Transcription
Tanisi! ?
Tawâw! ?
Miyotôtâkewin! ?
Miyotôtâkewin! Tanisi! Tawâw! Miyotôtâkewin! ?
Tanisi! Hello
Tawâw! Come in, you’re welcome; there’s room!
Miyotôtâkewin! Happy to welcome guests
You were expecting “Minerva”? Tansi (pronounced tahn-sih); welcome to the Lands of Treaty 6! ᑭᓇᓈᐢᑯᒥᑎᐣ kinanâskomitin – Reply to thank you! Roman goddess of wisdom and strategic warfare, Sponsor of arts, trade, and strategy. AKA, from the second century BC onward, the Romans equated herwith the Greek goddess Athena. Minerva, was born of Metis, who had been swallowed by Jupiter, andburst from her father's head, fully armed and clad in armor.
Progression – It shouldn’t be that hardEasy Peasy, fun, fast & free! Journey
RiskApp – All things riskI’ve Got an App for That – Democratization of Risk for all!Monday, October 23rd, 2017
What-If in a Jiff!Jiff, noun, informal A moment. First Known Use of jiff – 1797
PHA software – Which tools do folks use to perform Process Hazard Analyses likeHAZOPs, What Ifs, or FMEAs? Software, MS Word, MS Excel or PAPER based? PHA-Pro by SpheraPHAWorks 5.1 by Primatech, Inc.Process Hazard Analysis Tool – aeFacilitatorHazard Review Leader 2006 by ABS Consulting – LEADER PHA SoftwareHAZOP Manager by Lihou
Content or cover? 6,000 USA for single licence, and 20% or 1,200 per year licence fee; 50,000 ormore for a shared copy; tools that allow you to get to the wrong answer moreefficiently! One of the major software vendors has 8 times as many salesmen as folks wholead PHAs for them; that should raise a red flag. You do NOT need software in order for you to lead and document a good or evena great PHA.Bottom-line: If you only do a few PHAs, then just use MS Excel or MS Word.If you do a lot of What-If reviews, then use MS Excel or MS Word.If you do a Lot of HAZOP reviews of continuous processes, then use LEADER.If you need to use risk matrices (which is not that valuable, but most folks seem to want touse these in qualitative meetings, see the many papers discussing the pros and cons), theneither automate the lookup functions of MS Excel, or use LEADER or PHA Pro.
Can you go for a day, night, weekend, ormore Can you go a day, night, weekend, or more without using or turningon your laptop? Instead of hauling a laptop, can you get by with a portable device likean iPhone, Android, Smartphone, iPad, etc.? Do you want to do a quick risk-based scenario in less time than it willtake for you to let your coffee or tea cool to allow you to safely drinkit? Do you want to focus on content and quality of proven standard bestpractices?
PHA SCM life cycle1.Recognize need for a PHA or risk assessment – sometimes you don’t.2.Contact a facilitator to request availability3.Provide minimum psi to the facilitator for a proposal and estimate4.Receive, review and approval of proposal5.Tentative scheduling of PHA6.Provision of a work order and approvals thereof7.Schedule meeting with minimum attendees and resources8.Provision of psi to PHA team9.Hold PHA10.Write, receive and review final report11.Pay for services and expenses of attendees12.Follow-up and complete recommendations13.Close-out work order and PHA project14.Leverage for future use or reference for revalidation as necessary
Vision – One stop shop for all things risk Timbers Consulting Inc. has developed a scaled tool to provide “all thingsrisk” on a simple, easy to use platform produced at four different levels ofengagement:1.2.3.4.Basic user – “free”, limited functionality, able to perform simple reviewsAdvanced user – relatively small fee for a finite time period, more functionalityProfessional facilitator or administrator – licenced, able to perform most PHAsCorporate licence – customized tool set for wide spread corporate use Provide the minimum tools to allow folks to perform a quick risk-basedscenario in less time than it will take for you to let your coffee or tea coolto allow you to safely drink it Also provide the tools to connect to an overhead projector and perform amore rigorous PHA and export the results at the end of the session,including the assignment recommendations
One stop shop for all things riskBasic user: The basic user package is “free” to anyone who has access to the App Store. This package will allow you to plan, prepare and undertake simple PHAmethodologies such as Checklist, PHA What-If, MSDS or SDS reviews, process safety information reviews, the use of a standard 5 x 5 risk assessmentmatrix, the posting and e-mailing of data for up to five different scenarios and the visualization of the risk scenarios mapped to a standard risk matrix.Advanced user: The advanced user package is the same as the basic user, except for a small one-time only purchase fee, consistent with other App Store tools.Additional tools and functionality, such as the provision of a HAZOP and LOPA technique will be made available, along with best practices andprocedures to be used, implemented and followed.Professional facilitator or administrator: The professional facilitator or administrator package has all the features of both the basic user and the advanced user, but will allow the use ofdifferent risk assessment matrices, unlimited exports of numerous scenarios as well as the use of simplified consequence analysis tools, trainingpackages, Monte Carlo Simulations and a database for key safeguarding, initiating event frequencies and failure rate data. Cost will be an initial fee aswell as an annual fee. Additional PHA tools such as frequency analysis, FMEA and FMECA, RCA, NMR and PSM news alerts will be added inpartnership with the corporate licenced version of RiskApp.Corporate licence: The corporate licence will be based on a subscription price only to provide a customized tool to individual owner – operator companies. Now, with the use of your iPhone or your Android device, you can quickly undertake a PHA with your colleagues over a cup of coffee or tea, evenbefore it gets cold, and your organization can focus on the training and quality checks of your PSM/PHA studies to ensure global best practices arebeing followed, such as not driving and doing a PHA at the same time, and improved throughout the organization and over your project lifecycle.
Services – All things risk, here and now Work processes – procedures, references, tools, techniques, glossaries and more, consistent with best practices such as CSChE PSM Division products, AIChE CCPS Hazard Evaluation Guidelines, USA DOL OSHA PSM ofHHC, ISO 31000, etc. Training packages to support both the tools and the methodologies MSDS/SDS, Incident History, Facility Siting & Human Factors checklists to review for possible scenario development What-If and/or What-If/Checklist, HAZOP, FMEA, FMECA, LOPA, QRA Toolset Management of Change and quality improvement, continuous improvement (CIP) process Links to appropriate standards to support risk management Export of raw and finished data for better risk management Plotting and mapping of risk-based reviews onto a risk matrix Provision of generic, public domain raw data to be used for initiating event frequency determination Suggested templates to be used as possible revalidations of new projects Risk assessment matrix development Frequency Analysis, initiating events as well as final outcome histories from public domain sites Consequence Analysis Monte Carlo Simulations PHA quality reviews Revalidations PHA concierge services and checklist to manage PHAs and audit results by others UBER services for companies and PSM/PHA providers
Observe, recognize, act to secure ASAP!
App Store
I’ve got an App for that!
RiskApp Sign in or Sign Up
Sign Up
Home
Now what?
WPD
RAM – PHA
RAM – DOT FTA HA
RAM – DOT FTA HA
RiskApp – Home
W-I Scenario Entry
Basic User Restrictions
Severe weather
Risk Receptor I.D.
WCC in abs. of SG:
W-I SG I.D.
SG CAT
SG 1 of 3
SG CAT
SG Summary, 3 of 3
Likelihood w. SGs
Likelihood Reduction
RISK Caveat
Residual Risk Assessed
Future Basic – on the App store now – go get it! iPad updates User version out next
Features & Checklists – SDS, MSDS, PHA Planning & Execution, PHA scoring and audits, What-If HAZOP LOPA FMEA – FMECA MCS CA, FA, Simplified QRA Templates for leveraging – how many times do you really want to do a PHA on that LACT unit or pump station or tank? Validation and ReValidation Uber-HAZOP Malleable risk assessment matrices – on demand Concierge & curating service – PHA storage Data storage and management Auto reporting Analytics Coaching, scoring, QA/QC
Scaleable Basic – free, free, free Android and cloud coming Won’t compete with PHA-Pro or PHAWorks, for now User Advanced User “Pro” – Facilitator / Administrator Corporate licence
Risk Matrix - WikipediaHarm severity can be categorized as:1.2.3.4.Catastrophic - Multiple DeathsCritical - One Death or Multiple Severe InjuriesMarginal - One Severe Injury or Multiple Minor InjuriesNegligible - One Minor InjuryProbability of harm occurring might be categorized Unlikely' and'Rare'. However it must be considered that very low probabilities may not be very reliable. The resulting Risk Matrix could be : The company or organization then would calculate what levels of Risk they can take with differentevents. This would be done by weighing up the risk of an event occurring against the cost.
AER
FMECA – MIL-STD-1629A
Z662-15
Risk Assessment Matrices
US DOT FTA Hazard Analysis Guidelines forTransit Project
Risk MatrixAlberta Emergency Management Agency (Municipal Affairs) Emergency ResponsePlanning for Community Events – 2013
Inorganic salt manufacturer – processor
Pipeline company II (derived from III)
III, CP
Risk Clarification Matrix – III
Legacy Risk Matrix
Enterprise Risk Matrix
Gas company
Finally – Problems with Risk MatricesPoor Resolution: Typical risk matrices can correctly and unambiguously compare only a small fraction (e.g., less than 10%) ofrandomly selected pairs of hazards. They can assign identical ratings to quantitatively very different risks(“range compression”).Errors Risk matrices can mistakenly assign higher qualitative ratings to quantitatively smaller risks. For risks withnegatively correlated frequencies and severities, they can be “worse than useless,” leading to worse-thanrandom decisions.Suboptimal Resource Allocation Effective allocation of resources to risk-reducing countermeasures cannot be based on the categoriesprovided by risk matrices.Ambiguous Inputs and Outputs Categorizations of severity cannot be made objectively for uncertain consequences. Inputs to risk matrices(e.g., frequency and severity categorizations) and resulting outputs (i.e., risk ratings) require subjectiveinterpretation, and different users may obtain opposite ratings of the same quantitative risks. Theselimitations suggest that risk matrices should be used with caution, and only with careful explanations ofembedded judgments.
PHA-Pro by Sphera PHAWorks 5.1 by Primatech, Inc. Process Hazard Analysis Tool –aeFacilitator Hazard Review Leader 2006 by AS onsulting –LEADER PHA Software HAZOP Manager by Lihou. Content or cover? 6,000 USA for single licence, and 20% or 1,200 per year licence fee; 50,000 or more for a shared copy; tools that allow you to get to the wrong answer more .
