NWS Twin Cities Drought Update July 21, 2022 - National Weather Service

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July 21, 202210:42 AMNWS Twin Cities Drought UpdateDrought Continues to worsen in and southwest of the Twin Cities metroKey Messages NEW Severe Drought (D2) introduced fromthe Twin Cities, up the MN River to BellePlaineD0 and D1 drought expanded intowestern and central MNMinor improvements in Barron county,WI, where heavy rains fell last week.Important UpdatesDrought conditions continue to worsenacross much of central and southernMNNext Scheduled Briefing Next DROUGHT packet update isscheduled for Thursday, July 28thNational Weather ServiceTwin Cities, MN

Drought Monitor ChangeJuly 21, 202210:42 AMLatest Trend in the Drought Monitor for the North Central U.S.1 WeekChange4 WeekChangeNational Weather ServiceTwin Cities, MN

Recent Precipitation andVery dry over the central and southern portion of the areaTemperaturePrevious 2 Weeks Precipitation TotalsJuly 21, 202210:42 AMPrevious 2 Weeks Temperature DepartureHighlights Little rain has fallen over the last 2 weeks over MN, with continued above normal temperaturesNarrow band of 2-5” of rain fell last week from Barron into northern Chippewa county in WINational Weather ServiceTwin Cities, MN

July 21, 202210:42 AMPrecipitation DeficitsDeficits continue to worsen30 Day Percent Normal6-Month Percent Normal12-Month Percent NormalHighlights Outside of central MN, very dry conditions have persisted through the last 60 daysMost significant precipitation deficits have been observed from the Twin Cities back toward Redwood Falls in MNNational Weather ServiceTwin Cities, MN

Hydrologic Conditions - MN and WIJuly 21, 202210:42 AMAverage streamflow for the past 7 daysHighlights Most mainstem river basins have flows within normal rangesSmaller basins in/near the Twin Cities metro are starting to observebelow normal flowsNational Weather ServiceTwin Cities, MN

July 21, 202210:42 AMSoil Moisture Conditions **Add Weather/Water Message (optional)** Minnesota(Entire State)Wisconsin(Entire State)As ofJuly 18Very SurplusTopsoil5%19%69%7%Subsoil3%14%75%8%Very SurplusTopsoil3%21%73%3%Subsoil6%17%74%3%As ofJuly 18HighlightsThe combination of above normal temperatures and significantprecipitation deficits are driving the lowest soil moisture locallyacross southern MinnesotaNational Weather ServiceTwin Cities, MN

Crop ConditionsJuly 21, 202210:42 AMImages are current Vegetation Drought Response Index (VegDRI)MNWIHighlightsTo this point, crops have held up fairlywell, though the dryness on VegDRIdoes indicate we’re not far from possiblyseeing more ag impacts if moresubstantial rains do not fall soonNational Weather ServiceTwin Cities, MN

July 21, 202210:42 AMFire Danger ConditionFire Danger ratings for date specified ONLYCurrent MN Fire DangerCurrent WI Fire DangerHighlights Fire activity has been pretty lightacross MN and WI this summerHighest fire dangers in MN docorrespond to whereprecipitation deficits have beengreatestNational Weather ServiceTwin Cities, MN

July 21, 202210:42 AMForecast PrecipitationNext 7 DaysHighlights Best chances for rain come Saturday and Tuesdayinto WednesdayWidespread soaking rains are not expected, withisolated pockets of higher rainfall totals expectedwithin thunderstormsNormal 7-day precipitation in the summer is 1-1.25”National Weather ServiceTwin Cities, MN

Short Term Climate OutlookJuly 21, 202210:42 AMFor more information visit: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/Temperatures closer tonormal expected to finishout July Trends show abovenormal temperaturesreturning to start August Best chances for seeingabove normalprecipitation are trendingsouth of the area to endJuly and begin August6-10 Day Outlook8-14 Day OutlookPrecipitation TemperatureHighlightsNational Weather ServiceTwin Cities, MN

Drought Category DefinitionsJuly 21, 202210:42 AMNational Weather ServiceTwin Cities, MN

Questions, Comments, and ResourcesContact InformationIf you have questions or comments about this information,please contact:NOAA/National Weather ServiceTwin Cities/Chanhassen1733 Lake Drive WestChanhassen, MN 55317Phone: 952-361-6670Email: nws.twincities@noaa.govAcknowledgments:The drought monitor is a multi-agency effort involving NOAA’s NationalWeather Service and National Climatic Data Center, the USDA, stateand regional center climatologists and the National Drought MitigationCenter. Information for this statement has been gathered from NWSand FAA observation sites, cooperative and volunteer observations,USDAFS, the USDA and USGS.July 21, 202210:42 AMAdditional ResourcesAdditional information on current drought conditions may befound at the following web addresses:U.S. Drought Monitor: www.droughtmonitor.unl.eduCurrent MN drought conditions: www.drought.gov/state/minnesotaCurrent WI drought Conditions: www.drought.gov/state/wisconsinClimate Prediction Center (CPC): www.cpc.ncep.noaa.govMidwestern Regional Climate Center: https://mrcc.illinois.edu/MN Climatology Office: https://climateapps.dnr.state.mn.us/index.htmWI State Climatology Office: www.aos.wisc.edu/ scoMN DNR Fire irerating restrictions.htmlWI DNR Fire Danger: spNWS Precipitation Data: https://water.weather.gov/precip/USGS Hydrologic data: https://waterwatch.usgs.gov/USDA crop reports: https://www.nass.usda.gov/National Weather ServiceTwin Cities, MN

Twin Cities, MN Questions, Comments, and Resources Contact Information If you have questions or comments about this information, please contact: NOAA/National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen 1733 Lake Drive West Chanhassen, MN 55317 Phone: 952-361-6670 Email: nws.twincities@noaa.gov