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Innovations in Natural GasTurbines Next 20 YearsSteve BolzePresident and CEO, GE Power & WaterSenior Vice President, GE2011 Summer SeminarAugust 2, 2011 2011, General Electric Company
Innovations in NG Turbines Global dynamics favoringgas as a destination fuel Efficiency, emissionsand flexibility are key Tomorrow‟s technologysolutions being developed& deployed todayResponding to a rapidly evolving industry 2011 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.2 2011, General Electric Company
GE Energy businesses82,000 employees – 45B ‟11 revenue25% world‟s electricity from GE technologyPower & WaterEnergy ServicesOil & Gas Drilling/production for land, offshore, subsea LNG and pipelines Refining/petrochemical Industrial power gen Complete lifecycleservicesThermal power genRenewablesGas EnginesNuclearGasificationWater treatmentProcess chemicals 2011 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.Maintenance agreementsSmart GridField servicesParts and repairsOptimizationtechnologies Plant management3 2011, General Electric Company
GE HDGT fleet dle East/Africa1,300Latin America5507EA7FA059E50% of world‟s Heavy Duty Gas Turbine installations Over 32 Million operating hours for F fleet9FA9FB 2011 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.4 2011, General Electric Company
Technical service excellence2X R&D investment7FA Advanced Hot Gas Path( in millions)LMS100J920Investing in new power technologies and products 2011 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.5 2011, General Electric Company
Global operations investmentGreenville, South Carolina, USABelfort, France 3,000 employees 150M test facility 2,000 employees 45M R&D centerFlexible capacity to meet increasing demand 2011 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.6 6 2011, General Electric Company
Trends 2011 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.7 2011, General Electric Company
Diverse power generation mix10 year global investment2,300 GWEnergyindependenceWind 18%Coal 29%Solar 6%2%OtherRen.11%28%6%HydroGas/Oil er/WaternexusSource: GE analysisGreen energy growing coal still ¼ of additions 2011 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. 2011, General 8Electric Company
US supply/demandProjected reserve marginUS additions by fuel, uclearMarketplace dynamicsUncertainties Supply high reserve margins in most regions Federal policy . no clear timeline or champion Demand return to pre-recession levels by 2012 Coal plants compliance cost of EPA standards Regulations ’15 impact of EPA air/water standards Financing tax equity availability Policy RPS in 29 states Nuclear new builds and retirements Fuel gas forecast stable 5-6/mmbtu Load growth industrial sector & GDP rateSource: NERC 2010 Long-term Reliability Assessment, Oxford Economics, Ventyx Velocity Suite, McCoyPower Reports and GE Energy Analysis; CERA Global Power ProjectionsNote: *Other includes oil, biomass and hydro 2011 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.9 2011, General Electric Company
Impact of renewable penetrationGW50No renewablesHydroHow do Wind and Solar Power Affect Grid Operations:The Western Wind and Solar Integration Study40Gas CC30GW5020Coal10040NuclearApr 10Apr 11Apr 12Apr 1310% renewablesApr 14Apr 1530Renewables20GW100Apr 10Apr 11Apr 12Apr 13Apr 144030Gas generation must: 20% renewables50Ramp faster and more oftenCycle on/off faster and more oftenSpend more time at part loadsProvide more short-term reservesRenewables20100Apr 10Apr 11Apr 12Source: NREL Conference Paper September 2009 – How do Wind and Solar Power Affect GridOperations: The Western Wind and Solar Integration Study 2011 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.10 2011, General Electric CompanyApr 13Apr 14Apr 15Apr 16
Natural Gas industry dynamics NA shale gas productionBcf per day Growing suppliesCanadian ShaleEagle ichiganCERA Outlook4035302520 Stable prices Cleaner than installed baseof power generation15 Gas generation provides reliableand flexible : GE Energy Feb ’11 Outlook; CERAHenry Hub Spot price Frac water concernsNominal dollar per MMBtu Infrastructure challenges with highgas growth12NYMEX HH Futures (Feb-20-'11)GE Baseline Oct '10 HH Outlook10 Various customer segmentsnot in consensusHenry Hub Spot Price History86 Competing technologies are notstanding still42'07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20Moving from “bridge” to “destination” fuel 2011 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.11 2011, General Electric Company
Unconventional gas TrendsRussiaLNGRussiafrontierRussiaflareCN LNGCN shalePoland &EU shaleU.S. shaleIsraelU.S. LNG toCaribbeanWestNile M.E.sourWestAfricaAmazongasArgentina ourIraqshaleVietnamoffshoreIndiaoffshore& shalePNGLNGIndonesiaCBM &offshoreCBM toLNGAustralianLNGS. Africashale & CBMNew gas availabilityUnconventional gasTechnology advancements Offshore Shale Flare/Assoc. Gas Sour gasInfrastructure investment LNG trains PipelineNew gas capacity by ‟15–a)Key opportunities (Bcf per day) U.S.–b)10.0UAE/KSA 9.0Australia8.3Russia6.4W. Africa4.3Iraq3.2Brazil1.8 a global game changer12ofnew gas(a- Major projects in development phases(b- U.S. shale gas onlySource: GE Energy 2011 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.33% 2011, General Electric Company
Relative Cost of Electricity 229Further reductionspossible withlower costs andhigher CapacityFactors 204 144 73Cap. Factor 87 105 126 94 59 67 64 30010,1009,600N/AN/AN/A6,120HR (HHV) Btu/kWhSource: GE EnergyEconomics of gas and renewables becoming more attractive 2011 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.13 2011, General Electric Company
Technology 2011 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.14 2011, General Electric Company
How are GTs being used?Plants spendrelatively littletime in base loadsteady stateSteady StateAGCSpinning ReserveOff- PeakTurndownLoadBaseline3% total fuel27% totalfuel61% total fuel9% total fuelStart ReliabilityRamp RatePart Load EfficiencyTurndown98% (28 minutes)50 MW/min 60% to 87% plant loadto 40% plant load 2011 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.15 2011, General Electric Company
60 Hz HD Gas Turbine evolution7FA.0557.9%* Eff.225CompressorGT SC output (MW)2001757FA.047FA.0154%* Eff.15057.8%* Eff.7FA.037FA.0255.5%* Eff.56.5%* Eff.7F.01125Single Crystal51%* Eff.Material & 7119721972MW48526077Hot Gas PathSC ‟94* Combined cycle efficiency assumes 207 configuration 2011 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.‟96‟98‟00‟02‟04Year16 2011, General Electric Company‟06‟08‟10„12
GE‟s 60 Hz response evolution of the 7FAAdvanced CompressorCombustorTurbineAviation / Heavy DutyDLN 2.67FA Advanced Hot Gas Path Improved Performance Enhanced Operability Improved Maintainability Improved Performance Low Emissions Proven combustor Improved Performance Enhanced Durability Field ProvenSound product evolution coupled with thorough validation testing 2011 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.17 2011, General Electric Company
Oakley, CaliforniaOAKLEY GENERATING STATION GROUNDBREAKING CEREMONY JULY 12, 2011 - (L to R) - Brian Bertacchi (President and CEO, Radback Energy), Jim Frazier(Oakley Mayor), Paul Browning (President and CEO, Thermal Products, GE Energy), Michael Peevey (President, California Public Utilities Commission), SenatorMark DeSaulnier (California), Greg Feere (CEO of Contra Costa Building/Construction Trades Council) 2011 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.18 2011, General Electric Company
FlexEfficiency* 50 Combined Cycle Power Plant510 MW, 50 Hz 61% baseload efficiencyStart-up to full load 28 minutesRamp-rate 50 MW/minutePlant turn-down to 40% loadA new standard in efficiency AND flexibility enabling integrationof more renewable resources onto the power grida product ofecomagination19 2011 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. 2011, General19Electric Company* Trademark of General Electric Company
Our next technology steps50 Hz Responsive and flexible 500MW CCGT block Base load efficiency 60% 1 point advantage in flex-efficiencyAir-cooled technologySmaller layoutMeets stringent permittingrequirements60 HzFlexible and efficient gas turbines and combined cycles enabling greater renewable penetration 2011 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.20 2011, General Electric Company
60 Hz HD Gas Turbine evolution65%CC Efficiency2257FA.05GT SC output (MW)57.9%* Eff.2007FA.0457.8%* 8‟02‟06‟10* Combined cycle efficiency assumes 207 configuration 2011 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.‟14‟18‟22‟26‟30Year21 2011, General Electric Company
Aeroderivative gas turbine highlightsGE LMS100 Flexible high efficiency power 2011 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.22 2011, General Electric Company
Gas engines highlightsGeneratorEngineTurbochargerAccessory ModuleJ920 Plant Rendering 2011 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.23 2011, General Electric Company
Power Generation ServicesGas Turbine Services Dry Low NOx Combustion System retrofits Improved efficiency and output Enhanced fuel & operational flexibility Real-time remote monitoring & diagnostics centerSteam Turbine Services Upgrades & life extension Industrial applications & uprates Improving efficiency Extending asset life Parts repairs and refurbishmentGenerator Services Outage interval extension, high cyclic duty,next-generation stator insulation materials Preventative maintenance & on-line M&D In-situ robotic generator inspection (MAGICTM) 2011 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.24 2011, General Electric Company
What the future holds 2011 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.25 2011, General Electric Company
Redefining turbine efficiencyAdvanced Combustion3-D Compressor AeroAdvanced premixing, axial fuel stagingAdvanced Thermal CoatingsCeramic Matrix CompositesAdvanced Cooling & Sealing 300 F temperature capability vs. superalloysCoated CMCs3000 porePulse & Fluidic Film2000 FDVCPorousConforming1980s1990s2000s2010sPath toward 65% combined cycle efficiency 2011 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.26 2011, General Electric CompanyAbradable
Future trends in turbine technologyPulse TechnologyCombustionPulsed detonation results in fuel efficiency with same powerEnergy StorageImproved fuel flexibility andturndown capabilityeSolar 160M investment creating 1B business for GETower based concentratingsolar thermal technologySolid Oxide Fuel CellsThin Film Solar70% efficiency potential integrates well into CO2 captureThinFilm solar efficiencies PrimeStarGE‟s cutting edge technology paving the way for future generations 2011 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.27 2011, General Electric Company
How the industry can help? Provide a clear landscape of futuregeneration needs Be a strong voice for shaping meaningfuland predictable energy policy Help develop robust models that evaluateflexibility in generation decisions 2011 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.28 2011, General Electric Company
Innovations in Natural GasTurbines Next 20 YearsSteve BolzePresident and CEO, GE Power & WaterSenior Vice President, GE2011 Summer SeminarAugust 2, 2011
services Energy Services Oil & Gas Thermal power gen Renewables Gas Engines Nuclear Gasification Water treatment Process chemicals Power & Water Maintenance agreements Smart Grid Field services Parts and repairs Optimization technologies . PrimeStar Solid Oxide Fuel Cells 70% efficiency potential .File Size: 2MB
