AI For Supply Chain - Stanford University

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AI for Supply ChainIndustrial AIDimitry GorinevskyConsulting Professor in Electrical Engineeringwww.stanford.edu/ goringorin@stanford.eduMarch 31, 2020/SLAC

Summary Supply chain processes are a big part of world economy Three examples of our work in AI for supply chain1. Classic Supply Chain Management2. Electricity Supply3. Maintenance and Repair Operations Explainable AI– data ML model AI outcomeMarch 2020/SLACStanford D. Gorinevsky: www.stanford.edu/ gorin2

Classic Supply Chain Management 1.3T Industry Supply chain historical data– Log of shipping events– Periodic stock levels AI functions––––Performance monitoringCapacity planningDemand forecastingSupply planningMarch 2020/SLACStanfordSupplyProductionWarehouse D. Gorinevsky: www.stanford.edu/ gorinDistributorRetailer3

Performance Monitoring Flow modelExample 1– flow stock/delayproduction-distributor delay ML of flow delays– E-M algorithm– E: estimate delays– M: estimate stocks & flowsMarch 2020/SLACStanford D. Gorinevsky: www.stanford.edu/ gorin4

Capacity Planning Probabilistic risk model– Overinvestment – CapEx cost– Underinvestment – OpEx cost, penalty for unavailability ML of probability distribution– Quantile model of supply-demandMarch 2020/SLACStanford D. Gorinevsky: www.stanford.edu/ gorin5

Advanced Power and Energy Power grid capacity planning– 1 day of outage in 10 years 99.97% availability 1.7T IndustryExample 2probabilistic risk analysis for power supply– ISO New England 49 GW capacity Probability distributions– electricity demand– wind/solar/battery supply– combinedMarch 2020/SLACStanford D. Gorinevsky: www.stanford.edu/ gorin6

Maintenance and Repair Operations (MRO) Reverse logistics supply chain– Reparable parts aka rotables Probability distribution model– Repair demand (reliability) 1.7T IndustryExample 3Mitek AnalyticsAI for MRO Flow model– Parts retrograde and provisioning– Supply impacts aircraft availabilityMarch 2020/SLACStanford D. Gorinevsky: www.stanford.edu/ gorin7

AI for Supply Chain Industrial AI . Dimitry Gorinevsky. . March 31, 2020. Stanford/SLAC. Summary Supply chain processes are a big part of world economy Three examples of our work in AI for supply chain. 1. Classic Supply Chain Management 2. Electricity Supply 3. Maintenance and Repair Operations Explainable AI