Stock Guide Autumn 2016 - MarketSmith

Transcription

TRADING SUMMITLearn Essential Stock Trading Strategies at a Free SummitJoin us for a full day of complimentary investing educationto learn about swing trading, investing in growth stocks andadvanced screening techniques. At the Trading Summit, you’llget tips on essential investing strategies and learn how to streamline your stock research. Plus, we’ll show you how to get the mostout of premium products from Investor’s Business Daily.IBD Trading Summits are held all over the country.Register now: Call 1.800.831.2525or go to: Investors.com/TradingSummit 2016 Investor’s Business Daily, Inc. Investor’s Business Daily, IBD, CAN SLIM, Leaderboard and corresponding logos are registered trademarksowned by Investor’s Business Daily, Inc. MarketSmith is a registered trademark of William O’Neil and Company, Incorporated.

Stock Guide Autumn 2016In August 2016, MarketSmith introduced several new features to help investorsidentify and profit from earnings releases with the weekly Earnings UpcomingReport and the daily Earnings Price Gap Reports.This Stock Guide is designed to highlight the efficiency of these reports, as wellas illustrate the importance of vigilance around earnings releases as Q4 beginsand companies begin reporting their Q3 results. Additionally, we provide a fewpointers on how to manage your portfolio within different earnings scenarios, likewhen a leading stock gaps up or down on heavy volume.The stock screens included in this Stock Guide feature leading stocks that aregapping up and down in price. To help you stay on top of the earnings calendar,we have included a screen that reports which Growth 250 stocks are reportingearnings within the next 5 trading days.As always, if you have any questions or comments about your investingresearch, please call a MarketSmith product coach at (800) 424-9033 or emailreachus@marketsmith.com.Best Returns,The MarketSmith Team

Table of ContentsMarket Charts. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3MarketSmith Education Tips . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4Autumn 2016 Screens*Growth 250 Upcoming Earnings. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8Factset Research Sys Inc . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (FDS). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9Cintas Corp . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (CTAS). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9Worthington Industries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (WOR. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10Cantel Medical Corp . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (CMN) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10Earnings Gap Ups 80/80. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11Finisar Corporation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (FNSR). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12Momo Inc Ads Cl A . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (MOMO). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12Argan Inc . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (AGX). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13Burlington Stores Inc . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (BURL). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13Applied Materials Inc . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (AMAT). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14Science Applications Int . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (SAIC). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14Earnings Gap Downs 80/80 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15Heico Corp Cl A . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (HEIA) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16Smith & Wesson Hldg Corp . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (SWHC). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16Hewlett Packard Ent Co . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (HPE). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17Stock Guide Legend. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18*All screen results are computer-generated and were run on September 23, 2016.

Market ChartsS & P 500 INDEXCLOSE 21202119.122081.5620702025.912019.391993.262020200 DAYMOVINGAVERAGE1991.6850 .10DAILY VOLUME AND 50-DAY AVERAGE DAILY VOLUME LINE1.8 B900 M450 M190 M25923OCT620NOV418DEC1152912JAN 2016 PNASDAQ COMPOSITECLOSE 00 DAYMOVINGAVERAGE4678.3850 4209.764150DAILY VOLUME AND 50-DAY AVERAGE DAILY VOLUME LINE3.3 B1.9 B1.2 B600 M259OCT236NOV204DEC1811529JAN 2016 P23

4MarketSmith Education TipsManaging Earnings SeasonAs most investors know, earnings are the fundamental catalyst for stock priceappreciation. Institutions usually favor companies with strong current and futureearnings coupled with growing sales over companies losing money quarter overquarter, year over year.How the stock price reacts to an earnings report can be more important than the actualearnings report itself. That’s why MarketSmith has created a suite of reports dedicatedto earnings activity. Our Earnings Upcoming Report keeps you aware of the relevantcompanies reporting earnings in the next 5 business days. Then to keep you on top of astock’s reaction to their earnings release, the new Gap Up and Gap Down email alertsyou when there’s price gap movement more than 1% either way.Earnings Upcoming ReportDuring earnings season, you need to focus on what the collective impact can be to youroverall portfolio. Since earnings reports are unpredictable, it is important to know howconcentrated you are in companies reporting earnings around the same time. The MarketSmith Earnings Upcoming Report provides you the information you need to manageyour investments effectively.From a portfolio perspective, investors need to make a decision if they want to hold astock through earnings. If so, it’s crucial that you have a minimum profit cushion of 5%to minimize any losses. For example, if the stock gaps down 10%, you take a 5% losson the overall position, generally acceptable from a risk/reward standpoint.If the market reacts negatively, then the overall portfolio can experience a largedrawdown. If you decide you cannot handle the collective impact of a potentialdrawdown, then you should scale back your positions accordingly. When you scale yourexposure back, the downside risk is that you’ll make less money than you could have ifthe stock responds positively, which is better than losing big if the stock responds poorly.marketsmith.comAutumn 2016

MarketSmith Education Tips5Earnings Gap Up/Down ReportThe Gap Up/Down Reports give you insight into the sentiment of the broader marketand how investors are judging their holdings. For example, if a company missesexpectations or reports disappointing earnings, and the stock still gaps up, then it maybe a more forgiving market environment. Conversely, if a company beats expectations,and there’s a sell-off, the market may be punishing high beta stocks.Autumn 2016marketsmith.com

6MarketSmith Education TipsLeading Stock Gaps Up ReportEarnings gap up can provide an opportunity to enter a position you may have missedin the past. Because a gap up generally indicates impressive strength along withinstitutional accumulation, it’s a good idea to keep the stock on a watch list. It’s possiblethe stock may prove to be a big winner going forward. On the flip side, if a price gapup comes too late in a stock’s run it may actually be a sell signal. Like all aspects oftechnical chart reading, after watching a variety of gaps over time you become moreattuned to which direction the stock will move.marketsmith.comAutumn 2016

MarketSmith Education Tips7Leading Stock Gaps Down ReportAn earnings gap down is a strong sign of weakness. When institutions signal theirshifting support in a stock such that it gaps down, especially on heavy volume, investorsshould review their position based on their individual trading strategies.No matter the size, a gap down in share price warns of an abundance of sellers andindicates investors losing conviction in the stock. Perhaps the product or service is notevolving or earnings reflect poor management decisions. A gap down is even moreconcerning when it occurs after a long upside move then continues to break downthrough support levels, such as 50-day moving average.Autumn 2016marketsmith.com

8Autumn 2016 Screens:Growth 250 Upcoming EarningsEarnings releases can have a big positive or negative impact on your portfolio. This isthe time when investors receive feedback regarding a company’s current and futuregrowth prospects. The first step to mitigating earnings risk is knowing when the stocksin your portfolio report. This screen focuses on Growth 250 stocks that have theirEarnings Due Date within the next 5 trading days.Company Name (Symbol)Industry GroupEPS Due Date PageFactset Research Sys Inc (FDS)Comml Svcs-Market Rsrch9/27/20167Cintas Corp (CTAS)Comml Svcs-Outsourcing9/27/20167Worthington Industries (WOR)Metal Proc & Fabrication9/28/20168Cantel Medical Corp (CMN)Medical-Systems/Equip9/28/20168Visit marketsmith.com/learn/stockguide to load the criteria for this andother Stock Guide screens directly into your MarketSmith screener.All screen results are computer-generated and were run on September 23, 2016.This screen can also be found in the community section of marketsmith.com.marketsmith.comAutumn 2016

Growth 250 Upcoming Earnings 9FACTSET RESEARCH SYS INC(FDS) NYSEfactset.comCOMML SVCS-MARKET RSRCHPROVIDES FINANCIAL DATA FROM STOCK MARKETS, NEWSWIRES AND DATA SUPPLIERS TO INVESTMENT PROFESSIONALS7/16 EXPECTS Q4 FY16 ADJUSTED EARNINGS OF 1.68 TO 1.72 PERSHARE ON REVENUES OF 286 MIL TO 292 MIL.SHORT INT13.9 DAYS 32% GROWTH RATE 9% DEBT7%OPTIONS ONAM/MS EARNINGS STAB2 NEW CEO7/15UP/DOWN1.1 EPS RANK84 TIMELINESSBEX-DIV8/29 PE29(1.5XS&P) ACC/DISTDYIELD1.1% 5 YR PE18 - 31 SMR RATINGARS EPSEARNINGS (AUG)HILO GROUP REL STR 5383 6210 3.09 9661 DunBradstr DNBQTR 2ForresterFORR8259113.871127877 87124.5610985 IMS Health IMSMCO72 64135.0411986 MoodysCSGP65 97145.32145 101 CostarGrp1516175.741776.40 EST 11%7.12 EST 11%136 178.57(OH -2%)40.7 SHRS / 39.4 FLT / AVG VOL 26365813.51X BK VALUE FUNDS53%INVENTORY TO.BANKS1%R&DN/A MGMT3%RET ON EQUITY46% ALPHAN/ACASH FLOW 6.62 BETA1.02COMPOSITE RATING 84PRICESCALEQTR 3190QTR 1183.17QTR 43.08145.48140O- O O74DIVINC135.95R S LINEVS SP500149.39147.37O130OO120VOLUME400 K194 K110 K923OCT6NOVEPS DUE*9/2220418DEC115JAN 1629FEB1226MAR11258APR226MAY1.43 6%1.48 VS238.7 10% 270.5 VS31X -- 25X 0.44CINTAS CORP(CTAS) NASDAQCOMML SVCS-OUTSOURCING1.35 10%1.59 VS242.7 11% 281.8 VS31X -- 27X 0.44171JUL15 8%75AUG12269SEP23QUARTER ENDED MAY 31,161.42 12%1.64 VS247.8 14% 287.5 VS30X -- 23X 0.501.46 12%254.5 13%27X -- 24X 114.16(OH -4%)cintas.com8/16 TO ACQUIRE G&K SERVICES, PROVIDER OF BRANDED UNIFORM/FACILITY SVCS PROG, FOR 97.50/SHR IN CASH OR ABOUT 2.2 BILSHORT INT5.3 DAYS -39% GROWTH RATE 17% DEBTOPTIONS ONAM/MS EARNINGS STAB4 NEW CEOUP/DOWN1.9 EPS RANK95 TIMELINESSEX-DIV11/4 PE28(1.5XS&P) ACC/DISTYIELD0.9% 5 YR PE15 - 28 SMR RATINGRS EPSEARNINGS (MAY)HILO GROUP REL STR 82CRDB97 7710 1.49 2923 CrawfordBQTR 2G&KSvcGK9290111.653526NSP90 94122.274534 InsperityWAGE85 93132.525940 WagewrksChinaCustRCCRC8377142.7580559429106.9 SHRS / 85.5 FLT / AVG VOL 734570PROVIDES CORPORATE IDENTITY UNIFORM PROGRAMS WHICH ARE RENTED AND SOLD TO 1 MILLION CLIENTS WORLDWIDE.3.354.094.42 EST3JUNQUARTER ENDED AUG 31,15 QUARTER ENDED NOV 30,15 QUARTER ENDED FEB 29,16EARNINGS 1.51 VSSALES MIL. 261.8 VSDIVIDEND-PE 0.44151617206.60X BK VALUEINVENTORY TO. 20.6XA R&DN/AD RET ON EQUITY24%A CASH FLOW SITE RATING 97PRICESCALEQTR 3119.94120QTR 1 QTR 8683.4880.00- O O80.22- O OO80OR S LINEVS SP50070VOLUME1.6 M700 K300 K9OCT236NOVEPS DUE*9/24EARNINGS SALES MIL. DIVIDEND-PEAutumn 2016204DEC18115JAN 1629FEB1226MAR11258APR226MAY203JUN171JUL15QUARTER ENDED AUG 31,15 QUARTER ENDED NOV 30,15 QUARTER ENDED FEB 29,160.93 VS1198 VSN/A0.78 19%1.03 VS1102 9%1219 VS27X -- 23X 1.050.86 20%1123 9%27X -- 24X1.05 VS1216 VSN/A0.85 24%1108 10%27X -- 22X29AUG12269SEP23QUARTER ENDED MAY 31,161.08 VS1271 VSN/A0.86 26%1142 11%25X -- 22Xmarketsmith.com

Growth 250 Upcoming Earnings10WORTHINGTON INDUSTRIES(WOR) NYSE4/16 UNIT RECEIVED A CONTRACT FROM CRYOPORT TO DESIGN ANDMANUFACTURE BIOSTORAGE AND LOGISTICS EQUIPMENT.SHORT INT8.9 DAYS 50% GROWTH RATE 8% DEBTOPTIONS ONAM/MS EARNINGS STAB10 NEW CEOUP/DOWN1.1 EPS RANK90 TIMELINESSEX-DIV9/13 PE17(0.9XS&P) ACC/DISTYIELD1.8% 5 YR PE8 - 21 SMR RATINGRS EPSEARNINGS (MAY)HILO GROUP REL STR 38IIIN96 9910 0.92 1812 InsteelQTR 2ROCK95 97111.53 2312 GibraltarDynMatBOOM8955121.65 2615SCHN88 61132.06 4825 SchnitzrHarscoHSC8845142.31 45291516172.122.66 2.84 EST32213.48X BK VALUEINVENTORY TO. 8.1XB R&DN/AB RET ON EQUITY21%C CASH FLOW OSITE RATING 83PRICESCALEQTR 345.6844.49QTR 1 7% 44.17(OH -3%)63.1 SHRS / 42.9 FLT / AVG VOL 343388worthingtonindustries.comMETAL PROC & FABRICATIONPROCESSES DIVERSIFIED METALS FOCUSING ON VALUE-ADDED STEEL FOR AUTOMOTIVE, CONSTRUCTION, HARDWARE AND AEROSPACE MARKETS.41.07QTR .733025.5091OOODIVINCOO20O10VOLUMER S LINEVS SP500600 K250 K98 K9OCT236NOVEPS DUE*9/23204DEC18115JAN 1629FEB1226MAR11258APR226MAY203JUN1JUL15QUARTER ENDED AUG 31,15 QUARTER ENDED NOV 30,15 QUARTER ENDED FEB 29,16EARNINGS 0.54 VSSALES MIL. 758.2 VSDIVIDEND-PE 0.180.65-17%0.60 VS862.4-12% 699.8 VS15X -- 11X 0.19*CANTEL MEDICAL CORP(CMN) NYSE0.55 9% 0.46 VS871.0-20% 647.1 VS16X -- 11X 0.19AUG1239 269SEP23QUARTER ENDED MAY 31,160.39 18%0.97 VS804.8-20% 714.7 VS16X -- 12X 0.190.52 87%846.0-16%18X -- 15X 81.13(OH 0%)41.7 SHRS / 35.0 FLT / AVG VOL 1619788/16 ACQUIRED ACCUTRON INC., A MFR OF NITROUS OXIDE DELIVERY SYS/SINGLE-USE NASAL MASKS, FOR ABOUT 52.5 MIL IN CASH.SHORT INT3 DAYS -6% GROWTH RATE 26% DEBT19%OPTIONS ONAM/PH EARNINGS STAB5 NEW CEO8/16UP/DOWN1.7 EPS RANK96 TIMELINESSAEX-DIV7/13 PE49(2.6XS&P) ACC/DISTAYIELD0.1% 5 YR PE16 - 46 SMR RATINGARS EPSEARNINGS (JUL)HILO GROUP REL STR 9798 1110 0.53 105 MazorRbtcs MZORQTR 2NevroCorpNVRO9752110.54128CPHD96 38120.752012 CepheidGNMK96 10130.943819 GenMark96 9141.194529 Spectranet SPNC1.44681.43 EST -1%1.84 EST S INFECTION PREVENTION AND CONTROL DEVICES USED FOR DIALYSIS, ENDOSCOPY AND WATER PURIFICATION AND FILTRATION.151617178.28X BK VALUE FUNDS43%INVENTORY TO. 8.6X BANKS1%R&D2.5% MGMT15%RET ON EQUITY16% ALPHA0.13CASH FLOW 1.71 BETA1.02COMPOSITE RATING 99PRICESCALEQTR 390QTR 1QTR 48074.8872.697068.5864.7564.52608855.0150OR S LINEVS SP500O- - O O O- O O40VOLUME250 K108 K48 K9OCT236NOVEPS DUE*9/29204DEC18115JAN 1629FEB1226MAR11258APR226MAY203JUN171JUL15QUARTER ENDED JUL 31,15 QUARTER ENDED OCT 31,15 QUARTER ENDED JAN 31,16EARNINGS 0.39 VSSALES MIL. 151.3 VSDIVIDEND-PE 0.05marketsmith.com0.28 39%0.41 VS131.4 15% 153.8 VS42X -- 35XN/A0.34 21%0.42 VS136.8 12% 158.3 VS44X -- 30X 0.0629AUG12269SEP23QUARTER ENDED APR 30,160.36 17%0.44 VS135.4 17% 173.7 VS46X -- 36XN/A0.35 26%141.5 23%46X -- 38XAutumn 2016

11Autumn 2016 Screens:Earnings Gap Ups 80/80Gap ups are an incredibly powerful move to the upside that can indicate a stock hasfurther price appreciation potential. Typically, they occur as a result of a big earningssurprise and institutions demand more stock regardless of the price. This screen locatesleading stocks with a Relative Strength (RS) and Earnings Per Share (EPS) Rating of80 or higher that are gapping up on earnings to help you find potential big winners.Company Name (Symbol)Industry GroupRS RatingPageFinisar Corporation (FNSR)Telecom-Fiber Optics9810Momo Inc Ads Cl A (MOMO)Internet-Content9810Argan Inc (AGX)Bldg-Heavy Construction9611Burlington Stores Inc (BURL)Retail-Apparel/Shoes/Acc9511Applied Materials Inc (AMAT)Elec-Semiconductor Equip9512Science Applications Int (SAIC)Comml Svcs-Consulting9412Visit marketsmith.com/learn/stockguide to load the criteria for this andother Stock Guide screens directly into your MarketSmith screener.All screen results are computer-generated and were run on September 23, 2016.This screen can also be found in the community section of marketsmith.com.Autumn 2016marketsmith.com

Earnings Gap Ups 80/8012FINISAR CORPORATION(FNSR) NASDAQ9/16 EXPECTS Q2 FY17 NON-GAAP EARNINGS OF 0.44 TO 0.50 PERDILUTED SHARE ON REVENUES OF 355 MIL TO 375 MIL.SHORT INT5.6 DAYS -7% GROWTH RATE 3% DEBT20%OPTIONS ONAM/MS EARNINGS STAB29 NEW CEO9/15UP/DOWN2.8 EPS RANK81 TIMELINESSAEX-DIVPE25(1.3XS&P) ACC/DISTA5 YR PEYIELD8 - 36 SMR RATINGCRS EPSEARNINGS (APR)HILO GROUP REL STR 9999 8410 0.56 308 AcaciaComm ACIAQTR 2OCLR99 78111.554612 OclaroLITE98 99120.872310 Lumentum96 55130.642612 AppliedOpt 73 EST 71% 29.22(OH 0%)110.2 SHRS / 108.0 FLT / AVG VOL 1.77MILfinisar.comTELECOM-FIBER OPTICSMANUFACTURES TRANSMITTERS, RECEIVERS, TRANSCEIVERS AND TRANSPONDERS TO CONNECT LAN AND WAN NETWORKS.102.75X BK VALUE FUNDS52%INVENTORY TO. 4.5X BANKS0%R&D16.1% MGMT1%RET ON EQUITY10% ALPHA0.33CASH FLOW 1.91 BETA1.09(C) (W)COMPOSITE RATING 96PRICESCALEQTR 330QTR 1 QTR 5.2112.35O10O- - O O O- - O O O- - - - - - O O O O O O O5VOLUME4.5 MR S LINEVS SP5001.5 M500 K9OCT236NOVEPS DUE 12/1020418DEC115JAN 162912FEB26MAR11258APR226MAY203JUN1JUL15QUARTER ENDED OCT 31,15 QUARTER ENDED JAN 31,16 QUARTER ENDED APR 30,16EARNINGS 0.25 VSSALES MIL. 321.1 VSDIVIDEND-PEN/A0.23 9%0.25 VS297.0 8% 309.2 VS17X -- 11XN/AMOMO INC ADS CL A(MOMO) NASDAQAUG1299SEP230.23 65%314.0 9%19X -- 16X 23.55(OH -8%)192.7 SHRS / 42.4 FLT / AVG VOL 3.02MIL5/15 EXPECTS Q2 2015 REVENUES OF 31 MIL TO 33 MIL.SHORT INTDEBT1 DAYS -71% GROWTH RATE0%OPTIONS ONNEW CEOEARNINGS STABUP/DOWN1.6 EPS RANK80 TIMELINESSAEX-DIVPE181(9.1XS&P) ACC/DISTA5 YR PEYIELD121 - 553 SMR RATINGAIPO 12/11/14 13.50RS EPSEARNINGS (DEC)HILO GROUP REL STR 95Weibo AWB99 8410 QTR 2MeetmeMEET987711SinaSINA97 7212-0.01 GrubHubGRUB96 9513-0.02YELP96 3914-0.061710 Yelp 26QUARTER ENDED JUL 31,16immomo.comINTERNET-CONTENT0.08190.47 EST 487%0.86 EST 83%290.25 16%0.38 VS320.00% 341.3 VS19X -- 12XN/A0.250%0.29 VS306.3 1% 318.8 VS15X -- 11XN/ACHINESE PROVIDER OF A MOBILE-BASED SOCIAL NETWORKING PLATFORM WITH 69.8 MIL MONTHLY ACTIVE USERS.151617179.21X BK VALUE FUNDSINVENTORY TO.R&DRET ON EQUITYCASH FLOW1%0%50%0.31.27BANKS17.4% MGMT7% ALPHA 0.2 BETACOMPOSITE RATING 99PRICESCALEQTR 325.6225QTR 1QTR .88R S LINEVS SP5006.725VOLUME4M1.1 M300 K9OCT236NOVEPS DUE 11/20EARNINGS SALES MIL. DIVIDEND-PE204DEC18115JAN 1629FEB1226MAR11258APR226MAY203JUN171JUL15QUARTER ENDED SEP 30,15 QUARTER ENDED DEC 31,15 QUARTER ENDED MAR 31,160.01 VS37.5 VSN/Amarketsmith.com-0.03 # 133%12.3 204%N/A0.03 VS39.5 VSN/A-0.01 # 400%18.6 113%553X --421X0.03 VS50.9 VSN/A0.02 50%26.3 93%536X --158X29AUG12269SEP23QUARTER ENDED JUN 30,160.06 VS99.0 VSN/A0.01 500%30.7 222%239X --121XAutumn 2016

Earnings Gap Ups 80/80 13*ARGAN INC(AGX) NYSE 56.87(OH -1%)15.0 SHRS / 12.6 FLT / AVG VOL 166482arganinc.comBLDG-HEAVY CONSTRUCTION12/15 ACQUIRED TRC ACQUISITION LLC AND ITS THE ROBERTS COMPANY,FOR 500,000.PROVIDES ENGINEERING, CONSTRUCTION AND TELECOMMUNICATIONS INFRASTRUCTURE SERVICES.SHORT INT2.5 DAYS -9% GROWTH RATE 39% DEBTOPTIONS ONEARNINGS STAB40 NEW CEOUP/DOWN3.1 EPS RANK98 TIMELINESSEX-DIV10/14 PE17(0.9XS&P) ACC/DISTYIELD1.2% 5 YR PE8 - 42 SMR RATINGRS EPSEARNINGS (JAN)HILO GROUP REL STR 8598 8210 0.60 167 WilldanGrp WLDNQTR 2MTZ94 46110.73178 131.67271374 87142.784026 TutorPerin TPC1516172.05422.423.62 EST 50%293.930%X BK VALUE FUNDSINVENTORY TO.25%0%10%0.141.18BANKSA R&DN/A MGMTA RET ON EQUITY18% ALPHAA CASH FLOW 2.54 BETA(W)COMPOSITE RATING 99PRICESCALEQTR 360QTR 1 QTR 8.03 O OOO- - O O O20VOLUMER S LINEVS SP500250 K108 K48 K9OCT236NOVEPS DUE 12/10204DEC18115JAN 1629FEB1226MAR11258APR226MAY203JUN171JUL15QUARTER ENDED OCT 31,15 QUARTER ENDED JAN 31,16 QUARTER ENDED APR 30,16EARNINGS 0.72 VSSALES MIL. 114.0 VSDIVIDEND-PE 0.700.84-14%0.43 VS127.6-11% 116.4 VS18X -- 13XN/A*BURLINGTON STORES INC(BURL) NYSE0.40 7%0.81 VS102.3 14% 130.4 VS16X -- 12XN/A29AUG129SEP23QUARTER ENDED JUL 31,160.50 62% 1.29 VS85.5 52% 162.5 VS15X -- 12XN/A0.75 72%97.4 67%17X -- 12X 83.05(OH -4%)71.3 SHRS / 69.2 FLT / AVG VOL ES/ACC261/16 NARROWED Q4 FY16 ADJUSTED EARNINGS GUIDANCE TO 1.44 TO 1.46 PER DIL SHARES ON REVENUE GROWTH OF ABOUT 3.7%.OPERATES 567 OFF-PRICE RETAIL STORES IN 45 STATES AND PUERTORICO OFFERING HIGH QUALITY BRANDED APPAREL.SHORT INT3 DAYS -49% GROWTH RATE 52% DEBT-60.03X BK VALUE FUNDSOPTIONS ONEARNINGS STABINVENTORY TO. 6.5X BANKS10 NEW CEOUP/DOWN1.9 EPS RANK99 TIMELINESSA R&DN/A MGMTEX-DIVPE31(1.6XS&P) ACC/DISTA RET ON EQUITYN/A ALPHA5 YR PECASH FLOWYIELD18 - 40 SMR RATING 4.52 BETAIPO 10/02/13 17.00COMPOSITE RATINGRS EPSEARNINGS (JAN)HILO GROUP REL STR 34Duluth BDLTH95 2610 QTR 2QTR 3UrbnOutfit URBN90 78110.42 ChildrsPla PLCE80 8712-0.09RosStoresROST80 .83612.312.98 EST 29%3957%1%2%0.151.0492PRICESCALE90QTR 1 80QTR 47058.9458.5752.326060.6250.319551.1939.40R S LINEVS SP5004040.89O50OO- O OOO- O OOO- O OOO30VOLUME3M1.3 M600 K9OCT236NOVEPS DUE 11/24EARNINGS SALES MIL. DIVIDEND-PEAutumn 2016204DEC18115JAN 1629FEB1226MAR11258APR226MAY203JUN171JUL15QUARTER ENDED OCT 31,15 QUARTER ENDED JAN 31,16 QUARTER ENDED APR 30,160.25 VS1238 VSN/A0.16 56%1166 6%28X -- 20X1.47 VS1548 VSN/A1.43 3%1496 3%24X -- 18X0.57 VS1288 VSN/A0.41 39%1190 8%25X -- 21X29AUG12269SEP23QUARTER ENDED JUL 31,160.39 VS1260 VSN/A0.19 105%1151 9%31X -- 22Xmarketsmith.com

14 Earnings Gap Ups 80/80APPLIED MATERIALS INC(AMAT) NASDAQ8/16 EXPECTS Q4 FY16 NON-GAAP EARNINGS OF 0.61 TO 0.69 PERDILUTED SHARE ON REVENUES GROWTH OF 15% TO 19%.4.19X BK VALUEINVENTORY TO. 5.7XA R&D15.0%B RET ON EQUITY19%A CASH FLOW 1.58SHORT INT1 DAYS -34% GROWTH RATE 5% DEBTOPTIONS ONAM/MS EARNINGS STAB36 NEW CEOUP/DOWN1.3 EPS RANK81 TIMELINESSEX-DIV11/22 PE21(1.1XS&P) ACC/DISTYIELD1.4% 5 YR PE7 - 40 SMR RATINGRS EPSEARNINGS (OCT)HILO GROUP REL STR 86AEIS94 7410 0.88 1410 AdvEngyQTR 2NANO92 68111.30169 NanomtrcsMKSInstrMKSI9045120.7513989 40130.591811 Formfactor FORMEntegrisENTG8763141.0725161516171.19251.75 EST 47%2.23 EST 27%14 29.66(OH -4%)1,080.9 SHRS / 1,070.1 FLT / AVG VOL 12.65MILappliedmaterials.comELEC-SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMANUFACTURES DEPOSITION, INSPECTION AND ETCHING AND CLEANINGEQUIPMENT USED IN IC AND FLAT PANEL DISPLAY .31COMPOSITE RATING 98PRICESCALEQTR 3QTR 130QTR 851515.44OOO- O OO- O O10VOLUME25 MR S LINEVS SP5009M4M9OCT236NOVEPS DUE 11/12204DEC18115JAN 1629FEB1226MAR11258APR226MAY2031JUL15QUARTER ENDED OCT 31,15 QUARTER ENDED JAN 31,16 QUARTER ENDED APR 30,16EARNINGS 0.29 VSSALES MIL. 2368 VSDIVIDEND-PE 0.100.27 7%0.26 VS2264 5%2257 VS16X -- 12X 0.10*SCIENCE APPLICATIONS INT(SAIC) NYSEsaic.comCOMML SVCS-CONSULTING0.27-4%0.34 VS2359-4%2450 VS16X -- 13X 0.1039AUG12269SEP23QUARTER ENDED JUL 31,160.29 17%0.50 VS24420%2821 VS19X -- 13X 0.100.33 52%2490 13%22X -- 16X 69.72(OH -3%)6/16 NAMED MARIA M. BISHOP INTERIM CFO, EFFECTIVE JULY 1, 2016,REPLACING JOHN R. HARTLEY WHO WILL RESIGN.SHORT INT6 DAYS -11% GROWTH RATE 21% DEBT267%OPTIONS ONEARNINGS STAB47 NEW CEOUP/DOWN2.3 EPS RANK88 TIMELINESSAEX-DIV10/12 PE22(1.2XS&P) ACC/DISTAYIELD1.8% 5 YR PE11 - 21 SMR RATINGBRS EPSEARNINGS (JAN)HILO GROUP REL STR 70NV5 GloblNVEE91 9610 1.19 QTR 2NavigantNCI8988111.45ICIIntlICFI86 8312-0.04CRAI86 40133.66 3930 CRAIntl84 40142.27 5232 Leidos Hld LDOS2.91552.863.30 EST 15%2944.2 SHRS / 42.9 FLT / AVG VOL 233338PROVIDES TECHNICAL SERVICES AND ENTERPRISE INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY SERVICES TO THE U.S. GOVERNMENT15161717JUN8.15X BK VALUE FUNDS39%INVENTORY TO. 63.9X BANKS0%R&DN/A MGMT2%RET ON EQUITY37% ALPHA0.17CASH FLOW 4.39 BETA1.02COMPOSITE RATING 92PRICESCALEQTR 372.5070QTR 1 QTR LUMER S LINEVS SP500600 K250 K102 K9OCT236NOVEPS DUE 12/2204DEC18115JAN 1629FEB1226MAR11258APR226MAY203JUN171JUL15QUARTER ENDED OCT 31,15 QUARTER ENDED JAN 31,16 QUARTER ENDED APR 30,16EARNINGS 0.73 VSSALES MIL. 1136 VSDIVIDEND-PE 0.31marketsmith.com0.77-5%0.74 VS1004 13%1071 VS18X -- 13X 0.310.75-1%0.80 VS952.0 12%1215 VS18X -- 14X 0.3129AUG12269SEP23QUARTER ENDED JUL 31,160.73 10%0.85 VS1009 20%1095 VS19X -- 14X 0.310.66 29%10990%21X -- 18XAutumn 2016

15Autumn 2016 Screens:Earnings Gap Downs 80/80Gap downs are the polar opposite of gap ups. This big move to the downside typicallyrepresents a negative shift in attitude towards the company among institutionalinvestors. Gap downs on heavy volume can indicate the later stages of a stock’s moveas high expectations for the company’s performance have been damaged. This screenlocates leading stocks with a Relative Strength (RS) and Earnings Per Share (EPS)Rating of 80 or higher that are gapping down on heavy volume to help you avoid themgoing forward.Company Name (Symbol)Industry GroupComp Rating PageHeico Corp Cl A (HEIA)Aerospace/Defense9814Smith & Wesson Hldg Corp (SWHC)Security/Sfty9514Hewlett Packard Ent Co (HPE)Computer-Tech Services9215Visit marketsmith.com/learn/stockguide to load the criteria for this andother Stock Guide screens directly into your MarketSmith screener.All screen results are computer-generated and were run on September 23, 2016.This screen can also be found in the community section of marketsmith.com.Autumn 2016marketsmith.com

Earnings Gap Downs 80/8016HEICO CORP CL A(HEIA) NYSE12/15 UNIT TO ACQUIRE ROBERTSON FUEL SYSTEMS FROM AMERICANSECURITIES LLC, FOR 255 MIL IN CASH.SHORT INT1 DAYS -15% GROWTH RATE 16% DEBTOPTIONS ONEARNINGS STAB2 NEW CEOUP/DOWN1.8 EPS RANK93 TIMELINESSEX-DIV6/30 PE27(1.4XS&P) ACC/DISTYIELD0.3% 5 YR PE18 - 31 SMR RATINGRS EPSEARNINGS (OCT)HILO GROUP REL STR 71KratosDefKTOS961810 0.83 2012QTR 295 78111.092516 DigitlGlob DGIEGL92 16121.262621 Engility91 72131.494324 Servotroni SVTAARAIR8974141.6849371516171.97 60.17(OH -1%)40.1 SHRS / 35.7 FLT / AVG VOL 114758heico.comAEROSPACE/DEFENSEMANUFACTURES JET ENGINE/AIRCRAFT COMPONENT REPLACEMENT PARTSAND ELECTRONIC AND ELECTRO-OPTICAL SYSTEMS5442 4.97X BK VALUEINVENTORY TO. 5.2XA R&DN/AA RET ON EQUITY18%A CASH FLOW SITE RATING 98PRICESCALEQTR 360.9160QTR 156.20QTR 456.345550.085049.9646.07458642.814040.10O O35VOLUMER S LINEVS SP500550 K154 K46 K9OCT236NOVEPS DUE 12/15204DEC18115JAN 1629FEB1226MAR1125822APR6MAY3JUN171JUL15QUARTER ENDED OCT 31,15 QUARTER ENDED JAN 31,16 QUARTER ENDED APR 30,16EARNINGS 0.56 VSSALES MIL. 328.7 VSDIVIDEND-PEN/A0.46 22%0.46 VS292.2 12% 306.2 VS26X -- 23X 0.080.41 12%0.57 VS268.2 14% 350.7 VS25X -- 22XN/A*SMITH & WESSON HLDG CORP(SWHC) NASDAQ29AUG129SEP230.51 22%300.4 19%28X -- 24X 27.56(OH -11%)9/16 RAISED FY17 NON-GAAP EARNINGS GUIDANCE TO 2.38 TO 2.48 PERDILUTED SHARE ON REVENUES OF 900 MIL TO 920 MIL.4.72X BK VALUEINVENTORY TO. 9.3XA R&D1.4%C RET ON EQUITY41%A CASH FLOW 9COMPOSITE RATING 95PRICESCALEQTR 335QTR 1 31.1930.44QTR 49QUARTER ENDED JUL 31,1656.2 SHRS / 55.1 FLT / AVG VOL 1.90MILSHORT INT5.1 DAYS -21% GROWTH RATE 39% DEBTOPTIONS ONAM/MS EARNINGS STAB69 NEW CEOUP/DOWN0.8 EPS RANK97 TIMELINESSEX-DIVPE13(0.6XS&P) ACC/DIST5 YR PEYIELD5 - 35 SMR RATINGRS EPSEARNINGS (APR)HILO GROUP REL STR 81ALRM93 9610 0.35 43 Alarm.comQTR 2TASR91 40110.2242 TASERIturanITRN9078120.43114LDR88 72131.71137 LandauerBCO88 46141.52 179 Brinks1.02241.832.48 EST 36%260.49 16%0.62 VS291.4 20% 356.1 VS25X -- 20X 0.08smith-wesson.comSECURITY/SFTYMANUFACTURES FIREARMS INCLUDING REVOLVERS, PISTOLS, RIFLES AND FIREARM RELATED PRODUCTS AND 1.112019.1817.0516.3381OOO- - O O O15- - O O O10VOLUME4MR S LINEVS SP5001.1 M300 K9OCT236NOVEPS DUE 12/8204DEC18115JAN 1629FEB1226MAR11258APR226MAY203JUN171JUL15QUARTER ENDED OCT 31,15 QUARTER ENDED JAN 31,16 QUARTER ENDED APR 30,16EARNINGS 0.25 VSSALES MIL. 143.2 VSDIVIDEND-PEN/Amarketsmith.com0.09 178%0.59 VS108.5 32% 210.8 VS18X -- 15XN/A0.20 195%0.66 VS130.6 61% 221.1 VS22X -- 16XN/A29AUG12269SEP23QUARTER ENDED JUL 31,160.45 47%0.62 VS181.0 22% 207.0 VS21X -- 13XN/A0.32 94%147.8 40%17X -- 12XAutumn 2016

Earnings Gap Downs 80/80 17*HEWLETT PACKARD ENT CO(HPE) NYSEhpe.comCOMPUTER-TECH SERVICESPROVIDES INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY, ENTERPRISE SERVICES SOLUTIONS, AND CLOUD-ENABLED AND MOBILE-READY TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS9/16 EXPECTS FY16 NON-GAAP EARNINGS OF 1.90 TO 1.95 PER DILUTEDSHARE.SHORT INT5.3 DAYS 4% GROWTH RATE 34% DEBT45%OPTIONS ONEARNINGS STAB16 NEW CEO11/15UP/DOWN1.8 EPS RANK81 TIMELINESSAEX-DIV10/7 PE12(0.6XS&P) ACC/DISTBYIELD1.0% 5 YR PE6 - 12 SMR RATINGCRS EPSEARNINGS (OCT)HILO GROUP REL STR 79FormulaFORTY915210 2.07 QTR 2MantechMAN

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