Specialty Finance Market Update Summer 2020

Transcription

SPECIALTY FINANCE

Houlihan Lokey Specialty Finance Market UpdateDear Clients and Friends,We are pleased to present our Specialty Finance Market Update for the summer of 2020.We hope that you and your families remain safe and healthy. We have continued adapting to this fluidmarket and are busy helping our clients navigate their financing, M&A, and other strategic alternatives.Please reach out to any of us if you would like to connect or brainstorm any current needs or relevanttopics with us.We have included select recent transaction announcements, a public markets overview, and industryinsights to help you stay ahead in our dynamic and constantly evolving industry. We hope you find thisquarterly update to be informative and that it serves as a valuable resource to you in staying abreast ofthe market. We look forward to staying in touch with you.Regards,Brent FerrinDirector,Financial Institutions GroupBFerrin@HL.com212.497.4203Additional Team ContactsJeffrey LevineManaging Director and Global Head,Financial Institutions GroupJMLevine@HL.com305.779.1177Jonathan SloanManaging Director,Financial and Valuation AdvisoryJSloan@HL.com212.497.4232Jeffrey LederFinancial Analyst,Financial Institutions GroupJLeder@HL.com212.497.4226Ben WilsonFinancial Analyst,Financial Institutions GroupBWilson@HL.com212.497.4289Oscar AartsDirector,Financial and Valuation AdvisoryOAarts@HL.com212.497.7869Specialty Finance Subverticals CoveredALTERNATIVE FINANCIAL SERVICESCREDIT CARDSFACTORINGASSET-BASED LENDINGDEBT BUYING/COLLECTIONFINANCIAL INFORMATIONFLEET LEASINGSMALL BUSINESS LOANSEQUIPMENT LEASINGFINANCIAL PROCESSORS AND SOFTWAREHEALTHCARE FINANCELITIGATION FINANCEAUTO LOANS/BHPHINSTALLMENT LOANSPAYDAY LENDING/PAWNSTUDENT LENDINGPAYMENTSTRANSPORTATION FINANCE

Houlihan Lokey is the trusted advisor tomore top decision-makers than any otherindependent global investment bank.No. 1 Advisor to Specialty Finance Companies2010–2019 M&A Advisory RankingsAll U.S. Specialty Finance Transactions2015–2019 M&A Advisory RankingsAll U.S. Specialty Finance TransactionsAdvisorDeals5Stifel/Keefe, Bruyette & Woods1966899Bank of America SecuritiesCitigroup Inc.Piper Sandler & Co.Morgan StanleyWells Fargo Securities, LLC16161514141234Houlihan Lokey, Inc.J.P. Morgan Securities LLCBarclays Capital Inc.Credit Suisse (USA), Inc.4829232212345678910AdvisorDealsHoulihan Lokey, Inc.J.P. Morgan Securities LLCStifel/Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsPiper Sandler & Co.Barclays Capital Inc.Credit Suisse (USA), Inc.Bank of America SecuritiesMorgan StanleyCitigroup Inc.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.90433936352928242320Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence.Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence.Exceptional Qualifications in Specialty Finance (Select Transactions)2020 YTD2019has sold a 2.6bn sub- and nonperforming shipping loan portfolio toa subsidiary of:has sold a 49% stake tohas been acquired bySeries ASenior Secured Noteshas completed the sale of certainassets toGrowth Equity 40,000,000 Preferred Equity 50,000,000Sellside Advisorhas been acquired byGrowth CapitalExclusive Financial Advisor & Placement AgentExclusive Financial AdvisorExclusive Placement AgentSellside AdvisorSellside AdvisorSellside Advisor2018LenderLive Networka division ofhas been acquired byhas been acquired byhas acquiredhas merged withhas been acquired byhas been acquired bySellside AdvisorSellside AdvisorSellside AdvisorBuyside AdvisorSellside AdvisorSellside Advisor2016 / 2017Certain equipment finance assetsand operations ofa subsidiary ofhas been acquired byhas acquiredhas been acquired byhas been acquired by affiliates ofhave been acquired byHitachi Capital America Corp.Buyside AdvisorSellside AdvisorSellside AdvisorSellside AdvisorSellside Advisor2

Recent Transactions–Case Studies19th Capital’s Sale to Hilco GlobalClient Profile19th Capital Group (“19th Capital” or the “Company”), a wholly owned subsidiary of Element FleetManagement Corp (TSX:EFN; “Element”), provides asset financing and fleet management solutions foroperators of Class 8 fleets across the North American trucking industry. The Company’s strategicnetwork of partners includes financial institutions, OEMs, and other capital providers. The Company ownsand manages Quality Co., a leading truck leasing and sales company, which has locations in theIndianapolis and Dallas markets.a subsidiary of:Transaction Snapshothas completed the sale of certainassets toHilco Global (“Hilco”), through its operating business H19 Capital LLC, has acquired the assets of 19thCapital Group, including trucks, leases, and associated fleet services. The transaction closed on May 1,2020.Sellside AdvisorIn October 2019, Element Fleet Management Corp announced that it was pursuing strategicalternatives with regards to 19th Capital Group and retained Houlihan Lokey to assist in evaluatingstrategic alternatives, including a potential sale of the business. Houlihan Lokey assisted inmarketing, structuring, and negotiating the transaction with Hilco Global and successfully navigated achallenging market environment amid COVID-19 and significant trucking market headwinds to achievea desirable outcome for all parties involved. This transaction highlights Houlihan Lokey's continuedposition as a leading advisor within the specialty finance and transportation and logistics sectors.HoulihanLokey’sRoleMerchants Automotive Group’s Growth FinancingClient ProfileMerchants Automotive Group (“Merchants” or the “Company”), a privately owned family business, is oneof the largest and fastest-growing fleet management companies in the United States. The Companyprovides a comprehensive selection of fleet management and leasing solutions to a wide spectrum ofindustries. Merchants also sells, services, and finances pre-owned cars, operating as one of the largestpre-owned dealers in New England. The Company was founded in 1962 and is headquartered inHooksett, New Hampshire.Series ASenior Secured NotesTransaction SnapshotGrowth CapitalBain Capital Credit provided 50 million of Series A senior secured notes to Merchants. Proceeds fromthe transaction were used to fund the Company’s accelerated growth, as well as to pay transactionrelated fees and expenses. The transaction closed on March 13, 2020. 50,000,000Exclusive Financial Advisor & Placement AgentHoulihanLokey’sRoleDue to several recent large contract wins that required significant upfront investment, Merchants decidedto explore various capital alternatives to fund its growth and engaged Houlihan Lokey as its exclusivefinancial advisor and placement agent. The financing achieved Merchants’ primary objectives, including(i) providing a runway to support the company’s accelerated growth over the next several years, (ii)limiting any governance restrictions on operations, (iii) minimizing equity dilution among the ownershipgroup, and (iv) providing payment flexibility to maximize reinvestment in the business.Houlihan Lokey assisted the Company in arranging, structuring, and negotiating the financing, includingnavigating multiparty, inter-creditor negotiations and documentation. In spite of the significant marketvolatility during the final stages of the transaction, the Company was not required to make any changes tothe pricing or terms of the financing, highlighting the strength of the partnership between allstakeholders.3

Update on the Implementation of CECLIn June 2016, the Financial AccountingStandards Board (FASB) issued ASU 2016-13,which changes the way credit losses arerecognized for most financial assets. Under thenew standard, current expected credit losses(CECL) requires recognition to be made whenlosses can be reasonably expected for thelifetime of the exposure, as opposed to whenlosses are incurred or probable of occurring.CECL went into effect for most public companieswith fiscal years after December 15, 2019.Pre-CECLPost-CECLIncurred Loss ModelExpected CreditLoss ModelRecognize loss whenit is incurred or isprobable to occurRecognize currentestimate not expectedto be collected atorigination and eachreporting dateThe initial impact of CECL on public company financial statements seems to be mixed. Many companiesreportedlittle to no impact on their financial statements, likely due to product type and typical loss levels.Other companies with products typically associated with higher loss levels were impacted more. Forexample, net shareholders’ equity for consumer lender OneMain Holdings, Inc., decreased byapproximately 19% as a result of increases in allowance for credit losses attributable to CECL.As a way to provide additional transition relief for companies implementing CECL, the FASB issued Topic326 under the CECL guidance, which allows for companies to elect to record financial assets at fair value.Fewer companies seem to have elected to account for financial assets under this guidance, and the onesthat have also show a varying level of impact. For example, LendingClub Corp. stated in its most recentForm 10-Q that “adoption of Topic 326 did not have an impact on the company’s financial position, resultsof operations, and cash flows.” Conversely, Enova International, Inc., also elected the fair value optionunder Topic 326 but had an increase in net shareholders’ equity of approximately 33% as a result of theadoption.The biggest change to come from CECL is likely presenting itself now in the current economicenvironment. Many public companies have increased their loss reserves on existing and new issuancesmaterially to account for expected losses related to COVID-19. Whereas these losses may have previouslybeen delayed until they became probable of occurring before the implementation of CECL, companiesmust now accelerate these losses to when they are reasonably expected. This economic crisis had aninitial impact on Q1 earnings and will likely continue to have additional effects in the coming quarters ascompanies put their new CECL models to the test.Leading Provider of Financial and Valuation Advisory ServicesHoulihan Lokey’s Specialty Finance team is a cross-functional team incorporating M&A advisory, capitalraising, financial and tax due diligence, valuation, technical accounting, tax structuring, and structuredproduct and loan valuation. The team works together to seamlessly deliver solutions for your transactional,corporate planning, financial reporting, and tax needs. The team has performed valuation of whole loanpools and securitized tranches for NAV purposes, risk retention exercises, and diligence before making anew investment.4

Public Company ValuationPerformance vs. S&P 500 (June 2018–June 2020)S&P 500Consumer LendersCommercial -19Sep-19Dec-19Mar-20Median Trailing (LTM) P/E (June 2018–June 2020)40.0xConsumer Lenders2-Year Avg.Commercial FinanceA gap is beginning to form asimplied commercial comp P/Emultiples are clearly aboveconsumer comps (as is commonin more uncertain times).30.0x20.0xConsumer Lenders11.4xCommercial dian Forward (NTM) P/E (June 2018–June 2020)30.0xConsumer LendersJun-202-Year Avg.Commercial Finance20.0xConsumer Lenders10.1xCommercial 015.8x10.1xSep-18Dec-18Note: Public company constituents can be seen on page 7.Source: S&P Capital IQ data as of 6/30/2020.Mar-19Jun-19Sep-19Dec-19Mar-20Jun-205

Public Company Valuation (cont.)Consumer LendersMedian Forward (NTM) P/E10.8xCommercial Finance15.8x10.8x10.1xJune 30, 2020July 1, 2019Consumer LendersMedian Price/Tangible Book Value1.1x0.5xCommercial Finance1.1xJune 30, 20190.6xJune 30, 2020Consumer LendersMedian Revenue Growth Rate16.9%Commercial Finance3.6%7.1%2019A–2020E (8.8%)2018A–2019AConsumer LendersMedian ROE (LTM)15.0%10.5%Commercial Finance12.2%5.2%June 30, 2019Note: Public company constituents can be seen on page 7.Source: S&P Capital IQ data as of 3/25/20.June 30, 20206

Public Company Valuation (cont.)( in millions)IndustryFocusMarketCapAuto Financing 7,463.4CompanyConsumer LendersCredit AcceptanceCorporationOneMain Holdings,Inc.P/EPS% of 52Week High 2020E2021EBVPriceTBVROAOperating MetricsLTM2019A–2020EPre–Tax Revenue Pre–TaxROEMargin Growth (71.3)FirstCash, 8.0)Nelnet, Inc.Student MPRA Group, Navient CorporationStudent .1(1)37.226.717.3NMNM10.2NM12.8(11.7)(77.5)Encore Capital Group,NPLsInc.GreenSky, Inc.HIPAmerica's 10.39.8goeasy .2NM(1.3)Online e y333.348.15.63.30.80.813.2NM12.4(19.0)NMOnline 55.3%13.1x10.5x1.0x3.0x0.5%2.4%6.2%Enova International,Inc.World AcceptanceCorporationOportun FinancialCorporationEZCORP, Inc.CURO GroupHoldings Corp.LendingClubCorporationRegionalManagement Corp.Elevate Credit, Inc.Online LenderMedianMean3.6%1.9%(32.7%)(34.2%)Commercial FinanceElement FleetManagement Corp.Fleet Mgmt.GATX 4(10.3)(48.3)CIT Group .5)NMMcGrath RentCorpHeavy (19.4)ECN Capital Corp.Equip. NM5.37.46.4(7.3)20.6Equipment ent 3NM11.60.20.2NMNM(20.7)13.0NMCAI International, Inc. Container/RailGeneral FinanceCorporationMarlin BusinessServices Corp.Chesswood GroupLimitedModular RentalsOn Deck Capital, Inc. Online Lender 8.8%)(10.7%)(9.5%)(5.0%)Total MedianTotal Source: S&P Capital IQ data as of 6/30/20(1) Implied Market Capitalization7

Recent TransactionsConsumer Finance: 2018–2020 YTD Select Transactions( in millions)(1)PriceDealLTM EarningsTargetTarget DescriptionAcquirerValueAsta Funding, Inc.NPL consumer debt consolidatorRBF Capital LLC 8111.7xApr-20Tidewater CreditFinancing services for furniture/homeimprovement retailersGenesis FS Card Services, Inc.NAFeb-20North State Acceptance, LLCSub-prime automobile finance company Fourshore Capital, LLCFeb-20*Fairstone Financial Inc.Non-prime credit card and consumerfinance lenderDec-19*Cardholder Management Services, Personal and home equity loanproviderInc.Nov-19*Asta Funding, Inc.Consumer receivables servicesManagement GroupJul-19Health Credit Services, LLCDigital point-of-sale payment solutionfor healthcare spaceJul-19Merchants PreferredJul-19TFG Card Solutions, Inc.Jun-19Lendmark Financial Services, LLC Loan products and financing servicesJun-19Base Capital, LLCJun-19Ann. DateBVTBV0.9x0.9xNANANANANANANA 417NANANA 2,6509.8x1.7xNA 498.0x0.8x0.8xAlly Financial Inc. 190NANANALease purchase services for furnitureRent-A-Center, Inc. 48NANANAPayroll card providerComdata, Inc. 74NANANALightyear CapitalNANANANAIncome share agreements (ISAs) forcollege studentsStride FundingNANANANASkills Fund, LLCStudent financing platform for highereducationGoal Structured Solutions, Inc.NANANANAMay-19CreditGenie Inc.Point-of-sale (POS) financing solutions Purpose Financial LPNANANANAApr-19Athena Art Finance CorporationLoan provider for global art marketYieldStreet Management, LLC 170NANANAMar-19Budco Financial Services LLCPayment plan solution for automotiveand healthcare firmsScale Community Inc. 11NANANAMar-19City Finance CorporationPersonal loan service providerCambria Thrift Consumer DiscountCompanyNANANANADec-18Caribbean Financial Group Inc.Installment loan servicesBayBoston Managers LLCNANANANANov-18Spruce Finance Inc.Consumer financing for energy efficientHPS Investment Partners, LLChome productsNANANANASep-18RightWay Funding LLCStructured settlementsUndisclosed BuyerNANANANAAug-18LenderLive Network, LLCMortgage services providerComputershare Loan Services 32NA1.5xNAAug-18Mortgage Lenders of America LLC Mortgage brokers and servicesZillow Group Inc. 67NA5.2x6.5xJun-18Regency Finance CompanyLoan products and financing servicesMariner Finance, LLC 142NANANAMar-18*Luxury Mortgage Corp.Mortgage brokers and servicesUndisclosed buyerNANANANAFeb-18PHH CorporationResidential mortgage bankOcwen Financial Corporation 361NM0.7x0.6xFeb-18Harrison Finance CompanyPersonal, automobile, and merchantretail loan servicesFirst Tower Finance CompanyLLC 79NA1.0xNAFeb-18Nationstar Mortgage Holdings Inc. Mortgage brokers and services 1,928NM1.1x1.2xMay-20Duo BankAlly Financial Inc.WMIH Corp.(2)Mean7.4x1.4x1.7xMedian8.9x1.0x0.9xSource: SNL, S&P Capital IQ, and public filings.Note: Screening criteria includes select FY18, FY19, FY20 YTD specialty finance (consumer-focused) transactions over 10 million in deal valuelocated in the United States.(1)Deals that include an asterisk (*) denote pending transactions.(2)Take-private acquisition by chairman and CEO of Asta Funding, released on 10/30/19.8

Recent Transactions (cont.)Commercial Finance: 2018–2020 YTD Select Transactions( in millions)Ann. Date(1)PriceDealTargetTarget DescriptionAcquirerValueBVMay-2019th CapitalCredit and financing solution for fleetmanagement firmsHilco GlobalNANATBVNAFeb-20Bibby Financial Services(Holdings), Inc.Asset-based lending and factoringsolutionsGlobal Merchant Fund Corp.NANANAFeb-20Ascentium Capital LLCOnline lending company that offerssecured loans on luxury assetsRegions Financial CorporationNANANAFeb-20LH-Finance, division of People’sUnited Bank NAMarine specialty lendingCentennial BankNANANADec-19MBMJ Capital LLCAccounts receivable and invoicefactoring solutionsRepublic Business Credit, LLCNANANAOct-19CoreVest American FinanceLender, LLCBusiness-purpose lending originatorRedwood Trust, Inc. 492.31.0x1.4xJul-19Advocate Capital, Inc.Commercial LOCs and accountingservices to trial lawyersPinnacle Bank 59.0NANAJun-19BlueTarp Financial, Inc.Commercial trade credit servicesCapital One Financial CorporationNANANAFeb-19Pavestone Capital, LLCFactoring solutions to transportationindustryWEX Inc. 28.11.8xNAFeb-19Flex Fleet RentalTruck rental and leasingWaterfall Asset Management/TRPCapital PartnersNANANAFeb-19Medley SBIC LPSmall business investment companyOrigami Capital Partners, LLC 45.0NANAJan-19Pacific Rim Capital, Inc.Financial leasing services to materialhandling equipmentFuyo General Lease Co., Ltd.NANANAJan-19Eastern Funding, LLCLeasing and financing solutions to drycleaning industryBrookline Bank 35.9NANAJan-19VAR Technology FinanceTechnology leasing and financingsolutionsLEAF Commercial Capital, Inc. 60.02.7xNA 231.22.1xNA 15.51.7xNANANANAOct-18Engs Commercial Finance Co.Equipment finance, working capitalfinance, and insurance solutionsMitsubishi UFJ Lease & FinanceCompany Ltd.Sep-18Fleet Financing Resources, LLCLeasing and financing solutions totransportation equipmentMarlin Business Services Corp.Aug-18Ciena Capital, LLCFactoring and commercial real estatefinancing solutionsCapital Crossing ServicingCompany LLCAug-18Medley Capital CorporationInvests in privately negotiated debt andSierra Income Corporatione

FACTORING EQUIPMENT LEASING TRANSPORTATION FINANCE AUTO LOANS/BHPH . position as a leading advisor within the specialty finance and transportation and logistics sectors. Houlihan Lokey’s Role a subsidiary of: has completed the sale of certain . pre-owned dealers in New England. Th