Annual Craft Spirits Economic Briefing

Transcription

Annual Craft Spirits Economic BriefingOctober 2017No part of the document may be circulated, quoted, or reproduced for distribution without prior written approval fromPark Street, ACSA, or IWSR. This material was used during an oral presentation; it is not a complete record of the discussion.

Contents Key Messages Craft Spirits Research Definition Craft Spirits Market Data Appendix 20172

Key Messages

Key Messages For purposes of this research, U.S. craft spirits are distilled spirits that areproduced in the U.S. by licensed producers that have not removed more than750,000 proof gallons (or 394,317 9L cases) from bond, market themselves ascraft, are not openly controlled by a large supplier, and have no proven violation ofthe ACSA Code of Ethics.The number of active craft distillers in the U.S. grew by 20.8% over the last yearto 1,589 in August 2017.The U.S. craft spirits market volume (cases) reached 5.8m cases in retail sales in2016, growing at an annual growth rate of 18.5%. In value terms, the marketreached 3.0 billion in sales, growing at an annual growth rate of 25.0%. Themarket share of U.S. craft spirits reached 2.6% in volume and 3.8% in value in2016, up from 1.0% (volume)/1.2% (value) in 2011 and 2.2% (volume)/3.0%(value) in 2015.Exports of U.S. craft spirits reached 566,000 cases in 2016, adding more than8.8% of additional volume to U.S. craft distillers’ total sales. Exports grew by 8.2%versus last year. 20174

Key Messages (Continued) The U.S. craft distilling market is fairly concentrated with nearly 2% of the largerproducers (between 100,000 and 750,000 proof gallons removed from bond)being responsible for 57.0% of the cases sold. 92.0% of U.S. craft producers areclassified as small producers (between 0 and 10,000 proof gallons removed frombond). They are responsible for just 12.8% of the cases sold annually.Direct sales at the site of the distilled spirits producer (DSP) are important for allcraft distillers but especially important for small producers where these salesmake up 34% of total sales. Out of state business is particularly important forlarge producers, accounting for more than 58% of the total business.Many surveyed retailers and wholesalers see the potential for craft spirits toperform in line or better than craft beer over time. With craft beer market sharecurrently over 12% in the U.S., the craft spirits market is expected to continue togrow rapidly.Employment in the U.S. craft industry has been on the rise: in 2017 industryemployment grew 47.8% (over 6,000 FTEs) to almost 19,600 FTEs. Investmentsby the U.S. craft industry have reached close to 600 million in 2017. 20175

Craft Spirits Research Definition

Craft Defined for Purposes of the ResearchSize:Not more than 750,000 proof gallons (or 394,3179L cases) removed from bond by licensedproducer (DSP)Self-proclamation of licensed craft distiller,not openly controlled by a larger supplier:Distiller claims to be a U.S. craft spirits producerwith a valid DSP license and is not openlycontrolled by a larger supplierACSA Code of Ethics:"We operate in an honest, transparent and nondeceptive fashion. We inform consumerstruthfully and accurately about the sources andmethods used to make our spirits through ourlabels, materials and communications. We expectfair dealing and respect amongst members. Weobey all federal, state, and local laws." 2017U.S. Craft spirits (forthe purposes of thisresearch)U.S. Craft spirits are distilledspirits that are produced inthe U.S. by licensed producersthat have not more than750,000 proof gallons (or394,317 9L cases) removedfrom bond, marketthemselves as craft, are notopenly controlled by a largesupplier, and have no provenviolation of the ACSA Code ofEthics7

Craft Spirits Market Data

From DSPs to Active Craft Distillers# of DSPs by Segment as of August 20172,337Craft SpiritsDistilleries NearlySurpass the 1,600Mark0012531862901,805002161,589In planningActive craftdistillers00All licensedDSPsDuplicates /multiplelocations of anysupplierLeadingsuppliersBottlers /industrialNotoperationalor noncraftResearchuniverse The list of DSPs is broken down into segments in order to distinguish the amount of distillers that arenot considered craft: duplicates, leading suppliers, bottlers, and/or non-craft/non-operational The list of active craft distillers is generated bottoms-up through individual assessmentSources: TTB, ACSA, ADI, State ABC Boards, State Guilds, TeamAnalyses 20179

Active Craft Distillers by State# of Active Craft Distillers by State as of August 2017Remaining statesrepresent 48.0%1,589The top 5 states make up34.2% of craft distillers7632838086106123The next 5states make up17.8%1481. CA2. NY3. WA4. TX5. CONext 5All otherTotalOver half of active U.S. craft distilleries are located in ten statesSources: TTB, ACSA, ADI, State ABC Boards, State Guilds, TeamAnalyses 201710

Number of Active Craft Distillers Has Grown Over20% Since Last Year# of Active Craft Distillers, August 2016 vs.August 2017States with Highest # of Active Craft Distillers,August 2016 vs. August 2017% Growth86718072TX1,5891,6001,400CO 1720161182.9%18.3%14825.4%States with Fastest Growth Rate of # of Active CraftDistillers, August 2016 vs. August 2017800600% %2441.2%4246576235.7%34.7% In August 2017 there were 1,589 craft distillers active in the U.S., up over 20% from1,315 active distillers in August 2016 The number of craft distillers in New Jersey, Michigan and Maryland grew by over 40%Sources: IWSR, Team Analyses 201711

Active Craft Distillers by State and Region# of Active Craft Distillers by State and Region as of August 201718.9%19.1%32.7%106642031214829881420 16189132180886Sources: TTB, ACSA, ADI, State ABC Boards, State Guilds, TeamAnalyses43405415 20176212 422057321629.3%121235338 30 473361010274713257248132721,589 TotalDistilleries12

Number of Active Distillers Still Growing Rapidly# of Craft Spirits Producers2011 – 2016# of Craft Spirits ProducersDecember 2016 – August 20171,6002,0001,439Annualized ,4641,4391,0001,6001,1631,5432011–2016 40060028040020020000201120122013Sources: TTB, IWSR, Team Analyses201420152016 2017Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug13

Craft Spirits Sales Are Growing Rapidly by Volumeand ValueCraft Spirits Sales by Volume,2011 – 2016Craft Spirits Retail Sales by Value,2011 – 20167,000 Billions 18.5% 25.0%3.05,8426,0004,9305,0002.43,8804,000 3.5 3.0Millions9L Cases (000) 2.5 2.01.83,1203,0002,000 1.51.32,4701,9500.81.0 1.01,000 0.50 0.0201120122013201420152016Sources: TTB, ACSA, IWSR, State ABC Boards, State Guilds, TeamAnalyses 201720112012201320142015201614

Craft Spirits Market Share at 3.8% in Value and2.6% in VolumeCraft Distiller Sales as a Share of Total U.S. Spirits Volume and ValuePercentShare VolumeShare 3201420152016 U.S. craft currently has an estimated market share of 2.6% in cases, up from 1.0% in 2011 U.S. craft is clearly a contributor to the trend towards premiumization in the U.S. market The U.S. craft market share in value is estimated at 3.8%, up from 1.2% in 2011Sources: TTB, ACSA, IWSR, State ABC Boards, State Guilds, TeamAnalyses 201715

Average Volume Declining, Inflection Point Still inReach# of Cases of Average U.S. Craft Distiller 2011 – 20169L Cases, Percent8,0007,000YoY ChangeNumber of 01420152016 The volume of the average U.S. craft distiller has been declining since 2011, reflectingthe strong inflow of new distillers The rate of decline has been slowing since 2012. At a rate of just 4.0% from 2015 to2016, the market appears to continue to be close to an inflection point at which thevolume growth will outpace the growth in number of distillersSources: TTB, ACSA, IWSR, State ABC Boards, State Guilds, TeamAnalyses 201716

More Than 50% of the U.S. Craft Business TakesPlace in the Home StatesSources of Case Sales – Total U.S. Craft Spirits Industry,Domestic and Export 20169L Cases (000)5,842566Total s atDSP% oftotal U.S. 18%businessHomestate, butoutsidepremisesOther U.S.states34%48%Sources: TTB, ACSA, ADI, State ABC Boards, State Guilds, TeamAnalyses 2017 More than 30%of the total U.S.craft businesstakes place inthe home stateof the craftdistiller Exports addnearly 9% to theoverall volume ofthe U.S. businessTotalbusiness108.8%17

Craft Spirits Market Is Fairly Concentrated# of Craft Distillers and Case Volumes byProducer Size, 2016# of Producers, 9L Cases (000)5,8421,439100%6.3% 1.7%Large producers 57.0%92.0%Medium producers 30.2%Small producers 12.8%Numberof cases The U.S. Craft distillingmarket is fairlyconcentrated withnearly 2% of theproducers beingresponsible for almost60% of the cases 92.0% producers areclassified as smallproducers. They areresponsible for just12.8% of the casesNumber ofproducersSources: TTB, Distiller Surveys, Team Analyses *Small: 0 - 5,258 9L Cases,Medium: 5,258 - 52,576 9L Cases, Large: 52,576 - 394,317 9L Cases 201718

Average Volume of Large Craft ProducersExperienced Growth in 2016# of Large ProducersNumber30 The number of large craftdistillers as well as theirnumber of cases has beengrowing rapidly The number of large craftdistillers has grown almostsix-fold from 5 in 2011 to24 in 2016 The number of cases oflarge craft distillers hasgrown from 1.1 million 9Lcases in 2011 to over 3.3million 9L cases in 2016 The average number ofcases of large craft distillershas decreased from 215k9L cases in 2011 to 139k9L cases in 016# of Cases of Large Producers9L Cases (000)4,00023.2%CAGR3,0002,0001,0001,099 1,62703,045 33272,278 2,6152011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Average # of Cases of Large Producers9L Cases (000)-10.3%300CAGR20010021515714113213213902011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Sources: TTB, Distiller Surveys, Team Analyses 201719

More Than 50% of the Business of Large CraftProducers Takes Place Outside the Home StatesSources of Case Sales – Large U.S. Craft Spirits Producers,Domestic and Export 20169L Cases (000)3,8323,3275051,930855542Sales atDSP% oftotal U.S. 16%businessHomestate, butoutsidepremisesOther U.S.states26%58%Total U.S.businessExport100%13%Sources: TTB, ACSA, ADI, State ABC Boards, State Guilds, TeamAnalyses 2017Totalbusiness More than 50%of the total U.S.business of thelarge U.S. craftproducers takesplace outside thehome state ofthe craft distiller Exports addmore than 13%to the overallvolume of theU.S. business113%20

Medium-Size Craft Producers Have Been GrowingWell# of Medium-Size ProducersNumber100 The number of medium craftdistillers as well as theirnumber of cases has beengrowing rapidly The number of medium craftdistillers has grown almostsix-fold from 21 in 2011 to 91in 2016 The number of cases ofmedium craft distillers hasgrown from 646k 9L cases in2011 to over 1.7 million 9Lcases in 2016 The average number of casesof medium craft distillers hasdecreased from 31k 9L casesin 2011 to 19k 9L cases in2016 Medium-sized craft producershave positive growth yearover year38.7%CAGR5042292105573912011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016# of Cases of Medium-Size Producers9L Cases 1,7652011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Average # of Cases of Medium-Size Producers9L Cases (000)-6.1 %40CAGR30201003121141518192011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Sources: TTB, Distiller Surveys, Team Analyses 201721

More Than 50% of the Business of Medium CraftProducers Takes Place in the Home StatesSources of Case Sales – Medium U.S. Craft Spirits Producers,Domestic and Export 20169L Cases (000)1,76544Total U.S.businessExport1,809812696 54% of the totalU.S. business ofthe medium U.S.craft producerstakes place inthe home stateof the craftdistiller Exports add onlyabout 3% to theoverall volume ofthe U.S. business258Sales atDSP% oftotal U.S. 15%businessHomestate, butoutsidepremisesOther U.S.States39%46%Sources: TTB, ACSA, ADI, State ABC Boards, State Guilds, TeamAnalyses100% 20173%Totalbusiness103%22

Small Craft Producers Have Been Growing WellNumber of Small ProducersNumber1500 The number of small craftdistillers as well as theirnumber of cases has beengrowing rapidly The number of small craftdistillers has grown almostsix-fold from 254 in 2011to 1,324 in 2016 The number of cases ofsmall craft distillers hasgrown from 205k 9L casesin 2011 to 749k 9L cases in2016 The average number ofcases of small craftdistillers has decreasedfrom 807 9L cases in 2011to 566 9L cases in 201638.5%CAGR100050025404158315981,0671,3242011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Cases of Small Producers9L Cases (000)80030.0%CAGR60040020020502362754345977492011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Average Number of Cases of Small Producers9L Cases-6.1%1,000CAGR50080756745952255956602011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Sources: TTB, Distiller Surveys, Team Analyses 201723

92% of the Business of Small Craft Producers TakesPlace in the Home StatesSources of Case Sales – Small U.S. Craft Spirits Producers,Domestic and Export 20169L Cases (000)74916Total U.S.businessExport65766 34% of the totalbusiness of smallcraft producerscomes from salesat the DSP Less than 10%of the totalbusiness comesfrom salesoutside the homestate431253Sales atDSP% oftotal U.S. 34%businessHomestate, butoutsidepremisesOther U.S.States58%8%Sources: TTB, ACSA, ADI, State ABC Boards, State Guilds, TeamAnalyses100% 20172%Totalbusiness102%24

Many Retailers and Wholesalers See Potential for CraftSpirits to Perform in Line or Better than Craft BeerCraft Spirits Will Perform in Line with Craft Beer OverTimePercent of RespondentsOff-Premise Retailers27On-Premise Retailers4722Wholesalers48530%2620%Not SureAgree301340%Don’t Agree3360%80% 100%Craft Spirits Will Become More Relevant to the SpiritsCategory than Craft Beer has Become for Beer CategoryPercent of RespondentsDon’t AgreeOff-Premise RetailersAgree22On-Premise Retailers3030Wholesalers48600%20%48221340%60%Not Sure Many retailers andwholesalers see thepotential for craftspirits to perform inline or better thancraft beer With craft beermarket sharecurrently over 12%in the U.S., the craftspirits market isexpected tocontinue to growrapidly2780% 100%Sources: WSWA Distributor Survey, ABL Retailer Survey, TeamAnalyses 201725

Craft is Still Small but Could Contribute Much MoreTowards Fragmentation in Future YearsU.S. Market Size Scenarios for 20209L Cases (millions)2016 – 2020CAGRsScenariosCraft beer market share today, 12.1%Growth with constant CAGR of previous 5 yearsreaching a 6.3% market share28.3Growth at ½ CAGR of previous 5 yearsreaching a 4.1% market share48.4%Distillers survey forecasted growth of 10.3%14.7Growth with a constant marketshare of 2020 ESources: IWSR, Team Analyses 201726

Employment in the U.S. Craft Industry Has Been onthe RiseAverage Full-Time Domestic Employees ofU.S. Craft Spirits Producers, 2014 – 2017FTEs12825,00010.59.210# of Full-Time Domestic Employees of U.S.Craft Spirits Producers, 2014 – 45,70825,0000020142015201620172014201520162017 Number of average FTEs has been increasing by almost 50% between 2014 and 2017 Approximately 66% of the employment is created at the production facility and the tasting roomoperations, and roughly 33% of the employment is generated in the field Total employment has surpassed the 19,500 mark in 2017Sources: Distiller Surveys, TTB, Team Analyses 201727

Investment in the U.S. Craft Industry Has Been onthe RiseAverage Investment* of U.S. CraftSpirits Producers, 2014 – 2017Total Investment* of U.S. CraftSpirits Producers, 2015 – 2016 Thousands350200700317.3300250 020145936002015201620172991892014201520162017 The average investment of a U.S. craft producer has been increasing by almost 14.6% from 276.8kin 2016 to 317.3k in 2017 Total investment has increased by 49% from 398m in 2016 to 593m in 2017Sources: Distiller Surveys, TTB, Team Analyses. *Investments forexpansions. 201728

Contact InformationFor more information on the data and analysis included in this presentation, please contactAlexandra S. CloughGATHER PRalexandra@gatherpr.com516 428 7210Brandy RandThe IWSRbrandy@theiwsr.com646 830 2616 2017Harry Kohlmann, Ph.D.Park Street Companiesinfo@parkstreet.com305 967 744029

Appendix Project Background and Craft Spirits Definition Craft Spirits – Selected Other Survey Results 201730

Project Background and Craft Spirits Definition

Craft Spirits Data Project - Industry Wide CollaborationTeaming up for a common causeThe American Craft Spirits Association, International Wine and Spirits Research, and ParkStreet teamed up in 2015 to launch the Craft Spirits Data Project (the “Project”), a researchinitiative with the goal of providing a solid and reliable fact base for evaluating performanceand trends in the U.S. craft spirits industry Major industry stakeholders such as theTTB, NABCA, WSWA, and ABL havecommitted resources to help the Project The fact base helps all stakeholders tomake their respective investment casesand vastly improve an understanding ofthe full impact at the local, regional, andfederal level The Project is set-up to provide aconsistent fact base for all stakeholderson an ongoing basis. Update reports willbe published annually 201732

Project Background and Research Methodology The project serves to: Quantify the number, size, and impact of craft spirits producers in the U.S. Create a deeper understanding of the U.S. craft spirits landscape among four key groups: DSPs,wholesalers, retailers, and consumers Provide findings on craft supplier best practices and success factors The following information was collected (all information was collected with the assurancesof full confidentiality): Data on craft distiller production size and patterns, sources of revenue, and the category’s overalleconomic impact within the spirits industry Data on craft spirits business size, patterns, and outlook on the wholesaler and retail levels (both onand off-premise) Input on craft spirits brand perceptions Things to remember: When estimating the number of producers behind the U.S. craft spirits production, the Project teamrelied on a combination of official data released by regulatory authorities, survey data, other industrydata sources both national (e.g., NABCA, ACSA) and regional (e.g., guilds), as well as interviews andteam assessments using the craft distiller definition In the accompanying data sets, the team assumes independent ownership as having equal or morethan a 75% equity stake and/or operational control of the DSP. The team has set up a process thatasks industry members to notify the ACSA of all ownership or strategy changes away from craft so thechanges can be reflected accordingly in the database 201733

Project Organizer: American Craft SpiritsAssociation (ACSA)The American Craft Spirits Association (ACSA)is the only registered non-profit tradeassociation representing the U.S. craft spiritsindustry. Its mission is to elevate andadvocate for the community of craft spiritsproducers. Membership in ACSA is open toanyone.ACSA is governed by a Board of Directorselected by the eligible voting members of theAssociation. Voting members must beindependent, licensed distillers (DSPs) annuallyremoving fewer than 750,000 proof gallonsfrom bond (the amount on which a federalexcise tax is paid.)ACSA was founded in 2013 by 23 foundingcraft distillers. 201734

Project Partners: IWSR and Park StreetThe IWSR is the leading source of data and analysis on thebeverage alcohol market. IWSR is the longest-runningresearch company specializing exclusively in globalalcoholic drinks. The IWSR’s comprehensive databasequantifies the global and local market of wine, spirits, beer,cider and prepared cocktails by volume and value, andprovides insight into short- and long-term trendsPark Street delivers productivity-enhancing and cost-savingback-office solutions, advisory services, and workingcapital to more than 4,500 alcoholic beverage brands fromthe U.S. and around the world. Established in 2003, thecompany provides a fast and reliable conduit to the U.S.and E.U. markets and a cost-effective operating platform.Park Street works with suppliers at all stages of growthand its clients range from entrepreneurial craft distillers tomulti-brand global portfolios 201735

Project Supporters: Broad Industry CollaborationTTB: Provided Beverage Spirits Producers and Bottlers by Average Taxable Removals;agreed to change annual reporting moving forward to enable consistent fact basisWSWA: Assisted in wholesaler survey design and execution with membersABL: Assisted in on- and off-premise retailer survey design and execution withmembersNABCA: Provided in-depth view of craft distillers using control state data 201736

What Constitutes a Craft Spirit? There is no universally accepted definition of craft spirits in the industry, and the expression “craftspirit” is not protected in any way Given the positive trends for craft spirits from a consumer perspective (e.g., premium to other spirits,rising demand), there is a natural incentive for brands to utilize craft spirits cues and positionthemselves as a craft spirit The industry has responded with different definition attempts based on criteria for the producer of thecraft spirit including production steps at the location, ownership and operational control of thedistillery, subscription to an ethics code based on honesty and transparency, production methodology,and size of production Many of the criteria used or suggested by industry members would require a formal certification orpeer approval process in order to be used as a universal base for quantification purposes As long as a universally accepted craft spirits certification or approval that could be used as anindustry wide criteria remains unavailable, the quantification has to rely on certain verifiablequantitative metrics which are complemented by estimates to bridge gaps Looking at the manufacturer, size of production, ownership/control, and production specifics arecriteria that could possibly be measurable and verifiable. However, the consistent collection of thedata is not without barriers and could be very cumbersome, which suggests the potential use of apragmatic approach U.S. craft spirits, as defined pragmatically for the purposes of the research, are distilled spirits thatare produced in the U.S. by licensed producers that have not more than 750,000 proof gallons (or394,317 9L cases) removed from bond, market themselves as craft, are not openly controlled by alarge supplier, and have no proven violation of the ACSA Code of Ethics 201737

Craft Distillers by Size – Classification DefinitionRange of gallonsremoved frombond annually*Large craftdistillerMedium-sizecraft distillerSmall craftdistiller100,001 –750,00010,001100,0001- 10,000Sources: TTB, Team Analyses’ *Assuming on average 80 proof alcoholcontent; for purposes of the analysis removed from bond equals sales 2017Range of 9L casesremoved frombonds annually*52,577 394,3175,259 –52,5761 - 5,258Characteristics Often nationallydistributed If negative cash flow,then by choice infavor of investment Often regionallydistributed Often still cashflow negative Often only locallydistributed If no on-premisebusiness, typicallycash flow negative38

Craft Spirits - Selected Other Survey Results

Industry Recommendations for Craft SpiritsProducers from Retailers, On-PremiseOn-premise Retailer Suggestions toCraft Spirits Producers% Agree81%Provide more resources for tastingsProvide better cons. pull strategies53%Provide better training of your staff54%Provide better branding56%Focus efforts on fewer products61%Improve quality of products61%50%Visit your outlet more frequentlyIncrease # of different productsSources: ABL Retailer Surveys, Team Analyses8% 2017 On-premise retailerssuggest that producersinvest more resourcesagainst the consumer, bothin terms of tastings, otherconsumer pull strategies,and branding Investments in staff trainingas well as more frequentmarket visits are also highlyrecommended From a product perspective,on-premise retailersrecommend a focus onfewer products and higherquality40

Industry Recommendations for Wholesalers fromRetailers, On-PremiseOn-premise Retailer Suggestions toWholesalers% Agree71%Offer better deal pricingProvide more background on brands63%82%Conduct special promotions in outletBring supplier to account/provide story55%67%Provide more POS materialFocus efforts on fewer productsConduct more buybacks at outletSources: ABL Retailer Surveys, Team Analyses47%39% 2017 On-premise retailers suggestthat wholesalers invest moreresources against the accounts– Better deal pricing– Special promotions in theaccounts– More buybacks (to a smallerdegree) Investments in staff training aswell as more frequent marketvisits by the craft spiritsproducer are also highlyrecommended From a product perspective, onpremise retailers recommend afocus on fewer products41

Industry Recommendations for Producers fromRetailers, Off-PremiseOff-premise Retailer Suggestions toCraft Spirits Producers% AgreeProvide more resources for tastings82%Provide better cons. pull strategies74%Provide better training of your staff78%Provide better branding for propositions61%Focus efforts on fewer products48%Improve quality of products46%Visit outlet more frequentlyIncrease number of different productsSources: ABL Retailer Surveys, Team Analyses39% Off-premise retailers suggestthat producers invest moreresources against the consumer,both in terms of tastings, otherconsumer pull strategies andbranding Investments in staff training aswell as more frequent marketvisits are also highlyrecommended From a product perspective, offpremise retailers recommend afocus on fewer products andhigher quality4% 201742

Industry Recommendations for Wholesalers fromRetailers, Off-PremiseOff-premise Retailer Suggestions toWholesalers% AgreeProvide more background on brands75%Conduct special promotions in outlet87%Offer better deal pricing75%Provide more POS material75%Bring supplier to account / providestoryConduct more buybacks at outletFocus efforts on fewer productsSources: ABL Retailer Surveys, Team Analyses71%50%50% 2017 Off-premise retailers suggest thatwholesalers invest in providing morebackground on the brands as well asmore frequent market visits by thecraft spirits producer Off-premise retailers also recommendhigher investments against theaccounts– Special promotions in theaccounts– Better deal pricing– More POS material– More buybacks (to a smallerdegree) From a product perspective, offpremise retailers recommend a focuson fewer products43

Craft Spirits Industry View from Wholesale TierPerspectiveWholesaler View on Craft Spirits Industry% AgreeCraft spirits are a fad0%0%Craft spirits are successful as the consumer taste preferences areunderserved by incumbent spirits suppliersWithin 10 years the majority of the leading craft spirits producerswill be owned by leading spirits suppliersBrand fragmentation in the U.S. spirits market will continue toaccelerate73%53%80% Wholesalers see the distilled spirits market continuing on the pathway to amore fragmented marketplace and believe that craft spirits are not a fad The majority of wholesalers believe that the majority of craft spirits producerswill be acquired by larger suppliersSources: WSWA Wholesaler Surveys, Team Analyses 201744

Industry Recommendations for Craft SpiritsProducers from WholesalersWholesaler Suggestions to Craft SpiritsProducers% Agree80%Provide better consumer pull strategies93%Visit the market more frequentlyProvide better branding for theirpropositions94%93%Provide better training of the salesforceProvide larger funds for consumertastings80%73%Improve the quality of their productsFocus their efforts on fewer products/narrower product line-up76%71%Provide more POS materialEngage supplementary sales resources inthe market (e.g., broker)Provide larger incentives for your salesforce/better programmingIncrease the number of differentproducts/widen the product line-up33%53%7%Sources: WSWA Wholesaler Surveys, Team Analyses 2017 Wholesalers recommend higherinvestments against the consumer– Consumer pull strategies– Better branding– Consumer tastings Wholesalers also recommend higherinvestments against the trade– Market visits– Training of salesforce– More POS material– Supplementary sales resources inmarket– More programming From a product perspective,wholesalers recommend fewerproducts and higher quality45

Industry Recommendations for Craft SpiritsProducers from WholesalersIf you were a craft producer, wherewould you try to spend more time?% AgreeSelling product in market80%Making products in distillery7%Raising capital5%Back-officeOther0%8%If you were a craft producer, which typeof accounts would you target first?% AgreeIndependentoff-premise,20%Chain offpremise,7% Educating consumer, retailer, and salesforce. Engage with all tiers and insurea clear consumer platform Making the product as well as tellingthe story in the market Creating consumer pull/developingrelationships with key gatekeepers Wholesalers recommend craft spiritsproducers to increase their time in themarket Wholesalers believe that craft spiritproducers should initially targetindependent on-premise accountswhen coming to market, thenindependent off-premise account

2.6% in Volume U.S. craft currently has an estimated market share of 2.6% in cases, up from 1.0% in 2011 U.S. craft is clear