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Page4of8Thursday, January 6, 2000TICKERpT AEJournal Gazette).INDIANA CELEBRATESY2K: There were a lot ofsheepish people when thevaunted Y2K. rolled aroundand nothing RR1Ch happened. The Indiana StateEmergency ManagementAgency kept in touch withall 92 counties every twohours and actually sent personnel home early onSunday.GARY HOMICIDE RATEFALLS: The infamousMurder City USA recorded75 homicides in 1999, downfrom 132 during its recordyear of 1995. TheAssociated Press reportedthat homicide rates werefalRng across America dueto the aging Baby Boomgenerati n and a rejectionof crack cocaine by youngerpeople.2NDCONGRESSIONALDISTRICT: Melina Fox, the CD'sDemocratic vice chair, hasdecided not to enter therace and has thrown hersupport to Robert Rock Jr.of Anderson. Fox believesRock has the full support ofthe Anderson and MadisonCounty Democratic organizations and that she canpull him support from thedistrict's five southernmostcounties. Rock declared hiscanardacy on Tuesday.NATIONAL POUncs:Former Sen. BIO Bradleyout-raised Vice President AlGore 6.1 million to 3 milcontinued on page 5his technological skill in building voterlists to Democratic headquarters.8. Speaker John Gregg: Thespeaker will always command a top position on this list (or he wouldn't be speaker). Gregg has been instrumental in building up 1he 53-47 Democratic Housemajority and he is poised to defend notonly that, but 1he governor, not only fromRepublicans but members in his own caucus who don't realize who butters 1heirbread.9. Indianapolis Mayor BartPeterson: The first Democratic mayor ofUnigov now commands 1he state's largestmedia market reaching almost half 1hestate. He has brought in key members ofthe Bayh/O'Bannon gubernatorial teamsand will charge 1hem wi1h an activistagenda. He is palatable to 1he businesscommunity and has a Republican councilwhich likely won't know when to get wi1h1he program.rately predict the outcomes of racesaround Indiana. He can go into greatdetail explaining what will happen inCongress and why. He's not afraid to sayexactly what he thinks - on 1he record and 1hat can tend to limit his effectiveness. But it does give him a refreshingaura. He's a true conservative believer, buthe doesn't run 1he highly charged rightwing issues, such as abortion, into 1heground. In a House where 1he GOP holdsonly a five-vote majority, Souder is becoming increasingly influential as a voicefor about three dozen. They can provide1he margin on many votes. Souder wasrecognized this year as one of 1he top 50members of Congress by CongressionalQuarterly.12. U.S. Rep. Ed Pease: He is theIndiana delegation's real comer. Peasecontinues to be quietly impressive. Hedoesn't show up in 1he media nearly asmuch10. U.S. Rep. Tim Roemer: Ifas Mcintosh and Souder because he tendsDemocrats wrest control of 1he Houseto be more measured in his statements.from 1he GOP, Roemer will be in a prime But he is consistently thoughtful and articposition to make things happen. AB one of ulate. He never launches partisan diathe leaders of1he centrist New Democrats, tribes. If you want to get a feel for whereRoemer is an influential voice amonghis district stands on an issue, he'll tellmoderates -1he group that will provideyou without couching it in spin. If you1he swing votes on many issues. He ishad listened carefully to Pease, you wouldusually at 1he forefront of 1he fiscally con- have known in August that 1he GOP 792billion tax-cut plan wasn't generating supservative House members when it comesto budgetaty and social issues. His Edport at 1he grass-roots level. If you had lisFlex legislation, which would give comtened closely to Pease, you would haveknown 1hat 1he impeachment processmunities greater control over educationspending, is a model for federal education would end up pretty much where it did.Pease has 1he potential to be a Housepolicy that is praised by Republicans andDemocrats alike. He emerged as a leading leader - and a statesman. He's a Houseversion of Lugar. What's more, he knowsvoice among 1he New Democrats during1he summer debate over tax cuts. Watchhow to bring home money for roads.13. Lt. Gov. Joe Kernan: Keyfor Roemer 10 become a barometer duringDemocrats describe Kernan as ''the mus1he China normal trade status debate. Ifit's a close vote, Roemer could get a lot of cle behind 1he administration." He hasquietly moved into a position of realattention from 1he media-and 1he WhiteHouse.power behind 1he governor. Need to move11. U.S. Rep. Mark Souder: The O'Bannon on an idea? There is no onebetter. No one. Kernan '04 Governor.Fort Wayne Republican possesses an14. State Rep. B. Patrick Bauer:extraordinarily nuanced political mind. HeD ga t agree wi1h 1he bill? He'd bettercan count votes in 1he House and accu-

Page 5of8if you want it to pass the House. Gov.O'Bannon learned that on full-day kindergarten last year.15. State Rep. Jeff Espich: Ourmost serious omission from the inaugural'99 list. Espich is the GOP's most knowledgeable and articulate point man on thebudget. He is studious and damned partisan - a Republican attack dog in an erawhen tliey really need some teeth in theirstrategy.16. Fort Wayne Mayor GrahamRichard: This Democrat has the reins ofthe. state's second largest city and mediamarket. He won a tough race withoutbloodying hi1nself up. 'His experience inthe Indiana Senate and on a state ticketmakes hiin potentially a statewide player.17. Evansville Mayor RussellLloyd Jr.: This Republican is a politicallegacy, assuming the office that his fatheronce held for two terms. Lloyd is mildmannered and articulate and will command center stage in the state's thirdlargest media market.18. Marty Morris: As Lugar'schief of staff, Morris remains off themedia radar but wields fundraising andpolitical muscle. His position likely hasbeen strengthened after the GOP lost themayor's offices in Indianapolis and FortWayne. While the slate party is floundering, Morris continues to keep the Lugarpolitical machine running. AlthoughDavid Johnson is a credible candidate forthe Democrats against Lugar in 2000, noone is giving him a chance. A large chunkof the credit for thai should go to Morris.It will be interesting to see whetherMorris can make Lugar's coattails asstrong in 2000 as they were in 1994 forState House candidates.19. Republican Chairman MikeMcDaniel: The last time we saw McDaniel, it was at the Bulen Symposium and hehad an old Gerry Ford-style leather football helmet he was dropping off. McDaniel has taken a lot oflumps from HPR thispai.t year and from a lot of victory-starvedRepublicans from throughout the state.Thursday, January 6, 2000Two things stand out: the loyalty he commands from hii; state committee and thebad luck he's had since he became chair- ·man in 1995. Having said that, numerousparty regulars tell us the lists haveslipped. And few took issue with us whenwe pointed out how lean the GOP benchis after Lugar and Mcintosh. As we saidlast year, McDaniel really needs a victory.Chairs are like baseball managers - youcan have all the wi&dom and ent, but atsome point you have to start winning20. Judy O'Bannon: Don't thinkfor a minute that if things ,get tough forthe- governor next fall the First Ladywon't come out in some illuminating display. She has become Indiana's goodwillambassador wt"th an excellent speakingstyle, generating nothing bui good news.And she has the ear of the governoralmost every night21. Mitch Daniels: Want something done in the Republican world?Daniels is the go-to guy.22. State Sen. Teresa Lubbers: Inlate 1999 HPR wrote about how weak theRepublican bench of potential statewidecandidates is. Here in their midst is a prototype for the future - a no-nonsensewoman who has championed education,comes from Indianapolis (which the GOPlost in 1996), and deserves to move up.We can easily picture her on the ticketlater this year.23. Jeff Smulyan: Gives theDemocrats money, gives John Gregg themicrophone of Mike Pence, hosts theinaugural bash for Bayh, and opens a newcastle on the Circle. And Emmis stock ishot, hot, hot (are you listening, SteveHilbert?) Not a bad year for this king ofthe media in Indiana.24. U.S. Rep. Baron Hill: Duringhis first year in Congress, he receivedmostly accolades for his performance. Hehas displayed a workmanlike approach toissues and has established a signature-fiscal conservatism. He has joined the BlueDog Democrats, which will be an influential group if Democrats take over theTICKERpT AElion during the final quarterQf 1999 (Washington Post,Washingtonpost.com) .000KIDS GET INSURANCE: Indiana olfu;iallyexpanded health care coverage Jor 40,000 children fromlow to moderate incomefamiDes. The expansion ofthe program covers kids in(amilies up to twice the fed.eral poverty level 25,056 ayear for a family of four."We've expanded HoosierHealthwise to help workingfamilies, 0 said Gov. FrankO'Bannon.COTTEY WON'T SEEKANOTHER OFFICE: Mari ncOunty Sheriff Jack Cottey, told NUVO Newsweekly writers that his political careerwill end in three years whenhis sheriff term is up(www.rwvo.net). "I am notgoing to seek anotheroffice,n he said. Cottey hasbeen widely mentioned as apotential successor toembattled Marion CountyGOP Chairman JohnSweezy.HILLARY RUNS TO AVOIDJAIL: U.S. Rep. Steve Buyertold the Mike Pence Showlast Thmsday that FD'StLady Hillary Clinton is running for the U.S. Senate inNew York in order to smyout of jail (Joe FoDick,Thomson Indiana). "HiHmyClinton was facing a pending criminal referral anindictment from the office ofthe independent counsel.continued on page 6

Page 6of8Thursday, January 6, 2000TICKERpT AEThey knew that, Buyer saidof the First Lady's legaldefense team. The best0way they could protectHillary Clinton was to pullher into the political arena."LUGAR RAISES 2 MILLION: The Friends of DickLugar Committee reported 2,037,960 cash on hand atthe Dec. 31, 1999, FECdeadline.HEFFLEY TO CHALLENGESEN. PAT MILLER: Former.State Rep. Irene Heffleyannounced her exploratorycommittee to challengeState Sen. Pat Miller in SD32in the May Republican pri·mary. "No politician shouldoverstay their welcome,"Heffley said.SAMUa VISITS 2,000THHOME: Tony Samuel, a 10thCD Republican candidate,announced he visited his2,000th home on Jan. 1 inhis bid to unseat U.S. Rep.Julia Carson.NO BAC BILL: State Sen.Thomas Wyss, R-FortWayne, announced hewould not file a bill to lowerthe blood alcohol contentfor which a driver would beconsidered drunk.EVANSVILLE CREDIT RAT·ING RISES:- The City ofEvansville's crecflt ratingwas increased from A toAA· by Standard & Poor,according to outgoing controller Rebecca Dixon. Sheannounced the increase onHouse. His efforts to promote debt.reduction landed him on the front page ofthe New York Times in August. He convinced the Times that most people in hisconservative-leaning district favored debtreduction ov tax cuts. So far, he hasproven to be a good fund-raiser. Hiscongressional colleagues helped him byappointing him to the Agriculture andVeterans Affairs committees. He shouldbe able to generate good press in the district by virtue of those postings. Potentialdanger for him at home, however, lurks inhis votes on flag burning and tax cuttingand he will have a dogfight on his handsagainst Kevin Shaw Kellems in a racenext November that will command national attention.25. Tom Sugar: As Bayh's chiefof staff, he's in a position to shape Bayh'sSenate career. He is among those who hasBayh's ear during crucial policy and political debates. Like Lugar's Morris, he staysoff the media radar. But he's much indemand by those who want to get toBayh.26. Mel & Herb Simon: TheseDemocratic financiers have been instrumental on the money front for the party.When Mike McDaniel talks of a lack ofmoney, we think of the Simons. Now, ifthey could only deliver an NBA title.27. Stephen Goldsmith: TexasGov. George W. Bush says of the exmayor of Indianapolis, "He's what we callon the tnside." After a riotous politicalcareer in Indiana, Goldsmith reboundsimmediately to the national scene asBush's top domestic adviser and poisedfor a cabinet (or chief of staff) job in theWest Wing. He'll be working for Baker &Daniels this year before he ascends(should Bush win). Ifhe does ascend, willhe remember Indiana?28. U.S. Rep. Dan Burton: He'sslowly beginning to make more sense inhis pursuit of Clinton scandals. If he cankeep his tongue under control, he mightmake some progress yet. He was successful in getting John Huang to testify about1996 campaign finance irregularities.Perhaps more on that issue will trickle outin 2000 and hurt Vice President Al Gore'scampaign. On the Waco incident, heseems to be waiting to get his ducks in arow before moving forward. Like anovermatched football team in a big game,he keeps hanging in. And the longer hestays within striking distance, the morelikely it is that he might finally win.29. U.S. Rep. Steve Buyer: TheMonticello Republican made a splash asone of the House's impeachment prosecutors. His earnest and enthusiastic presentations deserved better and more respectful press coverage than they received. Buthe tends to become surly and mangle syn1ax in his public discourse - an Achillesheel that may eventually hurt him. He iscarving a niche for himself in militaryaffairs. No one in Congress has moredoggedly pursued the Gulf War syndromeissue nor has been more steadfast in support of strengthening the armed forcesbudget and military culture.30. State Sen. Bob Garton: Ashe heads into what may be his final term,Garton has held a tenacious grip on powerdespite a restless middle-tier of GOP senators. Garton maintains a seat at the tableon important legislation.31. Pat Kiely: The former Waysand Means Committee chairman heads theIndiana Manufacturers Association and isextremely influential in the Statehouse.When the IMA studies an issue, it's apt toget the facts right32. Ken Zeller: He leads theIndiana AFL-CIO and will be instrumental in directing the flow of Big Labormoney into the three competitive congressional races and in defense of theDemocrats' hold on the Indiana House.33. U.S. Rep. Pete Visclosky:Northwest Indiana's congressman hasmade a name for himself by sticking tohis knitting in The Region. He played acentral role in pushing the steel quota billthrough the House, overcoming a strongWhite House campaign against the legis-

Page 7 of8lation. Visclosk:y knows his constituencyand how to deliver for it. No one is moreearnest in keeping his finger on the pulseof the folks back home. For those whoare leery of the new global economy,VtSClosk:y is an earnest spokesman. Hispolitical position is virtually untouchable.34. U.S. Rep. Julia Carson: Sheseemingly has a lock on the 10th CD withher strong organization. That organizationwas instrumental in helping Bart Petersonbreak the GOP lock on Unigov. InCongress, her record isn't deep or wide.She pushed through the CongressionalMedal of Honor for Rosa Parks, and shecoauthored a bill with Sen. Lugar on children's health. But her own health may belimiting her vigor. Still, she remains in astrong position and connects with herconstituency. She'll probably be aroundas long as she wants to be.35. David Gogol: He runsSagamore Associates, the 'premier lobbying firm in D.C. for Hoosier interests. Hehas strengthened the Sagamore staff byadding Stephen Goldsmith. Not only willSagamore probably gain more municipalclients, it also will be in a prime positionto become a darling firm of the Bushadministration - if the Texas governormakes it to the White House and appointsGoldsmith to a Cabinet or other highranking position.36. Margaret Burlingame: She'sthe governor's chief of staff and a keygatekeeper.37. John R. Price: He is a tenacious campaigner who expertly usesearned media to make up for the dollarshe lacks. HPR figured him out inFebruary 1998 and he made a believerout of many others when he finished second to Paul Helmke in the Senate primary - losing by 1 percent Now he's talcingon Mcintosh in the GOP gubernatorialprimary and could well carve a niche forhimself either as LG or AG nominee.38. State Rep. Paul Mannweiler:What Mannweiler does in the IndianaHouse this upcoming session could helpThursday, January 6, 2000pave the way for a Mcintosh governorship.39. East Chicago Mayor BobPastrick: Here's a living legend whocommands one of the last true politicalmachines in the Midwest He fended offLake County Chairman Stephen Stiglichin the primary to notch his 8th term.Hisson sits on the Democratic NationalCommittee. They ought to make a movieabout this guy.40. Tom New: He will run Gov.O'Bannon's re-election campaign.O'Bannon runs the party and New runsthe governor's political ons.41. Lee Hamilton: As head of theWilson Center, a policy organization inD.C., Hamilton is becoming au elderstatesman and sage. He.'s still in demandby the media when they seek a thoughtful, nuanced analysis of foreign policyissues. He may be able tb help Baron Hillone more time at a crucial moment during his first re-election campaign.42. Chris Jones: As deputy chiefof staff for Mcintosh, Jones has expandedhis realm beyond press to include policyand political strategy in the Mcintoshoffice. He is as authoritative a press secretary as can be found. When you talk toJones, you are sure he knows every position his boss is taking-or going to takeand why, has a handle on campaign strategy, and firmly controls access to hisboss. He also responds quickly and professionally to reporters, which helps keephis boss in the national media. ShouldMcintosh beat O'Bannon, Jones willprobably be offered a high-ranking position in the administration.43. Butch Morgan: The St. JosephCounty Democratic and 3rd CD chairmanis the go-to guy in Northern Indiana.44. Bloomington Mayor JohnFernandez: He was so popular after oneterm that the Republicans didn't even runa candidate against him. He will be a realcomer in the Democratic Party and a possible attorney general candidate.45. Auditor Connie Nass: She hasTICKERpT AEher last day in office. "I can-not think of a better way toendthe year," said outgoing'Mayor Frank McDonald.NEW ASSEMBLY HALL?Indiana University AthleticDirector Clarence Doningerhas raised the possibility ofreplacing Assembly Haff."This facility has been verygood for our program, but ithas some glaring deficien·cies," said Doninger(Evansville Courier & Press)."As we look into the nextcentury, we need to look atanother facility." Doningerwould like to have a 20,000to 22,000 scat stadium builtstrictly for basketball "It wasconstructed like a footballstadium," Doninger said ofthe current AH. "The pitch ofthe stadium is too steep andthe balcony seats are just nogood. Don't take it from me.Take it from evmybody whowrites letters to me."ASSASSINATION PLOTS:f.hmcie area judges and toplaw enforcement officialswere targets for assassination attempts from a groupcalled the Delaware CountyArmy of God. The threatswere made to county judges,Sheriff Steve Aul, ProsecutorRichard Reed and MunciePolice Chief Joe Winkle.Reed said he was contactedby anti-terrorism agents fromthe Indianapolis FBI officelast week (Muncie StarPress). At the time, the FBItold local officials theycontinued on page 8

Page 8of8Thursday, January 6, 2000TICKERpT AEbeDeved the threats wereserious.HELMKE VISITS COUNCIL:Outgoing Fort Wayne MayorPaul Helmke paid a visit tothe City Council during hislast week in office. "I don'tcom

PO Box 40265 Fax: 317-254-2405 Indianapolis, IN 46240-0265 howey@netdirect.net www.howeypolitics.com Washington office: 202-775-3242; Business Office: 317-254-0535. Pager: 317-320-2722; Daytime number: 317- . be a reliable source for a snappy quote. He's already led at least one truth-squad attack on Bush. Andrew may remain a