2022 Level III Mock Exam - Financialexamhelp123

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Financial Exam Help 123 2022 Level III Mock ExamMorning Session Exam #2Full Guideline Answers 2022 Financial Exam Help 123 All Rights ReservedCFA Institute does not endorse, promote or warrant the accuracy or quality of Financial Exam Help 123 . CFA andChartered Financial Analyst are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute.

Page 22022 Mock Exam #2 Full Guideline AnswersLevel IIINote to CandidatesIn this volume, I have attempted to approximate the style used by CFAInstitute in their published guideline answers for the actual morningexams between 1999 and 2018. Many of the answers here include moreinformation than would likely be necessary for a candidate to write to earnfull marks on each question. The answers are intended as both anassessment tool and a learning tool. Please use them accordingly.Answers appear in red. Supporting commentary (which is not required inthe answer, but helps to clarify the answer for the candidate) appears inblue.The allocation of marks given for each answer is my best estimate of theway that CFA Institute’s graders will mark actual exam questions, basedon scoring that I have seen in their published Level III morning examsand guideline answers between 1999 and 2018. There is no guarantee thatthis is how CFA Institute’s graders will mark exams this year.If you believe that there is an error in an answer contained here, pleaseconsult my errata page to see if your concern has been ta/If there is no erratum addressing your concern, feel free to e-mail me at:info@financialexamhelp123.comBCIII 2022 Financial Exam Help 123 All Rights ReservedCFA Institute does not endorse, promote or warrant the accuracy or quality of Financial Exam Help 123 . CFA andChartered Financial Analyst are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute.

Level III2022 Mock Exam #2 Full Guideline AnswersPage 3Answer Question 1-A on This PageCalculate the after-tax value of the Hangs’ portfolio upon liquidation, assuming that theirexpectations hold. Show your calculations.The future value before taxes is:HKD 20, 000, 000 (1.047 ) HKD 47,864,87719The capital gain is:HKD 47,864,877 HKD 15,182, 731 HKD 32, 682,146The capital gains taxes are:HKD 32, 682,146 12% HKD 3,921,858Therefore, the future value after taxes is:HKD 47,864,877 HKD 3,921,858 HKD 43,943, 019 2022 Financial Exam Help 123 All Rights ReservedCFA Institute does not endorse, promote or warrant the accuracy or quality of Financial Exam Help 123 . CFA andChartered Financial Analyst are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute.

Page 42022 Mock Exam #2 Full Guideline AnswersLevel IIIAllocation of marks:4 marks for the correct answer (HKD 43,943,020)If the answer is incorrect:1 mark for the correct calculation of the future value before taxes1 mark for the correct calculation of the capital gain1 mark for the correct calculation of the capital gains tax1 mark for correctly subtracting the capital gains tax from the future value beforetaxesReading:Topics in Private Wealth ManagementLOS d: Analyze the impact of taxes on capital accumulation and decumulation in taxable,tax-exempt, and tax-deferred accounts. 2022 Financial Exam Help 123 All Rights ReservedCFA Institute does not endorse, promote or warrant the accuracy or quality of Financial Exam Help 123 . CFA andChartered Financial Analyst are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute.

Level III2022 Mock Exam #2 Full Guideline AnswersPage 5Answer Question 1-B on This PageCalculate the after-tax value of the Samdups’ portfolio upon their retirement, assuming thattheir expectations hold. Show your calculations.The after-tax annual return is: r12 ) 4.840%( 6.6% )(1 20% ) ( 6.6% )(1 30%33Therefore, the future value of HKD 11,800,000 is:Future value HKD 11,800, 000 (1.0484 )24 HKD 11,800, 000 ( 3.109197 ) HKD 36, 688,529Allocation of marks:3 marks for the correct answer (HKD 36,688,529)If the answer is incorrect:1 mark for the correct formula for r1 mark for the correct calculation of the future value of 1 (3.109197)1 mark for correctly multiplying 3.109197 by today’s portfolio valueReading:Topics in Private Wealth ManagementLOS d: Analyze the impact of taxes on capital accumulation and decumulation in taxable,tax-exempt, and tax-deferred accounts. 2022 Financial Exam Help 123 All Rights ReservedCFA Institute does not endorse, promote or warrant the accuracy or quality of Financial Exam Help 123 . CFA andChartered Financial Analyst are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute.

Page 62022 Mock Exam #2 Full Guideline AnswersLevel IIIAnswer Question 2-A on This PageIdentify all of thematurities of thebonds that Jigmeshould purchase tocreate the portfolio.(Check all that areappropriate)For each maturity identified, determine the number of bonds ofthat maturity required for the portfolio. Show your calculations.4 years3 yearsFirst, note that this is a cash flow matching problem, so all we have todo is calculate the bond values that will generate the needed cashflows. We start with the longest maturity bond (because its couponswill cover some of the cash flow needs at shorter maturities) and worktoward the shortest maturity bond.The final payment on a coupon-paying bond is par plus coupon, so,2 yearsPar value (1 2.5% ) EUR 70, 000, 000Par value EUR 70, 000, 000 EUR 68, 292, 683(1 2.5% )Numberof bonds EUR 68, 292, 683 68, 292.683EUR 1, 000Buy 68, 293 2-year bonds. 2022 Financial Exam Help 123 All Rights ReservedCFA Institute does not endorse, promote or warrant the accuracy or quality of Financial Exam Help 123 . CFA andChartered Financial Analyst are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute.

Level III2022 Mock Exam #2 Full Guideline AnswersPage 7Answer Question 2-A on This Page (cont.)Identify all of thematurities of thebonds that Jigmeshould purchase tocreate the portfolio.(Check all that areappropriate)For each maturity identified, determine the number of bonds ofthat maturity required for the portfolio. Show your calculations.The coupons from the 2-year bonds will cover part of the year 1payment. The remainder of the year 1 payment is:EUR 40, 000, 000 EUR 68, 293, 000 2.5% EUR 38, 292, 6751 year Par valueEUR 38, 292, 675 EUR 37,913,540(1 1% ) Numberof bondsEUR 37,913,540 37,913.540EUR 1, 000Buy 37,914 1-year bonds.Calculate the total cost of bonds for the portfolio. Show your calculations.68, 293 EUR 1,015.60 EUR 69,358,370.8037,914 EUR 997.04 EUR 37,801, 774.56EUR 107,160,145.36The total cash flows at the end of each year can be seen easily in a table:2-year1-yearTotal CFCash Flow by YearYear 1Year 2EUR 1,707,325 EUR 70,000,32538,293,140EUR 40,000,465 EUR 70,000,325 2022 Financial Exam Help 123 All Rights ReservedCFA Institute does not endorse, promote or warrant the accuracy or quality of Financial Exam Help 123 . CFA andChartered Financial Analyst are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute.

Page 82022 Mock Exam #2 Full Guideline AnswersLevel IIINote: in the real world Jigme would likely have to buy bonds in round lots of 100, so he wouldbuy 68,300 2-year bonds and 37,900 1-year bonds for a total cost of EUR 107,153,296. The totalcash flows would be:2-year1-yearTotal CFCash Flow by YearYear 1Year 2EUR 1,707,500 EUR 70,007,50038,279,000EUR 39,986,500 EUR 70,007,500Allocation of marks:1 mark each for checking “2 years” and “1 year”Less: 1 mark each for checking “3 years” or “4 years”(Note: total for the first column cannot be less than zero.)For each correct maturity identified:2 marks for the correct number of bondsIf the number is incorrect:1 mark for the correct formula for the par value / number of bonds1 mark for the correct calculation of the number of bonds (includingrounding to the nearest whole bond)1 mark for the correct total cost for the bonds (EUR 107,160,145.36)Reading:Liability-Driven and Index-Based StrategiesLOS c: Compare strategies for a single liability and for multiple liabilities, includingalternative means of implementation. 2022 Financial Exam Help 123 All Rights ReservedCFA Institute does not endorse, promote or warrant the accuracy or quality of Financial Exam Help 123 . CFA andChartered Financial Analyst are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute.

Level III2022 Mock Exam #2 Full Guideline AnswersPage 9Answer Question 2-B on This PageDetermine whichportfolio in Exhibit 2is most appropriateto immunizeMancía’s liabilities.(Check one)AFor each portfolio not chosen, state one reasonwhy that portfolio is not appropriate.(Note: the space next to the chosen portfolio should be left blank.)For portfolios that are otherwise appropriate (e.g., sufficient marketvalue, appropriate Macaulay duration, convexity greater than or equalto that of the liabilities), the most appropriate portfolio will be the onewith the smallest convexity. The convexity of portfolio A(75.63 years2) is higher than that of the otherwise appropriateportfolio B (74.79 years2).BCThe market value of the immunizing portfolio should be at least asgreat as the present value of the liabilities that it is designed toimmunize. The market value of portfolio C is too low:CHF 9,101,107 CHF 9,176,972DEThe Macaulay duration of the immunizing portfolio should beextremely close to that of the liabilities that it is designed toimmunize. The Macaulay duration of portfolio D (6.77 years) differssubstantially from the Macaulay duration of the liabilities(7.34 years): the difference is 0.57 years.The convexity of the immunizing portfolio should be at least as greatas the convexity of the liabilities that it is designed to immunize. Theconvexity of portfolio E is too low:74.42 years2 74.67 years2 2022 Financial Exam Help 123 All Rights ReservedCFA Institute does not endorse, promote or warrant the accuracy or quality of Financial Exam Help 123 . CFA andChartered Financial Analyst are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute.

Page 102022 Mock Exam #2 Full Guideline AnswersLevel IIIAllocation of marks:1 mark for checking “B”For each portfolio not chosen:2 marks for a correct reason that the portfolio is inappropriateReading:Liability-Driven and Index-Based StrategiesLOS c: Compare strategies for a single liability and for multiple liabilities, includingalternative means of implementation. 2022 Financial Exam Help 123 All Rights ReservedCFA Institute does not endorse, promote or warrant the accuracy or quality of Financial Exam Help 123 . CFA andChartered Financial Analyst are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute.

Level III2022 Mock Exam #2 Full Guideline AnswersPage 11Answer Question 3-A on This PageBased onVancaeyezeele’sanalysis, for three of thecomponents ofimplementation shortfall,determine which brokeris preferable.(Check one foreach component)MoreauDelay costFTExplain each choice.The average delay cost when using FT is givenas 0.83% while the average delay cost whenusing Moreau is 1.12%. Lower delay costs arebetter than higher delay costs.Cannot be determinedMoreauTrading costFTCannot be determinedFor purchases, the average trading cost whenusing Moreau is 0.12%, while the averagetrading cost when using FT is 1.15%. Lowertrading costs are better than higher tradingcosts, suggesting that Moreau is better forpurchases.For sales, the average trading cost when usingFT is 0.69%, while the average trading costwhen using Moreau is 1.31%. Again, lowertrading costs are better than higher tradingcosts, suggesting that FT is better for sales.With Moreau better for purchases and FTbetter for sales, it’s impossible to determinewhich is better overall. 2022 Financial Exam Help 123 All Rights ReservedCFA Institute does not endorse, promote or warrant the accuracy or quality of Financial Exam Help 123 . CFA andChartered Financial Analyst are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute.

Page 122022 Mock Exam #2 Full Guideline AnswersLevel IIIAnswer Question 3-A on This Page (cont.)Based onVancaeyezeele’sanalysis, for three of thecomponents ofimplementation shortfall,determine which brokeris preferable.(Check one foreach component)MoreauOpportunity costFTCannot be determinedExplain each choice.Opportunity cost is the lost appreciation/depreciation of the stock price for unfilledshares. For unfilled shares on a purchase, theopportunity cost is positive if the cancellationprice is above the original decision price, andnegative if the cancellation price is below theoriginal decision price. For unfilled shares ona sale, the opportunity cost is positive if thecancellation price is below the originaldecision price, and negative if the cancellationprice is above the original decision price. Notethat Vancaeyezeele’s observation about thecancellation prices ensures that if there areunfilled shares on any trade, the opportunitycost is positive.The average percentage of trades executedfully (for which the opportunity cost is zero)when using Moreau is:42 70%60while the average percentage with FT is:46 77%60When the potential opportunity cost is knownto be positive, more trades executed fully isbetter than fewer trades executed fully; fullyexecuted trades have zero opportunity costs. 2022 Financial Exam Help 123 All Rights ReservedCFA Institute does not endorse, promote or warrant the accuracy or quality of Financial Exam Help 123 . CFA andChartered Financial Analyst are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute.

Level III2022 Mock Exam #2 Full Guideline AnswersPage 13Answer Question 3-A on This Page (cont.)Based onVancaeyezeele’sanalysis, for three of thecomponents ofimplementation shortfall,determine which brokeris preferable.(Check one foreach component)Explain each choice.However, for the trades executed only partially(which have nonzero opportunity costs), whenusing Moreau, the average portion of an orderthat is unfilled is:11% ( 100% 89% )MoreauOpportunity costFTCannot be determinedWhen using FT, the average portion of anorder that is unfilled is:22% ( 100% 78% )When the potential opportunity cost is knownto be positive, having less of an order unfilledis better than having more of it unfilled.Therefore, the percentage of trades executedfully argues for FT, but the percentageexecution for less-than-fully-executed tradesargues for Moreau. Overall, it is impossible tosay which is better 2022 Financial Exam Help 123 All Rights ReservedCFA Institute does not endorse, promote or warrant the accuracy or quality of Financial Exam Help 123 . CFA andChartered Financial Analyst are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute.

Page 142022 Mock Exam #2 Full Guideline AnswersLevel IIIAllocation of marks:For each component:1 mark for checking the correct broker2 marks for a correct explanation for that choice(Note: no marks are earned for justifying an incorrect choice.)Reading:Trade Strategy and ExecutionLOS g: Explain how trade costs are measured and determine the cost of a trade. 2022 Financial Exam Help 123 All Rights ReservedCFA Institute does not endorse, promote or warrant the accuracy or quality of Financial Exam Help 123 . CFA andChartered Financial Analyst are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute.

Level III2022 Mock Exam #2 Full Guideline AnswersPage 15Answer Question 3-B on This PageFor each manager,determine whichalgorithmic tradingapproach is mostappropriate.(Check one foreach manager)ScheduledOpportunisticAl-QallafArrival priceDarkSORJustify each selection.Al-Qallaf has a large trade, is willing to use marketorders, and wants to ensure that the entire trade is filled.Opportunistic, or liquidity-seeking, algorithmic strategiesare useful for large trades, as they use multiple venues(both lit and dark), tend to use market orders morefrequently than limit orders, and, therefore, tend toensure that the entire order is filled.Scheduled algorithms (POV, VWAP, and TWAP),arrival-price algorithms, and smart order routers (SORs)are best suited to small trades, so they are inappropriate.Dark pool algorithms can handle large trades, but aremore likely to leave part of the trade unfilled as theyavoid lit venues. 2022 Financial Exam Help 123 All Rights ReservedCFA Institute does not endorse, promote or warrant the accuracy or quality of Financial Exam Help 123 . CFA andChartered Financial Analyst are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute.

Page 162022 Mock Exam #2 Full Guideline AnswersLevel IIIAnswer Question 3-B on This Page (cont.)For each manager,determine whichalgorithmic tradingapproach is mostappropriate.(Check one foreach manager)ScheduledOpportunisticTrọng HoàngArrival priceDarkSORJustify each selection.Takano has a small trade for which he wants to use alimit order on a security that trades on multiple venueswhere the best price can change quickly andunpredictably. He won’t complain if a portion of theorder goes unfilled.A smart order routing (SOR) algorithm is designed tohandle small orders on securities that trade on multiplevenues, when the best price can switch from one venue toanother quickly and unpredictably. Furthermore, it canhandle either market or limit orders. However, SORs canoccasionally leave orders less than 100% filled.Neither scheduled algorithms, opportunistic algorithms,arrival price algorithms, nor dark pool algorithms aredesigned to handle trades when the best price can switchfrom one venue to another quickly and unpredictably.Allocation of marks:For each manager:1 mark for checking the correct algorithm3 marks for a correct explanation for that choice(Note: no marks are earned for justifying an incorrect choice.)Reading:Trade Strategy and ExecutionLOS d: Select and justify a trading strategy (given relevant facts). 2022 Financial Exam Help 123 All Rights ReservedCFA Institute does not endorse, promote or warrant the accuracy or quality of Financial Exam Help 123 . CFA andChartered Financial Analyst are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute.

Level III2022 Mock Exam #2 Full Guideline AnswersPage 17Answer Question 4-A on This PageDetermine whichmanager is mostappropriate for theFoundation.(Check one)Support your selection with two reasons.For each manager not selected, state one reason that that manager isinappropriate.Either one of these reasons would suffice: PavónPavón’s large, negative size exposure indicates that her portfoliohas a large-cap tilt. However, the committee believes that largecap markets are efficient while small-cap markets might not be,suggesting a preference for a small-cap tilt over a large-cap tilt.– or – Pavón has a strong, positive exposure to momentum, which isgenerally considered a technical factor. The committee does notbelieve in technical analysis, so it would likely prefer a smallmomentum exposure.(Note that the equity reading does not specifically identify momentumas a technical factor, so the second bullet point is likely much weakerthan the first.)JimenezMoya Jimenez has a consistent, positive size exposure, indicating asmall-cap tilt. The committee believes that small-cap marketsmay be inefficient and, therefore, provide opportunities forenhanced returns. Jimenez’s factor exposures have not changed significantly overthe two periods covered by the exhibits, suggesting that she doesnot engage in market timing; the committee expressly does notendorse market timing. The large changes in Moya’s factor exposures (market beta: 1.28 0.97, size beta: 0.25 0.44, value beta: 0.20 0.16,quality: 0.24 0.11) suggest that he engages in markettiming, which the committee expressly does not endorse. 2022 Financial Exam Help 123 All Rights ReservedCFA Institute does not endorse, promote or warrant the accuracy or quality of Financial Exam Help 123 . CFA andChartered Financial Analyst are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute.

Page 182022 Mock Exam #2 Full Guideline AnswersLevel IIIAllocation of marks:1 mark for checking “Jimenez”2 marks for each correct reason (up to two reasons) supporting the choice of Jimenez(Note: no marks are earned for supporting an incorrect choice.)For each inappropriate manager:2 marks for one correct reasonReading:Active Equity Investing: StrategiesLOS d: Analyze factor-based active strategies, including their rationale and associatedprocesses. 2022 Financial Exam Help 123 All Rights ReservedCFA Institute does not endorse, promote or warrant the accuracy or quality of Financial Exam Help 123 . CFA andChartered Financial Analyst are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute.

Level III2022 Mock Exam #2 Full Guideline AnswersPage 19Answer Question 4-B on This PageDetermine, from the methods that Craane is considering, the most appropriatemethod for constructing the Foundation’s core equity portfolio.(Check one)Full replicationStratified samplingOptimizationJustify your response.The value of the Fund’s equity portfolio is USD 97.5 million, so the value of the core portfoliois 60% USD 97.5 million USD 58.5 million. With approximately 1,700 stocks in theMSCI World Index, that gives an average of approximately USD 34,400 per stock, which maynot be sufficient for full replication. Furthermore, full replication with 1,700 stocks will incursubstantial transaction costs for establishing and rebalancing the portfolio, which isinconsistent with the investment committee’s goal of minimizing transaction costs. Therefore,full replication is not an appropriate choice.Stratified sampling will reduce the transaction costs for establishing and rebalancing theportfolio, and, with 1,700 securities from which to choose, it should be possible to construct aportfolio with substantially fewer securities that still tracks the benchmark quite closely. Aportfolio of, say, 500 stocks will meet the minimum requirement of 300 securities, will likelyhave a low tracking error (if the stocks are chosen carefully), and will have transaction coststhat are roughly ⅓ that of full replication. Furthermore, stratified sampling does not involvecomplicated algorithms that would be difficult for committee members to understand.Therefore, stratified sampling is an appropriate choice.Optimization involves complex algorithms that may be difficult for the investment committeeto understand, so optimization is not an appropriate choice. 2022 Financial Exam Help 123 All Rights ReservedCFA Institute does not endorse, promote or warrant the accuracy or quality of Financial Exam Help 123 . CFA andChartered Financial Analyst are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute.

Page 202022 Mock Exam #2 Full Guideline AnswersLevel IIIAllocation of marks:1 mark for checking “Stratified sampling”1 mark for one reason that full replication is inappropriate2 marks for one comprehensive reason that stratified sampling is appropriate1 mark for one reason that optimization is inappropriateReading:Passive Equity InvestingLOS d: Compare the full replication, stratified sampling, and optimization approaches forthe construction of passively managed equity portfolios. 2022 Financial Exam Help 123 All Rights ReservedCFA Institute does not endorse, promote or warrant the accuracy or quality of Financial Exam Help 123 . CFA andChartered Financial Analyst are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute.

Level III2022 Mock Exam #2 Full Guideline AnswersPage 21Answer Question 4-C on This PageCharacteristicDiscuss four characteristics of Craane’s proposed portfolio thatfail to meet the investment committee’s guidelines.The proposed portfolio’s return is insufficient. The return net of fees is 9.61% calculated as:10.21% 0.60% 9.61%The excess return over the benchmark return is therefore 0.83% or 83 bps, calculated as:9.61% 8.78% 0.83% 83 bps83 bps is less than the 100 bps guideline excess return set by the investment committee.CharacteristicThe proposed portfolio’s standard deviation of returns is too high. The guideline standarddeviation of returns set by the investment committee is 10.93% calculated as:0.9 (12.14% ) 10.93%The proposed portfolio’s standard deviation of returns is 11.18%, which is greater than10.93%.Alternatively,11.18% 92.1% 90%12.14%CharacteristicThe tracking error of the proposed portfolio exceeds the guideline tracking error set by theinvestment committee:6.25% 6.00% 2022 Financial Exam Help 123 All Rights ReservedCFA Institute does not endorse, promote or warrant the accuracy or quality of Financial Exam Help 123 . CFA andChartered Financial Analyst are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute.

Page 222022 Mock Exam #2 Full Guideline AnswersLevel IIIAnswer Question 4-C on This Page (cont.)CharacteristicDiscuss four characteristics of Craane’s proposed portfolio thatfail to meet the investment committee’s guidelines.The allocation to the consumer staples sector deviates too much from the benchmarkallocation. The deviation is 5.5% calculated as:14.0% 8.5% 5.5%This deviation exceeds the maximum deviation of 5.0% set by the investment committee.CharacteristicThe proposed portfolio’s annual turnover of 8.37% does not minimize transaction costs. The8.37% turnover is substantially greater than the benchmark’s annual turnover of 2.11%.Note: any four of these characteristics are sufficient.Allocation of marks:For each characteristic:1 mark for identifying the characteristic1 mark for explaining or justifying the characteristic(Note: no marks are earned for explaining an incorrect characteristic.)Reading:Portfolio Management for Institutional InvestorsLOS h: Evaluate the investment portfolio of a private DB plan, sovereign wealth fund,university endowment, and private foundation. 2022 Financial Exam Help 123 All Rights ReservedCFA Institute does not endorse, promote or warrant the accuracy or quality of Financial Exam Help 123 . CFA andChartered Financial Analyst are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute.

Level III2022 Mock Exam #2 Full Guideline AnswersPage 23Answer Question 5-A on This PageIdentify one limitation of historicalestimates and two data measurementerrors/biases that Kozak has faced.Limitation of historical estimatesRegime change / nonstationarityJustify each response with one reason based solelyon the information given.Kozak has had to translate foreign currency valuesbefore, during, and after hyperinflation into domesticcurrency values.Economic conditions changing from normal inflationto hyperinflation or vice versa constitutes a regimechange.Data measurement error/biasTranscription errorKozak has had to correct a return reported as 41.7%(which should have been 14.7%).Clearly, the reported number switched the “1” andthe “4”, which is a transcription error.Data measurement error/biasSurvivorship biasKozak has had to try to get meaningful risk andreturn values from index data when many of theconstituent companies have gone out of business.When a company included in an index goes out ofbusiness, it drops out of the index, so the index nolonger reflects its lack of profitability. Consequently,the index returns are biased upward. 2022 Financial Exam Help 123 All Rights ReservedCFA Institute does not endorse, promote or warrant the accuracy or quality of Financial Exam Help 123 . CFA andChartered Financial Analyst are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute.

Page 242022 Mock Exam #2 Full Guideline AnswersLevel IIIAllocation of marks:For each item:1 mark for identifying a correct limitation/error/bias2 marks for one correct justification(Note: no marks are earned for justifying an incorrect limitation/error/bias.)Reading:Capital Market Expectations, Part 1: Framework and Macro ConsiderationsLOS b: Discuss challenges in developing capital market forecasts. 2022 Financial Exam Help 123 All Rights ReservedCFA Institute does not endorse, promote or warrant the accuracy or quality of Financial Exam Help 123 . CFA andChartered Financial Analyst are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute.

Level III2022 Mock Exam #2 Full Guideline AnswersPage 25Answer Question 5-B on This PageEvaluate each of the statements (Mora’s and Williams’).MoraMora’s statement is inaccurate.Mora is correct that econometric models can be difficult and time-consuming to create, and heis also correct that they generally give quantitative estimates of the impacts of changes in thevalues of exogenous variables (exogenous shocks).He is incorrect when he states that econometric models generally forecast economic turningpoints well. In fact, econometric models are generally poor at forecasting economic turningpoints.WilliamsWilliams’ statement is accurate.Williams is correct that a leading economic indicator (LEI) approach is generally good atforecasting turning points; indeed, that is the very definition of LEIs: that they reach a turningpoint before the economy as a whole does.She is also correct about having to be careful about forecasts made when LEI data are firstreleased. Because the data are revised frequently, the corresponding forecasts may have to berevised as well. 2022 Financial Exam Help 123 All Rights ReservedCFA Institute does not endorse, promote or warrant the accuracy or quality of Financial Exam Help 123 . CFA andChartered Financial Analyst are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute.

Page 262022 Mock Exam #2 Full Guideline AnswersLevel IIIAllocation of marks:For each statement:1 mark for stating a conclusion: whether the statement is accurate or inaccurate2 marks for justifying the conclusion(Note: no marks are earned for justifying an incorrect conclusion.)Reading:Capital Market Expectations, Part 1: Framework and Macro ConsiderationsLOS e: Compare major approaches to economic forecasting. 2022 Financial Exam Help 123 All Rights ReservedCFA Institute does not endorse, promote or warrant the accuracy or quality of Financial Exam Help 123 . CFA andChartered Financial Analyst are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute.

Level III2022 Mock Exam #2 Full Guideline AnswersPage 27Answer Question 5-C on This PageBased on the data in Exhibit 1, determine the Eurozone’s expected long-term annual d

2022 Level III Mock Exam . Page 2 2022 Mock Exam #2 Full Guideline Answers Level III 2022 Financial Exam Help 123 . CFA Institute does not endorse, promote or warrant the accuracy or quality of Financial Exam Help 123 . CFA .