYear 3ABCYear 4M a s te r 's, N o C a n d id a c yT ra n s fe rre dS ou rc e : C o un c il o f G r ad ua t e S c ho o lsC o m p le t io n a nd A t t rit i on P r og ra m D a t aN O T E : A -c o h o r ts in c lu d e a ll co h o rts e n te r in g 1 99 2 -9 3 th ro u g h 1 9 9 4 -9 5B -c o h o r ts i n cl u d e a l l c o h o rts e n te ri n g 1 9 9 5 - 9 6 th r o u g h 1 9 9 7- 9 8C - co h or ts in c l ud e a ll c o h o rts e n te r in g 1 9 9 8 -9 9 t h ro u g h 2 0 0 0 - 01Council of Graduate Schoolswww.cgsnet.org14

Summary Completion and attrition rates vary across broad fields andacross disciplines within a broad field. In general, Engineering and Life Sciences disciplines havehigher completion rates and Humanities have lower completionrates than other broad fields. The rate of completion continues to increase in the SocialSciences and Humanities (SSH) disciplines from years 7-10suggesting that completion in these broad fields continuesbeyond year 10. There is little difference in completion rates by institutiontype or by cohort sizes at the aggregate level. Across fields,differences sometimes become more evident. Early attrition rates increase faster than later attrition rates.Council of Graduate Schoolswww.cgsnet.org15

Disciplines at Five or More Programs, by Year since Entering Doctoral Study Council of Graduate Schools www.cgsnet.org. 7 Source: Council of Graduate Schools, Ph.D. Completion Project, Exit Survey Database. Cumulative Completion Rates for Cohorts Beginning in 1992-1993, 1993- 1994, and 1994