IMPORTANT NOTE REGARDING THE TRANSIENCE OF THIS DOCUMENT - Texas

Transcription

IMPORTANT NOTE REGARDING THE TRANSIENCE OF THIS DOCUMENTVERSIONIn order to accelerate the delivery schedule, this version of the adopted 2017 State Water Plandocument reflects an unenhanced document as it was adopted by the TWDB on May 19, 2016. Thisadopted plan version is distinguished by page numbers that each include the prefix “A.”This is a transitional document that, prior to January 5, 2017, will be replaced by agraphically enhanced version for the purpose of final publication and distribution. Graphicenhancements to be made may include, but are not limited to, revised page layouts, additional colors,non-substantive graphics, font size changes, photos, and other non-substantive changes aimed atimproving the appearance of the document.The numbers and language associated with the plan content itself will not change from this document tothe graphically enhanced version.As a result of the graphic enhancements, the relative pages on which the plan content occurs may shiftslightly. The final page numbers of the published plan document will accurately reflect the correct pagesand will not include the prefix “A.”To obtain the final, published version of the 2017 State Water Plan, please check our website 7/index.asp.

2017 State Water PlanWaterforTexasTexas Water Development Board MembersBech Bruun, ChairmanKathleen Jackson, MemberPeter Lake, Memberwww.twdb.texas.govtexasstatewaterplan.org

Acknowledgmentsiv2017 State Water Plan Texas Water Development Board

The 2017 State Water Plan would not have been possible without the time and expertise of numerouspeople and organizations throughout Texas. The Texas Water Development Board (TWDB) would like toexpress its sincere appreciation to all who participated in the development of the 16 regional waterplans and this state water plan: the more than 450 regional water planning group voting members(listed below), their consultants, and their administrative agents (listed below); staff of the TWDB; TexasParks and Wildlife Department, Texas Department of Agriculture, Texas Commission on EnvironmentalQuality, and other state and federal agencies; and the individuals and organizations that provided publicinput throughout the planning process.Finally, we would like to thank the leadership of the State of Texas for their consistent support andrecognition of the importance of water planning.Regional Water Planning Group Voting Members(Region – member) *planning group chairs at the time the 2016 regional water plans were adoptedA - Autrey, EmmettA - Bailiff, TomA - Baumgardner, JoeA - Clark, NolanA - Cook, VernonA - Cooke, CharlesA - Cooke, DeanA - Crowell, AmyA - Derington, JimA - Gibson, RickA - Gilmore, RustyA - Green, GlenA - Guthrie, JanetA - Hallerberg, BillA - Keys, SandyA - Kidd, BobbyA - Kleuskens, TonyaA - Krienke, DannyA - Landis, DavidA - Meyer, RobertA - Satterwhite, KentA - Skaggs, GradyA - Smith, LynnA - Stephens, BeverlyA - Sweeten, John M.A - Tregellas, JanetA - Walthour, SteveA - Weber, JayA - Weinheimer, BenA - Williams, C.E.*A - Williams, John C.B - Armstrong, TamelaB - Banks, JimmyB - Bell, CharlieB - Brite, J.K. RooterB - Campbell, Curtis*B - Campsey, JackB - Christopher, MarkB - Deweber, N.E.B - Dodge, Rebecca LB - Garnett, EdB - Grant, MitchB - Hughes, DaleB - Kidd, BobbyB - Liggett, KennethB - McGuire, MikeB - McMahon, MonteB - Mesler, TracyB - Myers, DeanB - Payne, JerryB - Scaling, WilsonB - Schreiber, RussellB - Simpson, GayleB - Stephens, PamelaB - Stephens, TomB - Watts, JeffC - Bailey, DavidC - Berry, SteveC - Carman, JohnC - Ceverha, BillC - Chapman, Jerry W.C - Crumb, FrankC - Douglas, GaryC - Hotopp, JamesC - Kula, TomC - La Point, ThomasC - Latham, HaroldC - Laughlin, RussellC - Lewis, BillC - Lingenfelder, JohnC - Maenius, G.K.C - Martin, HowardC - McCarter, JimC - Mundt, SteveC - Parks, JimC - Phillips, PaulC - Puckett, Jo "Jody"*C - Riley, BobC - Satterwhite, DrewC - Scott, BobC - Spicer, GaryC - Standridge, ConnieC - Stevens, JackC - Vance, DannyC - Vogelson, Mary E.C - Ward, KevinC - Woodward, TomD - Bradley, AdamTexas Water Development Board 2017 State Water PlanD - Bradley, Johnny MackD - Brown, Michael K.D - Calvin, LarryD - Carter, GregD - Clements, NancyD - Conner, DougD - Crews, MarkD - Douthit, DarwinD - Duman, JoAnnD - DuMond, JeremyD - Dunn, MikeD - Eidson, JimD - Evans, DannyD - Frost, GeorgeD - Gaskill, JerryD - Gillis, CharlesD - Glidewell, BriceD - Grubbs, DarrellD - Henry, TroyD - Hightower, DonD - Hilliard, DennisD - Holt, RobertD - Kirby, BillD - Long, SamD - McCoy, BretD - McCoy, MikeD - Nabors, DavidD - Nabors, SharronD - Nicholson, TimD - Nickerson, JimD - Patterson, DonD - Price, Linda*D - Roberts, DrewD - Shaw, KennethD - Shumake, ShirleyD - Slater, TommyD - Speight, Robert, Jr.D - Spence, KevinD - Staton, BobD - Stuart, CheriD - Wadley, DougD - Williams, MarkE - Adams, JanetE - Allen, Annv

E - Archuleta, EdE - Barker, RandyE - Beard, Tom*E - Bennett, JeffE - Borunda Firth, SylviaE - Brewster, Rebecca L.E - Butcher, SterryE - Chacon, RogerE - Davidson, MichaelE - Etzold, DavidE - Gandara, WillieE - Hall, DaveE - Livingston, MikeE - Miller, AlbertE - Miller, Jim EdE - Mitchell, ScottE - Norris, KennE - Palacios, ArlinaE - Perez, VincentE - Reinert, ScottE - Reyes, Jesus "Chuy"E - Tate, RickE - Todd, TeresaE - Waggoner, PaigeE - Webb, SummerF - Anderson, WoodyF - Barr, MarkF - Bearden, JerryF - Brown, StephenF - Dickson, RickyF - Dierschke, KennethF - Gist, RichardF - Grant, John*F - Hagood, CharlesF - Holland, ScottF - Moody, WendellF - Moore, RobertF - Runge, CarolineF - Scott, TerryF - Shepard, JohnF - Shepperd, BenF - Straub, Raymond, Jr.F - Taylor, MerleF - Turnbough, LarryF - Van Deventer, GilbertF - Warren, TimF - Weatherby, PaulF - Wilde, WillF - Wilson, LenG - Adams, DaleG - Beseda, CharlesG - Blackburn, DavidG - Briggs, JimG - Brown, TimG - Clark, TomG - Cooper, JoeG - Cox, AlvaG - Floyd, TravisG - Ford, PhilG - Groth, LarryG - Hodson, JamesG - Holland, ZachviG - Kinard, KellyG - McGuire, MikeG - Newman, GaryG - O'Brien, TommyG - Parker, JudyG - Patrick, BrianG - Peek, GailG - Smith, SherilG - Spicer, GaryG - Spurgin, DaleG - Sutherland, MikeG - Waclawczyk, RandyG - Wagner, KevinG - Webster, Kathleen J.G - Weldon, KennyG - Westbrook, GaryG - Wilson, Wayne*H - Bailey, DavidH - Bartos, John R.H - Blount, JohnH - Bruner, RobertH - Chang, JunH - Collinsworth, DavidH - Comin, JamesH - Eichelberger, ReedH - Evans, Mark*H - Fisseler, GeneH - Hebert, RobertH - Henson, ArtH - Hofmann, JohnH - Houston, JaceH - Howard, JohnH - Istre, RobertH - Jones, Kathy TurnerH - Leathers, GenáH - Leiper, GlynnaH - Long, TedH - Lord, GlennH - Marcell, MarvinH - Masterson, CarlH - Morrison, JamesH - Neighbors, Ron J.H - Schindewolf, JimmieH - Teer, William, P.E.H - Tyler, SteveH - Vance, DannyH - Wallace, C. HaroldH - Ward, KevinH - Willcox, George "Pudge"I - Adams, LeahI - Alders, DavidI - Branick, JeffI - Brock, DavidI - Campbell, George P.I - Clark, JerryI - David, Josh WilsonI - Davis, ChrisI - Dunn, MarkI - Hall, ScottI - Harbordt, Dr. C. MichaelI - Heugel, WilliamI - Holcomb, JoeI - Holcomb, Kelley*I - Kimbrough, BillI - Kindle, GlendaI - Lyons, DukeI - Martin, JohnI - Montagne, DavidI - Morgan, GregoryI - Peddy, DaleI - Reed, Hermon E., Jr.I - Shank, MontyI - Smith, DarlaI - Whitehead, WorthI - Young, J. Leon, Ph.D.J - Barron, StuartJ - Buck, RayJ - Bushong, PerryJ - Carver, KenJ - Davis, ZackJ - Gonzalez, OtilaJ - Heffley, JerryJ - Hobbs, GenellJ - Jackson, HowardJ - Jeffery, DavidJ - Letz, Jonathan*J - Lomas, MitchJ - Lowery, KentJ - Mauk, DavidJ - Pace, RonnieJ - Pigg, JoelJ - Postell, Peggy SueJ - Qualia, Thomas M.J - Shahan, TullyJ - Simpton, JerryJ - Stevens, Homer T., Jr.J - Sweeten, LeeJ - Talamantes, MelonyJ - Trees, RolandJ - Villareal, ReneJ - Wiedenfeld, Charles (Charlie)J - Williams, GeneJ - Wilson, William F. (Feather)K - Barho, JimK - Brasher, JimK - Burke, John E.*K - Dupnik, John T., P.G.K - Fieseler, Ronald G.K - Gertson, RonaldK - Gillam, LauriK - Haschke, KarenK - Hoffman, JohnK - Johnson, BarbaraK - King, JosephK - Klaeger, DonnaK - Lewis, BrentonK - Luedecke, BillK - Lutes, TeresaK - Neve, BillK - Powell, DougK - Reagor, MikeK - Roeder, W.A. (Billy)K - Ruggiero, RobK - Shell, Charlie2017 State Water Plan Texas Water Development Board

K - Simon, HaskellK - Sultemeier, JamesK - Theodosis, ByronK - Totten, JimK - Tybor, PaulK - Van Dresar, DavidK - Wade, BrandonK - Walker, JenniferK - Wheelock, DavidL - Ammerman, JasonL - Andruss, TimL - Balin, DonnaL - Brownlow, DarrellL - Camargo, GeneL - Chavez, ReyL - Cockerell, AlanL - Conley, WillL - Dietzmann, DonL - Dohmann, ArtL - Fitzsimons, BlairL - Hilderbran, VicL - Janak, KevinL - Kight, JohnL - Labus, RussellL - Leathers, GenaL - Lord, GlennL - Mahoney, MikeL - McGookey, DougL - Meyer, DanielL - Middleton, GaryL - Mims, Con*L - Pena, IllianaL - Puente, RobertL - Ramsey, SteveL - Roberts, DavidL - Ruiz, RolandL - Savage, DianeL - Scott, Suzanne B.L - Sengelmann, GregL - Stolte, MiltonL - Taggart, TomL - Wassenich, DianeL - West, BillL - Yablonski, AdamM - Barrera, JorgeM - Benavides, NickM - Bruciak, JohnM - Campbell, Mary LouM - Darling, James (Jim)M - de la Rosa, EllaM - Flores, JaimeM - Fulbright, Robert E.M - Garza, CarlosM - Goldsberry, DennisM - Gonzalez, HumbertoM - Hinojosa, SonnyM - Jarvis, Glenn*M - Lambert, SoniaM - McGhee, Donald K.M - Pena, Robert, Jr.M - Prewett, RayM - Quintanilla, JoelM - Rathmell, JoeM - Rodriguez, Tomas, Jr.M - Schuster, FrankM - Vela, ArmandoN - Almaraz, JoeN - Ballou, TomN - Bledsoe, Scott, III*N - Burns, ChuckN - Carillo, TeresaN - Dick, BillyN - Dove, BillN - Durham, LavoygerN - Eddins, GaryN - Garza, AndyN - Hennings, BillN - Hubert, PanchoN - Knolle, PearsonN - Koenig, LindseyN - Krebs, DavidN - Kunkel, RobertN - Ornelas, MartinN - Paulson, BernardN - Reding, Thomas, Jr.N - Ring, CharlesN - Scott, MarkN - Serrato, Carola*N - Stewart, LonnieN - Stockseth, KimberlyN - Stockton, WilliamN - Sugarek, MarkN - Tunnell, JaceO - Barnes, MelanieO - Baucum, DelaineO - Blalack, BruceO - Brown, Harold P. "Bo"*O - Campsey, JackO - Coleman, JasonO - Conkwright, JimO - DeLoach, MikeO - Ellison, Delmon, Jr.O - Everheart, HarveyO - Fulton, TomO - Gillespie, RichardO - Harbin, BillO - Hopper, RonnieO - Hutcheson, DougO - Josserand, BobO - Kirkpatrick, MarkO - Leonard, RichardO - McClendon, MikeO - McElroy, DonO - Montgomery, E.W. (Gene)O - Morris, CharlesO - Rainwater, KenO - Satterwhite, KentO - Simons, TomO - Spear, AubreyO - Steiert, JimO - Taylor, JohnO - Wedel, JimmyP - Bonzer, CalvinP - Brandenberger, TommyP - Brzozowski, PatrickP - Butschek, JohnP - Clark, GeraldP - Griffin, RoyP - Hudgins, NealP - Jahn, RodneyP - Little, LesterP - Maloney, JackP - Martin, RobertP - Miller, PhillipP - Ottis, RichardP - Pustka, EdwardP - Raun, L.G.P - Shoemate, RobertP - Skalicky, MichaelP - Spenrath, PhilipP - Stafford, Harrison, II*P - Wagner, DavidP - Weinheimer, EdAdministrative AgentsA – Panhandle Regional Planning CommissionB – Red River Authority of TexasC – Trinity River AuthorityC – North Texas Municipal Water DistrictD – Northeast Texas Municipal Water DistrictE – Rio Grande Council of GovernmentsF – Colorado River Municipal Water DistrictF – City of San AngeloG – Brazos River AuthorityTexas Water Development Board 2017 State Water PlanH – San Jacinto River AuthorityI – City of NacogdochesJ – Upper Guadalupe River AuthorityK – Lower Colorado River AuthorityL – San Antonio River AuthorityM – Lower Rio Grande Valley Development CouncilN – Nueces River AuthorityO – High Plains UWCD No. 1P – Lavaca-Navidad River Authorityvii

Table of contentsviii2017 State Water Plan Texas Water Development Board

ContentsExecutive summary . 21 Introduction . 181.1 New in the 2017 State Water Plan. 191.2 Regional water planning . 201.3 An interactive state water plan. 231.4 Organization of the plan . 252 Policy recommendations . 263 Drought and drought response in Texas . 343.1 Measuring drought status and severity . 353.2 Types of drought . 353.3 Precipitation influences . 363.4 Drought of record and the 2010–2014 drought . 363.5 The State’s response to the 2010–2014 drought . 373.6 Planning and response to drought . 383.6.1. Statewide drought planning and response . 383.6.2 Regional drought planning and response . 393.6.3 Local drought planning and response . 413.7 Uncertainty of drought . 424 Financing needs. 444.1 Costs of implementing the state water plan . 454.2 Funding assistance required to implement the state water plan . 474.3 Financing the state water plan and other water-related projects. 484.3.1 TWDB financial assistance. 494.3.2 SWIFT as a new path to prioritizing and funding the state water plan . 494.3.3 Other TWDB state-funded programs . 514.3.4 TWDB federally funded programs . 515 Future population and water demand . 545.1 Population projections . 555.2 Population methodology . 565.3 Water demand projections . 58Texas Water Development Board 2017 State Water Planix

5.4 Projected water demand by region and water use category . 605.5 Water demand methodology . 635.6 Municipal water demand . 635.7 Manufacturing water demand . 635.8 Mining water demand. 645.9 Steam-electric water demand . 645.10 Irrigation water demand . 645.11 Livestock water demand . 645.12 Comparison to the 2012 State Water Plan . 655.13 Uncertainty of population growth and water demands . 656 Water supplies . 686.1 Evaluating water resources for planning . 696.2 Surface water availability within river basins . 706.3 Future surface water availability . 726.4 Groundwater availability of aquifers . 736.5 Future groundwater availability . 796.6 Availability of other sources . 796.7 Existing supplies . 796.8 Comparison to the 2012 State Water Plan . 826.9 Uncertainty of our future water supply . 847 Water supply needs . 867.1 Identification of water needs . 877.2 Municipal needs . 897.3 Non-municipal needs . 917.4 Wholesale water provider needs . 917.5 Impacts of not meeting identified water needs . 927.6 Uncertainty of future water needs. 937.7 Water needs not met by the plan . 937.8 Comparison to the 2012 State Water Plan . 958 Water management strategies . 988.1 Selecting water management strategies . 998.2 Summary of recommended strategies. 101x2017 State Water Plan Texas Water Development Board

8.2.1 Water resources for recommended strategies . 1018.2.2 Strategy types . 1038.3 Assignment of strategy and project supply volumes . 1108.4 Costs of recommended strategies . 1118.5 Comparison to the 2012 State Water Plan . 1128.6 Uncertainty of future strategies. 1138.7 Impacts of recommended strategies. 1138.7.1 Potential impacts on water quality . 1138.7.2 Protecting the state’s water, agricultural, and natural resources . 1148.8 Needs met by recommended strategies. 1159 Implementation and funding of the 2012 State Water Plan . 1189.1 Implementation of the 2012 State Water Plan . 1199.2 Funding of the 2012 State Water Plan . 120Glossary . 126Appendices . 132Appendix A.1 Background on Texas’ water planning history, institutions, and laws . 133A.1.1 Early Texas water planning history . 133A.1.2 State water planning history, 1957 to 1997 . 133A.1.3 Regional and state water planning since 1997 . 134A.1.4 State and federal water supply institutions . 134A.1.5 Management of water in Texas. 137A.1.6 Key state water planning statutes and rules . 140Appendix B.1 Annual surface water availability by river and coastal basin (acre-feet) . 142Appendix B.2 Annual groundwater availability by aquifer (acre-feet). 143Appendix B.3 Annual surface water existing supplies by river and coastal basin (acre-feet) . 144Appendix B.4 Annual groundwater existing supplies by aquifer (acre-feet) . 145Appendix C.1 Annual water needs by region and water use category (acre-feet) . 146List of FiguresFigure ES.1 - Regional water planning areas .5Figure ES.2 - Projected population in Texas (millions).6Figure ES.3 - Projected annual water demand and existing water supply in Texas (millions ofacre-feet) .7Texas Water Development Board 2017 State Water Planxi

Figure ES.4 - Projected annual water needs in Texas (millions of acre-feet) .8Figure ES.5 - Annual volume of recommended water management strategies (millions of acrefeet) .9Figure ES.6 - Share of recommended water management strategies by water resourcein 2070. 10Figure ES.7 - Share of recommended water management strategies by strategy type in 2070 . 11Figure ES.8 - Annual water supply needs and needs met by the plan by region in 2070(acre-feet) . 12Figure ES.9 - Annual water supply needs and needs met by the plan by water use category in2070 (acre-feet). 13Figure ES.10 - Statewide annual water supply needs that are unmet by the plan (acre-feet) . 13Figure ES.11 - Municipal water needs for statewide population in 2020 and 2070 . 14Figure 1.1 - Regional water planning areas . 21Figure 1.2 - View of interactive state water plan site . 24Figure 2.1 - Unique stream segments previously designated by the Texas Legislature andadditional recommended segments . 29Figure 2.2 - Unique reservoir sites previously designated by the Texas Legislature. 31Figure 2.3 - Reservoir sites recommended for designation as unique. 32Figure 3.1 - Statewide average Palmer Drought Severity Index (National Oceanic andAtmospheric Administration, 2015b). 37Figure 4.1 - Total capital costs, by required online decade, of all recommended watermanagement strategy projects (in billions) . 46Figure 4.2 - Total capital costs of all recommended water management strategy projects bywholesale water providers and water user group sponsor type (in billions) . 47Figure 4.3 - Reported state financial assistance needs (in billions) . 48Figure 5.1 - Projected population in Texas . 55Figure 5.2 - Projected population growth in Texas counties. 57Figure 5.3 - Regional shares of statewide population growth (2020–2070) . 58Figure 5.4 - Projected annual water demand in Texas (acre-feet) . 59Figure 5.5 - Projected annual water demand by water use category (acre-feet) . 60Figure 5.6 - Water use category shares of projected annual water demand in 2020 . 62Figure 5.7 - Water use category shares of projected annual water demand in 2070 . 62Figure 6.1 - Major river and coastal basins and major surface water supply reservoirlocations . 70Figure 6.2 - Texas’ annual surface water availability and existing surface water supply(acre-feet) . 71Figure 6.3 - Annual surface water availability and existing surface water supplies by river andcoastal basin in 2020 (acre-feet). 72Figure 6.4 - Major aquifers of Texas . 74Figure 6.5 - Minor aquifers of Texas . 75Figure 6.6 - Locations of groundwater conservation or subsidence districts and 16 groundwatermanagement areas . 76Figure 6.7 - Texas’ annual groundwater availability and existing groundwater supplies (acre-feet). 77Figure 6.8 - Annual groundwater availability and existing groundwater supplies by aquifer in2020 (acre-feet). 78xii2017 State Water Plan Texas Water Development Board

Figure 6.9 - Shares of existing municipal, steam-electric, manufacturing, and mining supply bywater source in 2

2017 State Water Plan . Water . for. Texas . Texas Water Development Board Members . Bech Bruun, Chairman Kathleen Jackson, Member Peter Lake, Member . www.twdb.texas.gov